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East Japan Railway (EJPRY) AI Stock Analysis

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EJPRY

East Japan Railway

(Other OTC:EJPRY)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$13.00▲(7.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily driven by improving operating performance (revenue and earnings recovery and stronger operating cash flow) but is held back by elevated leverage and persistently weak free cash flow. Technically the trend is positive, yet overbought signals temper the near-term outlook, while valuation appears fair with a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and earnings recoveryThe return from losses in 2021–2022 to solid profitability through 2026 indicates a substantial operating recovery. Accelerating revenue growth in the latest year can strengthen internal funding, support network investment, and improve the durability of earnings if performance remains sustained.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageElevated leverage makes JR East more financially geared than a conservatively financed operator. Rising debt can increase refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, while also limiting the company’s ability to absorb weaker demand or fund new capital projects without added balance-sheet pressure.

East Japan Railway (EJPRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%EJPRY-1.36%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$27.34B
Dividend Yield
1.91%
Average Volume (3M)
52.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.4
Beta (1Y)
-0.20
Revenue Growth
2.85%
EPS Growth
2.73%
Country
US
Employees
70,623
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Railroads

East Japan Railway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

East Japan Railway Co. engages in the business of railway transportation services. It operates through the following segments: Transportation, Retails and Services, Real Estate and Hotels, and Others. The Transportation segment handles the transporta...

How the Company Makes Money

JR East generates revenue through multiple, network-linked businesses. (1) Transportation (railway) revenue: The core earnings engine is passenger rail, including (a) commuter and urban rail fares in the Greater Tokyo area and other regional cities,...

East Japan Railway Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement recovery is strong (revenue rebound and sustained profitability in 2023–2026), but the balance sheet is meaningfully leveraged (debt-to-equity ~1.6–1.8x with debt rising into 2026) and free cash flow has been negative in most years, limiting deleveraging flexibility despite improved operating cash flow.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.19T3.27T2.89T2.73T2.41T1.98T
Gross Profit1.18T1.20T1.03T964.48B636.22B299.43B
EBITDA869.48B908.88B778.32B737.33B541.16B249.97B
Net Income241.09B262.79B224.28B196.45B99.23B-94.95B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.47T10.87T10.17T9.77T9.41T9.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.36B263.38B233.67B281.00B215.19B171.29B
Total Debt5.27T5.18T4.65T4.56T4.46T4.05T
Total Liabilities7.41T7.79T7.30T7.03T6.91T6.74T
Stockholders Equity3.04T3.06T2.86T2.72T2.47T2.39T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-130.41B-38.68B-26.81B26.17B-392.55B
Operating Cash Flow0811.21B732.25B688.10B581.75B190.51B
Investing Cash Flow0-930.53B-783.42B-690.62B-565.51B-526.36B
Financing Cash Flow0147.08B3.66B66.10B26.83B304.64B

East Japan Railway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price12.15

Price Trends

50DMA11.24Positive
100DMA11.11Positive
200DMA11.31Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.36Negative
RSI57.77Neutral
STOCH76.20Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EJPRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.65, above the 50-day MA of 11.24, and above the 200-day MA of 11.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EJPRY.

East Japan Railway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

EJPRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GATXGATX75Outperform$6.53B17.3014.10%1.38%29.67%25.84%
FSTRFSTR74Outperform$442.27M31.577.74%―15.80%182.29%
WABWAB74Outperform$50.93B37.6912.17%0.39%13.25%16.83%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
EJPRYEJPRY63Neutral$27.87B17.438.23%1.91%2.85%2.73%
GBXGBX54Neutral$1.30B16.674.73%3.15%-23.97%-60.98%
RVSNRVSN44Neutral$5.61M-0.39-70.18%―191.88%51.03%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%EJPRYGATXGBXFSTRWABRVSNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
EJPRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EJPRYEast Japan Railway (EJPRY)12.15-0.18-1.49%
GATXGATX Corporation187.6733.6121.82%
GBXGreenbrier Companies42.501.393.39%
FSTRL. B. Foster Company42.3115.5658.17%
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation304.18100.6249.43%
RVSNRail Vision Ltd.2.36-8.16-77.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026