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Dycom Industries (DY)
:DY

Dycom (DY) AI Stock Analysis

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DY

Dycom

(NYSE:DY)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$244.00
▲( 8.83% Upside)
Dycom's strong earnings performance and strategic market positioning are key strengths, reflected in a high earnings call score. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and valuation metrics highlight potential overvaluation. Financial performance is solid, though debt levels and cash flow volatility require monitoring.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company is expected to beat consensus revenue, EBITDA, and EPS by approximately 1-2%, with customer activity starting off solid.
Growth Opportunities
Fiber and AI data center projects are ramping up, which could lead to better-than-expected financial performance.
Stock Buyback
Dycom Industries authorized a new $150 million share repurchase program, signaling confidence in the company's future.
Negative Factors
Guidance Concerns
The guidance for the second quarter might appear conservative and below consensus due to challenging comparisons with key customers.
Market Performance
DY shares initially outperformed peers before reversing gains and ultimately underperforming, possibly due to technical pressure from a short seller report and conservative guidance.
Project Backlog
The estimated project backlog for Dycom Industries fell slightly, indicating potential challenges in securing future projects.

Dycom (DY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dycom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDycom Industries, Inc. provides specialty contracting services in the United States. The company offers program management and engineering services; plans and designs aerial, underground, and buried fiber optic, copper, and coaxial cable systems; and construction, maintenance, and installation services, such as placement and splicing of fiber, copper, and coaxial cables to telecommunications providers. It also provides tower construction, lines and antenna installation, foundation and equipment pad construction, and small cell site placement for wireless carriers, as well as equipment installation and material fabrication, and site testing services; and installs and maintains customer premise equipment, such as digital video recorders, set top boxes, and modems for cable system operators. In addition, the company offers construction and maintenance services for electric and gas utilities, and other customers; and underground facility locating services, such as locating telephone, cable television, power, water, sewer, and gas lines for various utility companies, including telecommunication providers. Dycom Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyDycom generates revenue primarily through contracts with telecommunications companies, cable operators, and utility providers. The company's key revenue streams include engineering and construction services for fiber optic networks, wireless infrastructure installation, and maintenance services for existing telecommunications systems. Dycom benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major industry players, which provide a steady flow of projects and recurring revenue. The company is also positioned to capitalize on industry trends such as increased demand for high-speed internet and 5G network deployment, which drive the need for expanded telecommunications infrastructure.

Dycom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dycom shows strong revenue growth, robust EBIT margins, and financial stability. However, net income growth is moderate, and rising debt levels require attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Dycom exhibits strong revenue growth with a substantial increase from $3.1 billion in 2022 to $4.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a positive trajectory. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin, although net profit margins indicate room for improvement. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating operational efficiency. However, net income growth appears to be moderate, necessitating careful cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, highlighting manageable leverage levels. Return on equity has improved over time, showcasing enhanced profitability. The equity ratio indicates financial stability, but the total debt has increased significantly, requiring attention to debt servicing.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, supporting business operations, but free cash flow shows volatility due to capital expenditures. The company has demonstrated growth in free cash flow over recent years, enhancing liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.70B4.18B3.81B3.13B3.20B
Gross Profit
932.14M813.76M648.20M496.64M557.18M
EBIT
340.54M486.08M220.74M86.00M130.11M
EBITDA
567.36M507.69M396.99M234.21M297.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
233.41M218.92M142.21M48.57M34.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
92.67M101.09M224.19M310.76M11.77M
Total Assets
2.95B2.52B2.31B2.12B1.94B
Total Debt
1.06B885.04M892.02M901.91M646.41M
Net Debt
963.29M783.95M667.84M591.15M634.64M
Total Liabilities
1.71B1.46B1.44B1.36B1.13B
Stockholders Equity
1.24B1.05B868.75M758.54M811.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
98.64M40.48M-36.17M151.61M323.73M
Operating Cash Flow
349.10M258.98M164.79M308.65M381.78M
Investing Cash Flow
-395.20M-306.16M-183.93M-151.68M-44.63M
Financing Cash Flow
37.69M-75.91M-67.43M142.01M-383.44M

Dycom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price224.21
Price Trends
50DMA
167.25
Positive
100DMA
171.93
Positive
200DMA
178.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.05
Negative
RSI
85.90
Negative
STOCH
81.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 224.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.35, above the 50-day MA of 167.25, and above the 200-day MA of 178.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.90 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DY.

Dycom Risk Analysis

Dycom disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dycom reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our business is dependent on keeping pace with technological developments impacting our services and those of our customers. Q4, 2024
2.
Trade restrictions could be imposed on goods, materials or component parts used in our business that we import from other countries, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. Q4, 2024

Dycom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.54B21.3136.67%4.84%77.84%
75
Outperform
$5.71B87.369.21%31.49%-0.13%
74
Outperform
$4.04B19.8315.30%0.38%12.45%42.45%
FLFLR
73
Outperform
$6.31B3.6366.58%7.16%523.56%
GVGVA
72
Outperform
$3.81B38.2412.75%0.60%11.42%247.33%
DYDY
68
Neutral
$6.45B28.4319.76%12.77%1.55%
64
Neutral
$4.39B11.815.17%249.38%3.98%-12.17%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DY
Dycom
224.21
46.99
26.52%
FLR
Fluor
37.58
-2.67
-6.63%
GVA
Granite Construction
86.16
24.92
40.69%
PRIM
Primoris Services
69.72
16.74
31.60%
STRL
Sterling Construction
182.29
56.86
45.33%
ROAD
Construction Partners
100.42
41.91
71.63%

Dycom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 15.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with Dycom exceeding guidance expectations and increasing revenue forecasts due to strong performance in fiber-to-the-home and data center projects. Despite some challenges related to macroeconomic uncertainty and cash flow, the company's record backlog and strategic growth initiatives indicate a strong position in the market.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Guidance Expectations
Dycom exceeded the high end of guidance for Q1 2026 in all metrics, including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS. Revenue was $1.259 billion, a 10.2% increase over Q1 2025, and adjusted EBITDA was $150.4 million, representing an increase of 14.9% over Q1 2025.
Record Backlog
Dycom reported a record backlog of $8.1 billion, including a record $4.7 billion expected to be completed in the next 12 months.
Increased Revenue Expectations
Due to strong performance, Dycom increased its revenue expectations for fiscal 2026 to a range of $5.29 billion to $5.425 billion, representing a growth range of 12.5% to 15.4% over the previous year.
Fiber-to-the-Home and Data Center Growth
Significant growth in fiber-to-the-home programs and data center-related fiber demand, including new multiyear awards from ISP customers and hyperscaler projects.
Successful Share Repurchase
The company repurchased 200,000 shares for $30.2 million during the quarter, returning capital to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Tariff Impacts
Despite confidence in ongoing projects, Dycom acknowledged macroeconomic uncertainty and potential impacts from recent tariffs, although they expect these to be manageable.
Cash Flow Challenges
Operating cash flows were used in the quarter, with a negative cash flow of $54 million, reflecting seasonal cash use and the need for improvement in this area.
Company Guidance
During the Dycom Industries Inc. First Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call, the company reported that it exceeded the high end of its guidance on all key financial metrics, including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS. The first quarter revenue was $1.259 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase compared to Q1 2025. The adjusted EBITDA was $150.4 million, which represented 11.9% of revenues and marked a 14.9% increase over the prior year. The company also repurchased 200,000 shares for $30.2 million during the quarter. Based on strong performance and market conditions, Dycom raised its revenue expectations for the fiscal year to a range of $5.29 billion to $5.425 billion. The company highlighted its record backlog of $8.1 billion, with $4.7 billion expected to be completed in the next 12 months, underscoring its confidence in industry drivers and strategic growth opportunities.

Dycom Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dycom Highlights Strong Fiscal 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Dycom Industries released presentation materials on their website, highlighting strong financial performance for fiscal 2025, with a 12.6% increase in contract revenues and a 19.8% rise in adjusted EBITDA. The company attributes its success to meeting growing industry demand and maintaining high-quality service. The presentation also underscores the increasing demand for high-speed connectivity and fiber infrastructure, driven by consumer data usage and significant investments in AI-enabled data centers. State and federal programs are also contributing to broadband expansion, particularly in underserved rural areas, indicating a robust outlook for Dycom’s continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (DY) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dycom stock, see the DY Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dycom Reports Strong Q1 2026 Results, Exceeds Guidance
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Dycom Industries, Inc. reported strong fiscal 2026 first-quarter results, exceeding guidance on revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and EPS. The company achieved a 10.2% increase in revenue compared to Q1 2025 and repurchased 200,000 shares for $30.2 million. Dycom’s record backlog of $8.1 billion reflects its confidence in industry drivers and market opportunities. The company plans to increase its revenue expectations for the year, driven by growth in its service and maintenance business and fiber-to-the-home deployments. Dycom’s strategic positioning and ability to handle industry complexities have favored its operations, despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (DY) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dycom stock, see the DY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dycom Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

On March 3, 2025, Dycom Industries, Inc. released presentation materials on its website, highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported strong revenue growth and margin expansion for fiscal 2025, with contract revenues reaching $4.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA at $576 million. Dycom’s success is attributed to its ability to meet growing industry demand and maintain high-quality service. The announcement also emphasized the increasing demand for high-speed connectivity and fiber infrastructure, driven by consumer data usage and government programs supporting broadband expansion. These trends position Dycom favorably in the telecommunications industry, with multiple tailwinds expected to drive sustainable growth.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dycom Announces Q4 Results and Stock Repurchase Plan
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Dycom Industries, Inc. held a webcast and conference call to discuss its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter results, reporting revenues of $1.085 billion and an Adjusted EBITDA of $116.4 million. The company announced a new $150 million stock repurchase program and highlighted its strategic focus on fiber-to-the-home expansion, long-haul fiber infrastructure, and broadband initiatives, positioning itself for continued growth in fiscal 2026 with an expected revenue increase of 10% to 13%.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.