Embraer AI Stock Analysis
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Embraer (EMBJ) AI Stock Analysis
Embraer
(NYSE:EMBJ)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially improving cash generation—and a very constructive earnings update with raised revenue and free cash flow guidance. Technicals also support the uptrend, though momentum is somewhat stretched. The main offset is valuation, with a high P/E and only a modest dividend yield.
Embraer (EMBJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $14.45B
- Dividend Yield
- 1.20%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.45M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 38.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.61
- Revenue Growth
- 19.81%
- EPS Growth
- 31.95%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 21,122
- Sector
- Industrials
- Sector Strength
- 63
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
Embraer Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Embraer SA engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and its parts for commercial, defense, and executive aviation sectors. It operates through the following segments: Commercial Aviation, Defense and Security, Executive Jet Business,...
How the Company Makes Money
Embraer makes money primarily by selling aircraft and by generating recurring aftermarket revenue from the global fleet of Embraer aircraft in operation. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Commercial Aviation: revenue from the sale and de...
Embraer Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive overall, with record revenue and backlog, broad-based growth across all business units, raised revenue and free cash flow guidance, improving balance-sheet strength and continued demand for Embraer's aircraft and services. Offsetting issues included lower adjusted net income, low Commercial Aviation margins, expected fourth-quarter Defense margin normalization, ongoing component shortages and uncertainty around certification and future product decisions. The highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For 2026, Embraer stands by guidance to deliver 80 to 85 aircraft in Commercial Aviation and 160 to 170 aircraft in Executive Aviation, with revenue guidance increased to between $8.4 billion to $8.6 billion, adjusted EBIT margin unchanged at between 10% and 10.6%, and adjusted free cash flow raised to $700 million or higher; Commercial Aviation is expected to reach a 5% EBIT until 2028, Services & Support margins can be better until the end of the decade, close to 17 to 18%, and Executive Aviation targets reaching 200 units in 2028, with CapEx in 2027, '28 expected to temporarily increase towards $500 million, $550 million before coming back to the regular level of $400 million; free cash flow to EBITDA is expected to be below 50% next year and, 2028 onwards, around this average, while Eve’s guidance is about $225 million, with a run rate close to $50 million, $55 million per quarter, full transition expected before year-end, 6 prototypes through the first half of '27, and the certification flight campaign starting in the mid-'27 and finishing in '28; OGMA revenue is expected to get up to $600 million by 2030.
Embraer Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong and improving fundamentals: accelerating TTM revenue growth, healthy profitability after prior loss years, and particularly strong TTM operating/free cash flow with good earnings quality. Main risk is variability—margin swings and historically inconsistent leverage trends warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
78PositiveBalance Sheet
74PositiveCash Flow
82Very Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 45.82B | 41.50B | 39.54B | 25.90B | 24.29B | 22.67B |
| Gross Profit | 8.42B | 7.28B | 7.13B | 4.47B | 4.88B | 3.54B |
| EBITDA | 4.00B | 3.97B | 6.27B | 2.92B | 1.22B | 1.95B |
| Net Income | 2.11B | 1.93B | 2.18B | 806.09M | -991.84M | -274.82M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 72.89B | 70.76B | 73.12B | 53.00B | 10.14B | 56.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 13.49B | 14.38B | 13.62B | 10.57B | 2.31B | 14.41B |
| Total Debt | 12.66B | 14.85B | 16.10B | 14.66B | 3.27B | 22.94B |
| Total Liabilities | 52.65B | 49.89B | 52.44B | 38.06B | 7.32B | 41.39B |
| Stockholders Equity | 18.27B | 18.87B | 19.02B | 13.70B | 2.57B | 14.96B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 5.54B | 2.11B | 2.50B | 186.20M | 2.65B | 247.10M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 7.14B | 4.76B | 5.39B | 617.00M | 4.02B | 515.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.80B | -3.35B | -3.71B | -447.60M | -585.79M | -131.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.94B | 800.19M | -2.08B | -348.70M | -3.58B | -430.60M |
Embraer Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMBJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.08, above the 50-day MA of 74.64, and above the 200-day MA of 67.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EMBJ.
Embraer Risk Analysis
Embraer disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Embraer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksEmbraer Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
GD80Outperform
LMT79Outperform
TXT75Outperform- EMBJ75Outperform
SARO66Neutral
BA50Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD | 80Outperform | $98.22B | 21.08 | 17.60% | 1.73% | 9.73% | 10.46% |
| LMT | 79Outperform | $137.69B | 21.08 | 78.85% | 2.32% | 7.86% | 57.22% |
| TXT | 75Outperform | $14.17B | 15.02 | 12.14% | 0.10% | 8.51% | 22.24% |
| EMBJ | 75Outperform | $14.29B | 38.77 | 11.54% | 1.20% | 19.81% | 31.95% |
| SARO | 66Neutral | $9.10B | 25.91 | 12.78% | ― | 8.72% | 89.83% |
| Sector * | 63Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
| BA | 50Neutral | $135.91B | 17.96 | 127.13% | ― | 17.53% | ― |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMBJ | Embraer S.A. Adr | 78.73 | 16.19 | 25.88% | |
| BA | Boeing Company | 171.50 | -20.31 | -10.59% | |
| GD | General Dynamics | 363.46 | 27.75 | 8.27% | |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 596.04 | 137.12 | 29.88% | |
| TXT | Textron | 83.65 | 3.66 | 4.58% | |
| SARO | StandardAero, Inc. | 27.73 | 3.07 | 12.45% |
Embraer Corporate Events
Embraer Wins Greek Order for Up to Six KC-390 Aircraft
Embraer is a global aerospace company focused on commercial, executive, defense and agricultural aviation, producing aircraft and systems and providing related support services. Its defense business manufactures multi-mission aircraft, including the...
Embraer Announces Forward Split of New York-Listed ADSs Effective Mid-November 2026
Embraer S.A., the Brazilian aerospace group known for commercial jets of up to 150 seats and a broad portfolio in executive, defense, and agricultural aviation, operates globally with manufacturing, service, and distribution centers across multiple c...
Embraer Files October 2026 Form 6-K With U.S. SEC
Embraer S.A., the Brazilian aerospace group and foreign private issuer in the U.S. market, reaffirmed its status as a Form 20-F filer with the Securities and Exchange Commission in October 2026. The company’s principal executive offices remain in São...
Embraer Posts Record Third-Quarter Deliveries, Raises 2026 Output Momentum
On October 2, 2026, Embraer reported record third-quarter performance, delivering 66 aircraft in 3Q26, a 6% year-over-year increase and its best third quarter in history. Total deliveries for the first nine months of 2026 reached 175 aircraft, up 14%...
Embraer Calls October 30 Extraordinary Meeting to Approve Merger of Embraer GPX
Embraer has called an extraordinary general shareholders’ meeting for October 30, 2026, to be held exclusively online via Microsoft Teams from its São Paulo headquarters, reflecting its ongoing preference for digital formats to boost foreign sharehol...
Embraer Sets Digital Shareholders’ Meeting to Approve Merger of Embraer GPX Ltda.
Embraer has called an extraordinary general shareholders’ meeting for October 30, 2026, to be held exclusively via Microsoft Teams, reflecting its ongoing shift toward digital governance and broader shareholder access, including foreign investors. Th...
Embraer Secures Expanded E190-E2 Order from ANA Holdings to Boost Japan Regional Fleet
Embraer and ANA Holdings Inc., Japan’s largest airline group holding company, announced on September 4, 2026 in Tokyo that ANA HD has signed an agreement to purchase eight additional Embraer E190-E2 aircraft. This new deal follows ANA HD’s original 2...
Embraer Announces Golden-Share Board Representative Change Effective September 1
Embraer disclosed on August 20, 2026, that board member MaurÃcio Augusto Silveira de Medeiros has resigned his position, effective September 1, 2026, ending a tenure in which he served as a representative appointed by the Brazilian Federal Government...
Embraer Announces R$154 Million Third-Quarter Interest on Equity for 2026
Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace manufacturer and exporter known for its commercial, executive, and defense aircraft, with shares listed on B3 in São Paulo and American Depositary Shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The company operate...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026