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Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (ERIC) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2021
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Dec 31, 2021, filed Mar 25, 2022
Risk Change Over Time
No filing history is available.
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1Impairment of goodwill, other intangible assets, property and equipment (PP&E) and right-of-use (RoU) asset leased by the Company have impacted and may continue to negatively impact Ericsson’s financial condition and results of operations (EBIT). An impairment of goodwill, other intangible assets, PP&E and RoU could adversely affect the Company’s financial condition or results of operations (EBIT).
Ericsson has a significant amount of these assets; for example, patents, customer relations, trademarks, software, PP&E and RoU. Goodwill is the only intangible asset the company has recognized to have indefinite useful life. Other intangible assets are mainly amortized on a straight-line basis over their estimated useful lives and the assets are reviewed for impairment whenever events such as product discontinuances, product dispositions or other changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount may not be fully recoverable. Those intangible assets not yet in use are tested for impairment annually. Historically, the Company has recognized impairment charges mainly due to restructuring, which is usually limited, but occasionally significant. Additional impairment charges may be incurred in the future and could be significant due to various reasons, including strategy changes, restructuring actions or adverse market conditions that are either specific to us or the broader industries in which Ericsson operates or more general in nature and that could have an adverse effect on Ericsson’s operating results (EBIT) and financial condition. Negative deviations in actual cash flows compared to estimated cash flows as well as new estimates that indicate lower future cash flows might result in recognition of impairment charges. Estimates require management judgment as well as the definition of cash-generating units for impairment testing purposes. Other judgments might result in significantly different results and may differ from the actual financial condition in the future.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 2Ericsson relies on various sources for short-term and long-term capital for the funding of the Company’s business. Should such capital become unavailable or available in insufficient amounts or unreasonable terms, Ericsson’s business, financial condition and cash flow may materially suffer
Ericsson’s business requires a significant amount of cash. If Ericsson does not generate sufficient amounts of capital to support the Company’s operations, service its debt and continue Ericsson’s research and development and customer finance programs, or if the Company cannot raise sufficient amounts of capital at the required times and on reasonable terms, Ericsson’s business, financial condition and cash flow are likely to be adversely affected. Access to funding may decrease or become more expensive as a result of Ericsson’s operational and financial condition, market conditions, or due to deterioration in Ericsson’s credit rating. There can be no assurance that additional sources of funds that Ericsson may need from time to time will be available on reasonable terms or at all. If the Company cannot access capital on a commercially viable basis, Ericsson’s business, financial condition and cash flow could materially suffer.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 3Ericsson’s debt increases the Company’s vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions, limits Ericsson’s ability to borrow additional funds, and may limit the Company’s flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in Ericsson’s business and industry.
As of December 31, 2021, Ericsson’s outstanding debt was SEK 31,8 billion and while the Company is rated investment grade by Standard & Poor’s (BBB-) and Fitch (BBB-) it is rated one step below investment grade with Moody’s (Ba1). This degree of debt and the credit ratings could have important consequences, including: – Increasing Ericsson’s vulnerability to general economic and industry conditions – Requiring a substantial portion of cash flow from operations to be dedicated to the payment of principal and interest on the Company’s indebted-ness, thereby reducing Ericsson’s ability to use its cash flow to fund the Company’s operations, capital expenditures and future business opportunities – Restricting us from making strategic acquisitions or causing us to make non-strategic divestitures – Limiting Ericsson’s ability to obtain additional financing for adjusted working capital, capital expenditures, debt service requirements, acquisitions and general corporate or other purposes – Limiting the Company’s ability to adjust to changing market conditions and placing us at a competitive disadvantage compared to Ericsson’s competitors. Ericsson may choose to incur substantial additional indebtedness in the future. If new indebtedness is added to the Company’s current debt levels, the related risks that Ericsson now faces could increase. If Ericsson’s financial performance were to deteriorate, the Company may not be able to generate sufficient cash to service all of its indebtedness and may be forced to take other actions to satisfy Ericsson’s obligations under the Company’s indebtedness, which may not be successful. Ericsson’s ability to make scheduled payments on or to refinance the Company’s debt obligations depends on its financial condition and operating performance, which is subject to prevailing economic and competitive conditions and to certain financial, business and other factors beyond Ericsson’s control. While the Company believes that Ericsson currently has adequate cash flows to service its indebtedness, if Ericsson’s financial performance were to deteriorate significantly, the Company might be unable to maintain a level of cash flows from operating activities sufficient to permit us to pay the principal, premium, if any, and interest on Ericsson’s indebtedness. If, due to such a deterioration in the Company’s financial performance, Ericsson’s cash flows and capital resources were to be insufficient to fund its debt service obligations, Ericsson may be forced to reduce or delay investments and capital expenditures, or to sell assets, seek additional capital or restructure or refinance Ericsson’s indebtedness. These alternative measures may not be successful and may not permit us to meet Ericsson’s scheduled debt service obligations. In addition, if the Company were required to raise additional capital in the current financial markets, the terms of such financing, if available, could result in higher costs and greater restrictions on its business. In addition, if Ericsson were to refinance its existing indebtedness, the conditions in the financial markets at that time could make it difficult to refinance Ericsson’s existing indebtedness on acceptable terms or at all. If such alternative measures proved unsuccessful, Ericsson could face substantial liquidity problems and might be required to dispose of material assets or operations to meet the Company’s debt service and other obligations.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4The Company may not achieve some or all of the expected benefits of Ericsson’s restructuring activities and the Company’s restructuring may adversely affect Ericsson’s business
Restructuring activities may be costly and disruptive to Ericsson’s business, and Ericsson may not be able to achieve and retain the cost savings and benefits that were initially anticipated. Additionally, as a result of Ericsson’s restructuring, the Company may experience a loss of continuity, loss of accumulated knowledge and/or inefficiency during transitional periods. Reorganization and restructuring can require a significant amount of management and other employees’ time and focus, which may divert attention from operating and growing Ericsson’s business. Restructuring activities can create unanticipated consequences and negative impacts on the business such as Ericsson’s ability to develop, sell and deliver, and Ericsson cannot be sure that any ongoing or future restructuring efforts will be successful or generate expected cost savings. Factors that may impede a successful implementation include the retention of key employees, the impact of regulatory matters, and adverse economic market conditions. If Ericsson fails to achieve some or all of the expected benefits of restructuring, it could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s competitive position, business, financial condition, results of operations (EBIT), cash flows, reputation and share price.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 5Ericsson is in, and may enter into new, JV arrangements and have, and may have new, partnerships, which may not be successful and could expose the Company to future costs.
Ericsson’s JV and partnership arrangements, may fail to perform as expected for various reasons, including an incorrect assessment of the Company’s needs and synergies, Ericsson’s inability to take action without the approval of Ericsson’s partners, the Company’s difficulties in implementing Ericsson’s business plans, the lack of capabilities or financial instability of the Company’s strategic partners. Ericsson’s ability to work with these partners or develop new products and solutions, e.g. as part of Ericsson’s 5G portfolio, may become constrained, which could harm the Company’s competitive position in the market. Additionally, Ericsson’s share of any losses from or commitments to contribute additional capital or borrowings to such JVs and partnerships may adversely affect Ericsson’s business, operating results (EBIT), financial condition and cash flow.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 6Ericsson may not be successful in implementing its strategy, in achieving improvements in its profitability, in estimating addressable markets or market CAGR in the markets in which the Company operates.
There can be no assurance that Ericsson will be able to successfully implement its strategy to achieve future profitability, growth or create share-holder value. When deemed necessary, Ericsson has undertaken and expect to continue to undertake specific restructuring or cost-saving initiatives; however, there are no guarantees that such initiatives will be sufficient, successful or executed in time to deliver any improvements in Ericsson’s earnings. Furthermore, this annual report includes certain estimates with respect to addressable markets as well as with respect to growth rate in the market segments in which Ericsson operates, including Networks, Digital Services, Managed Services and Emerging Business and Other. If the underlying assumptions on which the Company’s estimates are based prove not to be accurate, the actual performance or addressable markets and CAGR may be materially different from the estimates presented in this annual report, which may have a materially adverse effect upon Ericsson’s financial condition.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 7Ericsson engages in acquisitions and divestments which may be disruptive and require the Company to incur significant expenses, and Ericsson may not be successful in consummating such transactions, protecting the value of acquisitions during integration following consummation, or creating the value anticipated with the acquisition.
In addition to in-house innovation efforts, Ericsson makes acquisitions in order to obtain various benefits such as reduced time-to-market, access to technology and competence, increased scale or to broaden Ericsson’s product portfolio or customer base. One recent example is the acquisition of Cradlepoint. Acquisitions could result in the incurrence of contingent liabilities and an increase in amortization expenses related to intangible assets or impairment of goodwill, which could have a material adverse effect upon Ericsson’s business, operating results (EBIT), financial condition and liquidity. Risks Ericsson could face with respect to acquisitions include: – Insufficiencies of technologies and products acquired, such as unexpected quality problems – Difficulties in the integration of the operations, technologies, products and personnel of the acquired company – Risks of entering markets in which the Company has no or limited prior experience – Potential loss of key employees Diversion of management’s attention away from other business concerns – Expenses of any undisclosed or potential legal liabilities of the acquired company, including failure to comply with laws or regulations. From time-to-time Ericsson also divests parts of Ericsson’s business to optimize the Company’s product portfolio or operations. Any decision to dispose of or otherwise exit businesses may result in the recording of special charges, such as workforce reduction costs and industry- and technology-related write-offs. The risks associated with such acquisitions and divestments could have a material adverse effect upon Ericsson’s business, operating results (EBIT), financial condition and liquidity. Risks Ericsson could face with respect to divestments include: – Difficulties in the separation of the operations, technologies, products and personnel of the business divested – Potential loss of key employees – Expenses of any undisclosed or potential legal liabilities of the business divested. In addition, we cannot assure that we will be successful in consummating acquisitions or divestments on favorable terms or at all. For example, although we expect our agreement, dated November 22, 2021, to acquire Vonage Holdings Corp. to be consummated during the first half of 2022, it may take up to a year to satisfy the conditions to closing this acquisition. Moreover, it is possible that certain of the conditions to the closing of this acquisition may not be satisfied or waived and, if that were to happen, the agreement would terminate without a closing. The closing conditions include the receipt of regulatory clearances and the approval of the agreement by a special meeting of the shareholders of Vonage. If the agreement were to terminate under specified circumstances where we have failed to obtain certain clearances from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, we may have to pay a USD 200 million termination fee to Vonage. The delay or inability to consummate an acquisition or divestiture may impede our ability to execute our strategic plan and achieve the benefits that we anticipated from these transactions.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 8Ericsson may not be successful in executing its strategy to capture the 5G market opportunity in terms of e.g. scale, time and volume of business.
The 5G market opportunity will depend on availability of attractive spectrum for 5G, and time of spectrum allocations, amount of spectrum, type of frequency bands such as low bands (below 1 GHz), mid-bands (3–6 GHz) and high bands (above 24 GHz), as well as terms of spectrum licenses, such as cost and license period of time, may not be according to needs and plans, which could delay or reduce the 5G market. In addition, the operator usage of this spectrum could be restricted by regulatory authorities for shorter or longer time and in different geographical areas, due to unforeseen reasons such as interference with other electronic equipment at sensitive locations, e.g. airports, and the Ericsson Group cannot guarantee that it will not become the subject of related liability claims (such as product liability or claims associated with the configuration or installation of equipment), all of which could have a material adverse impact on the Ericsson Group’s business, operating results, financial condition, reputation and brand. Operator speed and scale to adopt to 5G could also be changed due to market situations, including resolution of M&A transactions as well as government incentives to deploy 5G. Operator 5G deployment plans could also be delayed by operational aspects such as site access, permits, availability of installation crews. There is also a risk that the scale and time of 5G deployments will change due to the availability of 5G devices, not only for launch but also due to the speed with which device prices will decline to drive mass market adoption. In addition to this, the timing, size and technology choices of market opportunities beyond enhanced mobile broadband, such as fixed wireline access, industrial IoT and private networks, may materialize differently than estimated, which could have a materially adverse effect on our business. Finally, Ericsson or its suppliers may encounter unforeseen technical challenges that can affect Ericsson’s ability to develop, supply or deploy 5G networks. All of the above risks may have a negative impact on the ability of Ericsson to implement it’s strategy and it’s business as a whole.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2021
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 43
- Competition - Risk 1ChangedEricsson faces intense competition from the Company’s existing competitors as well as new entrants, and this could materially adversely affect the Company’s results.
The markets in which Ericsson operates are highly competitive in terms of price, functionality, service quality, customization, timing of development, and the introduction of new products and services. The Company faces intense competition from significant competitors, many of which are very large companies, with substantial technological and financial resources and established relationships with operators. Ericsson’s operator customers, which represent the main part of Ericsson’s business, are also large and highly sophisticated and exercise significant buying power through the common use of competitive bidding process. Ericsson also encounters increased competition from new market entrants and alternative technologies are evolving industry standards. In addition, if Ericsson chooses to enter new market segments, it might underestimate the skills and practices of the competitors within these segments. The Company’s competitors may implement new technologies before Ericsson does, offer more attractively priced or enhanced products, services or solutions, or they may offer other incentives that Ericsson does not provide. Some of the Company’s competitors may also have greater resources in certain business segments or geographic areas than Ericsson does. Increased competition, and the crystallization of any of the risks above, could result in reduced profit margins, loss of market share, increased research and development costs as well as increased sales and marketing expenses, which could have a material adverse effect on Ericsson’s business, operating results (EBIT), financial condition and market share. Additionally, Ericsson operates in markets characterized by rapidly changing technology and also the nature in which this technology is being brought to market is rapidly changing. This has, and may continue to result in continuous price pressure on Ericsson’s products and services. If Ericsson’s counter measures, including enhanced products and business models or end to end cost reductions cannot be achieved or do not occur in a timely manner, there could be adverse impacts on Ericsson’s business, operating results, financial condition and market share.
- Competition - Risk 2ChangedVendor consolidation may lead to stronger competitors who are able to benefit from integration, scale and greater resources, which could increase competition in our market
Industry convergence and consolidation among equipment and services suppliers could potentially result in stronger competitors that are competing as end-to-end suppliers as well as competitors more specialized in particular areas, which could for example impact certain of Ericsson’s segments such as Digital Services, and Emerging Business and Other. If established actors in adjacent markets acquire players with new technologies in Ericsson’s markets, new strong competitors could emerge. Consolidation may also result in competitors with greater resources than Ericsson has. Both of these events could have a materially adverse effect on Ericsson’s business, operating results (EBIT), financial condition and market share.
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