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ECARX Holdings (ECX)
NASDAQ:ECX
US Market

ECARX Holdings (ECX) AI Stock Analysis

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EC

ECARX Holdings

(NASDAQ:ECX)

44Neutral
ECARX Holdings faces significant financial challenges, with a negative equity position and high leverage, dampening its financial performance score. Technical indicators show mixed signals, suggesting caution. Valuation metrics, notably a negative P/E ratio, reflect ongoing losses. The earnings call provides a positive sentiment with revenue growth and strategic developments, offering some optimism amid broader financial issues. Immediate focus on improving profitability and reducing leverage is crucial to enhance the overall outlook.

ECARX Holdings (ECX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

ECARX Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionECARX Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, development, and delivery of vehicle technology. Its products include infotainment head units, digital cockpits, vehicle chip-set, operating system and software stack. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Shanghai, China with an additional office in Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyECARX Holdings primarily generates revenue through the sale and licensing of its automotive hardware and software solutions to vehicle manufacturers. The company partners with leading automotive brands to integrate its digital cockpits and infotainment systems into a wide range of vehicles. Additionally, ECARX earns income through strategic collaborations and alliances with industry giants, which help expand its market reach and technological capabilities. Revenue is further supported by continuous advancements in autonomous driving technology, which enhances the value proposition of ECARX's offerings to its clientele.

ECARX Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ECARX Holdings shows growth in revenue but faces substantial profitability and cash flow challenges. The negative equity and high leverage raise concerns about the company's financial stability. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management is crucial to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
ECARX Holdings has exhibited a steady revenue growth over the years, increasing from $2.24 billion in 2020 to $5.56 billion in 2024. However, the company has been consistently unprofitable with negative net incomes throughout the period, culminating in a net loss of $932.3 million in 2024. The gross profit margin has shown some stability, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are concerningly negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet presents a worrying picture with consistent negative stockholders' equity, which worsened to -$1.76 billion in 2024. The high debt-to-equity ratio reflects significant leverage, increasing financial risk. Total liabilities exceed total assets, highlighting a negative equity ratio, which is a critical concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
ECARX Holdings has struggled with cash flow management, as seen by negative free cash flow figures in recent years, reflecting inadequate cash generation to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow has also been negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its core operations to cover its expenses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.56B4.67B3.56B2.78B2.24B
Gross Profit
1.15B1.27B990.50M817.19M551.39M
EBIT
-882.20M-917.71M-1.47B-981.68M-430.48M
EBITDA
-796.40M-814.87M-1.42B-973.15M-321.69M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-932.30M-940.19M-1.54B-1.18B-439.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
454.50M699.02M737.40M877.96M729.94M
Total Assets
3.77B4.27B4.25B3.97B2.58B
Total Debt
1.99B1.81B1.56B1.06B1.10B
Net Debt
1.67B1.25B824.60M181.34M371.45M
Total Liabilities
5.52B5.10B4.43B8.04B4.41B
Stockholders Equity
-1.76B-921.41M-177.20M-4.10B-1.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-544.93M-1.31B-533.54M-951.19M-437.16M
Operating Cash Flow
-430.28M-1.24B-405.76M-872.33M-368.05M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00592.08M-283.53M-1.39B-91.11M
Financing Cash Flow
261.64M296.83M537.77M2.19B1.14B

ECARX Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.45
Price Trends
50DMA
1.81
Negative
100DMA
1.86
Negative
200DMA
1.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
54.44
Neutral
STOCH
86.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ECX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.06, below the 50-day MA of 1.81, and below the 200-day MA of 1.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ECX.

ECARX Holdings Risk Analysis

ECARX Holdings disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ECARX Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ECARX Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$6.65B11.713.09%3.98%2.65%-20.82%
SESES
54
Neutral
$298.99M-31.45%-83.20%
53
Neutral
$420.20M-92.90%110.23%12.96%
47
Neutral
$149.22M-81.61%16.25%32.95%
46
Neutral
$283.88M-18.90%124.55%56.35%
ECECX
44
Neutral
$541.91M102.04%21.32%17.48%
42
Neutral
$179.28M146.24%8.05%58.44%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ECX
ECARX Holdings
1.45
-0.22
-13.17%
LAZR
Luminar Technologies
3.95
-21.10
-84.23%
HYLN
Hyliion Holdings
1.62
0.04
2.53%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
7.68
4.24
123.26%
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies
0.75
-0.50
-40.00%
SES
SES AI Corporation Class A
0.82
-0.67
-44.97%

ECARX Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The overall sentiment of the call is positive, with significant revenue growth, successful project launches, and strategic partnerships outweighing the challenges of global vehicle sales decline and increased operating expenses.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the quarter was RMB1.2 billion, an increase of 30% year-over-year.
Operating Loss Improvement
Operating loss narrowed by 30% year-over-year to $24.6 million.
Gross Margin Stability
Gross margins remained firm at around 20%, reflecting progress in optimizing product costs.
Shipment Increase
Shipments surged to 684,000 units, a 35.8% increase year-over-year.
Geely Galaxy E8 Success
Geely's Galaxy E8 brand sold over 90,000 units in March, an increase of more than 290% year-over-year.
New Project Wins
Secured eight new project wins under Geely’s new foundation E/E architecture.
Successful Launch of New Products
Launch of Galaxy E8 and Xingyao 8 with integrated G-Pilot and Skyland Pro ADAS solution.
Technological Innovations
Integration of intelligent car driving and parking capabilities into the Antora 1000 Super Brain.
International Expansion
Successful delivery of the first digital cockpit sample to the Volkswagen Group.
Strategic Partnerships
Announced partnership with HERE Technologies for AI-powered in-vehicle navigation systems.
Negative Updates
Global Vehicle Sales Decline
Global vehicle sales fell 5.6% year-over-year, indicating supply chain challenges.
Operating Expenses
Total cost of revenue increased 34% year-over-year, driven by increased sales volume.
China Market Pressure
Despite growth, there are ongoing challenges due to competitive pricing pressures.
Company Guidance
During the ECARX First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted several key metrics and achievements. Despite a 5.6% year-over-year decline in global vehicle sales, ECARX reported a 12.9% increase in the China market, reflecting resilience in this region. The company's operating loss decreased by 30% year-over-year to $24.6 million, while total revenue rose by 30% to $168.5 million. Gross margins remained stable at around 20%, and shipments surged to 684,000 units. This growth brought the total number of vehicles equipped with ECARX technology to over 8.7 million, marking a 35.8% year-over-year increase. Notably, the Geely Galaxy E8 brand achieved significant success, with March sales exceeding 90,000 units, up over 290% year-over-year. Additionally, ECARX secured eight new project wins under Geely's new E/E architecture, launched innovative solutions like the Antora 1000 Super Brain, and held a successful 2025 Invest Day. They also completed a public offering, raising $45 million to support global expansion and R&D initiatives.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.