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East Japan Railway (EJPRY) AI Stock Analysis

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EJPRY

East Japan Railway

(Other OTC:EJPRY)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:$12.50▼(-2.52% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

East Japan Railway earns a moderate score. The dominant factor is its mixed financial profile: revenue and earnings have recovered strongly past pre-pandemic levels and operating cash flow is robust, but persistent negative free cash flow and a rising debt load (debt-to-equity ~1.63x) limit financial flexibility and the ability to deleverage. Technicals are the clearest positive, with the price trading above all major moving averages and a positive MACD, though the elevated RSI and Stochastic readings suggest the stock is extended in the short term. Valuation is fair at 17.3x earnings with a 1.82% dividend yield, and the negative beta points to defensive, low-correlation characteristics. Key items to watch are whether projected FY2026 growth converts into positive free cash flow and stabilized debt.

Positive Factors
Revenue and earnings recoveryThe return from losses in 2021–2022 to solid profitability through 2026 indicates a substantial operating recovery. Accelerating revenue growth in the latest year can strengthen internal funding, support network investment, and improve the durability of earnings if performance remains sustained.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageElevated leverage makes JR East more financially geared than a conservatively financed operator. Rising debt can increase refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, while also limiting the company’s ability to absorb weaker demand or fund new capital projects without added balance-sheet pressure.

East Japan Railway (EJPRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%EJPRY+4.80%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$28.99B
Dividend Yield
1.81%
Average Volume (3M)
52.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.3
Beta (1Y)
-0.17
Revenue Growth
2.85%
EPS Growth
2.73%
Country
US
Employees
70,623
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Railroads

East Japan Railway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

East Japan Railway Co. engages in the business of railway transportation services. It operates through the following segments: Transportation, Retails and Services, Real Estate and Hotels, and Others. The Transportation segment handles the transporta...

How the Company Makes Money

JR East generates revenue through multiple, network-linked businesses. (1) Transportation (railway) revenue: The core earnings engine is passenger rail, including (a) commuter and urban rail fares in the Greater Tokyo area and other regional cities,...

East Japan Railway Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (62) reflects a solid post-pandemic recovery, with revenue rising to ¥2.89 trillion in FY2025 and projected 12.2% growth in FY2026, alongside a return to consistent profitability (¥224.3 billion net income) and a healthy ~27% EBITDA margin. However, the balance sheet (45) is weighed down by elevated leverage, with debt-to-equity near 1.63x and total debt projected to climb to ¥5.18 trillion in FY2026. Cash flow (48) shows strong operating cash generation of ¥732.3 billion, but free cash flow remains negative (-¥38.7 billion in FY2025, projected to worsen to -¥130.4 billion), as heavy capital expenditure absorbs operating cash and keeps the company reliant on external financing.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.25T3.27T2.89T2.73T2.41T1.98T
Gross Profit1.21T1.20T1.03T964.48B636.22B299.43B
EBITDA901.17B908.88B778.32B737.33B541.16B249.97B
Net Income255.28B262.79B224.28B196.45B99.23B-94.95B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.88T10.87T10.17T9.77T9.41T9.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments271.86B263.38B233.67B281.00B215.19B171.29B
Total Debt5.39T5.18T4.65T4.56T4.46T4.05T
Total Liabilities7.70T7.79T7.30T7.03T6.91T6.74T
Stockholders Equity3.17T3.06T2.86T2.72T2.47T2.39T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-130.41B-38.68B-26.81B26.17B-392.55B
Operating Cash Flow0811.21B732.25B688.10B581.75B190.51B
Investing Cash Flow0-930.53B-783.42B-690.62B-565.51B-526.36B
Financing Cash Flow0147.08B3.66B66.10B26.83B304.64B

East Japan Railway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price12.82

Price Trends

50DMA11.30Positive
100DMA11.16Positive
200DMA11.31Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.41Negative
RSI64.77Neutral
STOCH77.28Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EJPRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.83, above the 50-day MA of 11.30, and above the 200-day MA of 11.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EJPRY.

East Japan Railway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

EJPRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GATXGATX75Outperform$6.61B17.6414.10%1.35%29.67%25.84%
FSTRFSTR74Outperform$453.74M31.577.74%―15.80%182.29%
WABWAB74Outperform$50.43B36.9212.17%0.40%13.25%16.83%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
EJPRYEJPRY59Neutral$28.31B18.328.23%1.81%2.85%2.73%
GBXGBX54Neutral$1.30B16.234.73%3.24%-23.97%-60.98%
RVSNRVSN42Neutral$5.02M-0.36-70.18%―191.88%51.03%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%EJPRYGATXGBXFSTRWABRVSNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
EJPRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EJPRYEast Japan Railway (EJPRY)12.820.685.63%
GATXGATX Corporation191.4340.9827.24%
GBXGreenbrier Companies41.400.882.18%
FSTRL. B. Foster Company42.3015.8059.62%
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation297.9699.0749.81%
RVSNRail Vision Ltd.2.19-7.78-77.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026