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Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) AI Stock Analysis

DWSN

Dawson Geophysical Company

(NASDAQ:DWSN)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:$2.00â–²(9.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

The overall score is constrained by very weak technicals, with the stock in a clear downtrend below all major moving averages. Financial performance shows a recovery in profitability, but negative free cash flow and moderate leverage are significant risks. Valuation is neutral and does not provide a catalyst. The company's turnaround is fragile, and the market is currently pricing in significant uncertainty.

Positive Factors
Profitability RecoveryThe return to positive earnings and materially stronger gross margin indicates that Dawson’s operations have regained economic traction. If maintained, improved operating profitability can support reinvestment, strengthen resilience through industry cycles, and provide a foundation for more durable earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageDebt roughly equal to equity leaves Dawson more exposed to operating setbacks and cyclical weakness than in earlier years. Higher leverage can increase financing pressure, reduce flexibility for investment, and make the company more dependent on sustaining its recent earnings recovery.

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%DWSN-8.96%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$56.83M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
117.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.0
Beta (1Y)
0.00
Revenue Growth
86.31%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
269
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Dawson Geophysical Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) specializes in the collection and interpretation of onshore seismic data, operating across both the United States and Canada. They are adept at capturing and analyzing various forms of seismic information—including 2...

Dawson Geophysical Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 29, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-30.68%|Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a number of clear operational and financial improvements: strong Q4 revenue growth (+67%), restoration of quarterly profitability, sizable increases in adjusted EBITDA (both quarter and year), $14 million of operating cash generated, a major equipment investment expanding capacity to over 180,000 channels, and continued cost discipline (G&A down 9%). Offsetting these positives are the remaining full-year net loss (-$1.9 million), a modest year-end cash balance ($4.9 million) after significant capex, relatively small field scale in Q4, no forward guidance, and some uncertainty around external demand drivers. Overall, the positive operational momentum, improved margins and strategic investments outweigh the outstanding challenges.

Positive Updates

Strong Q4 Revenue Growth
Fee revenues for Q4 2025 were $22.9 million, up 67% versus $13.8 million in Q4 2024.

Negative Updates

Full-Year Net Loss Remains
Despite improvement, the company reported a net loss of $1.9 million for fiscal 2025 (EPS -$0.06), so full-year profitability has not yet been achieved.

Company Guidance

Management said the company would not provide formal guidance, but outlined expectations and key metrics: Q4 fee revenues were $22.9M (up 67% YoY) with Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $3.3M (vs $0.9M), full-year 2025 fee revenues were $61.9M (up 16% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA $4.7M (up 139% YoY), Q4 net income was $0.6M ($0.02/share) vs a prior-year Q4 loss of $0.8M ($0.03), and the FY net loss narrowed to $1.9M ($0.06) from $4.7M ($0.13); the company generated $14M of operating cash flow in 2025, ended the year with $4.9M cash (vs $1.4M), has a $5M revolver with a $4.9M borrowing base and no outstanding balance, purchased $24.2M of new equipment (including single‑node channels delivered Aug 2025–Jan 2026), holds over 180,000 channels, cut G&A 9% in 2025, and has a Board‑approved 2026 capital budget of $3M (including a $0.9M final equipment payment), while operating 4 crews in the Lower 48 and 2 in Canada in Q4 (moving to 3 large‑channel crews in Canada in Q1) and expecting continued improvement in profitability, higher utilization and increased bid activity into Q1 2026.

Dawson Geophysical Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows a return to profitability with 8.4% revenue growth and positive net income, but margins remain thin. The balance sheet has moderate leverage (debt-to-equity of 1.0) and a declining equity base. Cash flow is a concern, with negative free cash flow of $4.5 million due to high capital expenditures, despite positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.31M75.63M74.15M96.85M51.63M24.70M
Gross Profit27.71M7.35M5.40M1.70M-6.75M11.83M
EBITDA12.21M4.27M1.78M-3.65M-6.68M-16.23M
Net Income3.64M-1.94M-4.12M-12.15M-18.64M-29.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.32M56.01M30.87M58.19M68.67M74.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.13M5.28M1.39M16.04M18.87M25.64M
Total Debt20.05M20.66M5.78M6.23M4.93M5.21M
Total Liabilities35.29M40.20M13.59M26.76M19.87M11.56M
Stockholders Equity20.04M15.81M17.28M31.43M48.80M62.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.45M7.15M-3.73M-2.91M-4.70M-16.55M
Operating Cash Flow3.35M13.98M-1.87M814.00K-3.27M-16.05M
Investing Cash Flow-7.92M-6.73M-735.00K-4.50M-1.09M264.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.83M-3.68M-11.56M-4.20M-2.15M95.00K

Dawson Geophysical Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.83

Price Trends

50DMA2.83Negative
100DMA3.79Negative
200DMA3.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.29Positive
RSI21.78Positive
STOCH28.07Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DWSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.27, below the 50-day MA of 2.83, and below the 200-day MA of 3.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.78 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DWSN.

Dawson Geophysical Company Risk Analysis

Dawson Geophysical Company disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dawson Geophysical Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

  • Finance & Corporate11
  • Tech & Innovation4
  • Legal & Regulatory5
  • Production6
  • Ability to Sell5
  • Macro & Political3
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Dawson Geophysical Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

DWSN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SNDSND83Outperform$205.21M17.914.41%7.23%26.53%1135.48%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
NINENINE55Neutral$109.37M1.21514.81%―-7.15%―
DWSNDWSN49Neutral$56.83M14.9919.56%―86.31%―
DTIDTI47Neutral$56.63M-19.84-2.49%―-5.48%32.73%
KLXEKLXE46Neutral$117.30M-0.3573.91%―-4.78%22.13%
RCONRCON42Neutral$2.04M-0.02-8.07%―69.14%90.45%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%200%DWSNRCONSNDNINEKLXEDTIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DWSN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DWSNDawson Geophysical1.83-0.23-11.17%
RCONRecon Technology0.98-333.02-99.71%
SNDSmart Sand Inc4.842.81138.31%
NINENine Energy Service, Inc.7.84-0.36-4.39%
KLXEKlx Energy Services Holdings1.11-0.70-38.67%
DTIDrilling Tools International Corp.1.60-0.63-28.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2026