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Diana Shipping (DSX) AI Stock Analysis

DSX

Diana Shipping

(NYSE:DSX)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:$2.50â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/30/26

DSX scores in the low-to-mid range, weighed down primarily by deteriorating fundamentals: three consecutive years of revenue decline, a steep drop in earnings and operating cash flow from the 2022 freight-rate peak, and elevated leverage with debt exceeding equity. Offsetting this, technicals are constructive — the stock trades above all key moving averages with positive MACD, though momentum indicators are stretched — and the valuation is inexpensive at ~5.7x earnings with a modest 1.4% yield. The result is a cyclical shipping name with attractive optionality on a rate recovery but meaningful downside risk if weakness persists.

Positive Factors
Positive Operating Cash FlowConsistently positive operating cash flow indicates that core vessel operations are generating cash across reporting periods. This supports routine operating obligations and provides a foundation for funding maintenance, servicing debt, and sustaining the fleet through changing freight conditions.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and CyclicalityMulti-year revenue contraction and volatile margins show that earnings remain highly exposed to dry-bulk freight cycles and vessel-rate changes. This can make sustainable growth difficult, complicate planning, and cause operating results to weaken materially when charter markets soften.

Diana Shipping (DSX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%DSX+55.18%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$311.03M
Dividend Yield
1.60%
Average Volume (3M)
1.06M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.1
Beta (1Y)
1.03
Revenue Growth
-3.68%
EPS Growth
258.59%
Country
US
Employees
981
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Marine Shipping

Diana Shipping Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Diana Shipping Inc. specializes in providing maritime transportation solutions. The company is responsible for the global carriage of various dry bulk commodities, such as iron ore, coal, grain, and other loose materials, across shipping routes world...

How the Company Makes Money

Diana Shipping makes money primarily by chartering out its dry bulk vessels and earning freight/charter hire from customers for the use of those ships. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Time charter revenue: The company leases vessels to charterer...

Diana Shipping Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 27, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:0.04%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted several strong company-level fundamentals — very high fleet utilization (99.9%), improved earnings per share, disciplined multi-year charter coverage (~83% of remaining 2026 days contracted) and a solid liquidity/debt position (cash ~$125M; net LTV ~46%). Strategic initiatives (increased Genco offer with committed financing), ESG recognition and fleet modernization plans add to the positive outlook. Key risks center on macro and geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East conflict impacts, possible commodity policy actions in Guinea/Indonesia), remaining unfixed days (~17%), some higher per‑day operating costs, and execution risk around the Genco transaction. Overall, the positives (operational performance, contracted revenues, improved profitability and liquidity) outweigh the challenges presented, but material external risks remain that could affect forward performance.

Positive Updates

Exceptional Fleet Utilization
Fleet utilization reached 99.9% for the three months ended 03/31/2026, demonstrating extremely high operational employment and commercial discipline.

Negative Updates

Geopolitical Disruption and Operational Headwinds
The Middle East conflict has increased bunker prices, lengthened ton‑miles and caused utilization tightening (vessels rerouting, greater canal congestion), creating cost and schedule pressure across trades and contributing to market uncertainty.

Company Guidance

Management guided that it has already secured roughly 83% of ownership days for the remainder of 2026, translating to about $123–124 million of contracted revenues at an average fixed time‑charter rate of roughly $18–18.3k/day (only ~17% of 2026 days remain unfixed), and has fixed $44.1 million of revenues for ~17% of 2027 days at an average ~$19.9k/day with an average contract duration of 1.24 years; fleet utilization was 99.9%, cash was ~$124–125 million, long‑term debt was $621 million and net loan‑to‑value ~46%, management reported cash‑flow breakeven rates of roughly $16.03k and ~$44k/day, potential total revenues (including unfixed days) of about $150 million for the remainder of 2026 and $252 million for 2027, and a gradual debt amortization profile with a $175 million senior unsecured bond maturing in 2029.

Diana Shipping Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are under clear pressure. Revenue has declined three straight years (~26% off the 2022 peak, -9.5% TTM), net income collapsed from $119M in 2022 to $12.7M in 2024, and EBITDA margins compressed from 62.5% to the mid-30s before a partial TTM recovery. The balance sheet is leveraged, with debt of $621M exceeding equity of $530M (D/E ~1.10x) and ROE falling from 24.4% to low single digits, though equity has slowly built. Cash flow remains positive but operating cash flow has fallen roughly two-thirds from peak, and weak debt coverage ratios are a concern given the high leverage in a cyclical industry. Stabilizing TTM margins are a modest offset.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.94M213.54M228.21M262.10M289.97M214.20M
Gross Profit74.55M74.36M87.32M113.21M167.67M93.39M
EBITDA134.03M104.97M102.17M146.03M187.11M115.95M
Net Income60.20M17.83M12.75M49.84M119.06M57.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.17B1.17B1.17B1.18B842.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments273.16M240.45M188.17M162.32M122.93M126.79M
Total Debt606.05M636.11M637.52M642.77M663.44M423.68M
Total Liabilities643.95M667.78M665.96M677.39M695.59M448.75M
Stockholders Equity551.45M502.41M505.06M489.02M487.33M393.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow044.33M54.06M36.92M-75.41M63.12M
Operating Cash Flow69.29M47.51M78.29M68.66M155.56M82.11M
Investing Cash Flow-32.88M-32.01M-39.78M24.93M-273.10M13.36M
Financing Cash Flow-56.20M-36.91M-16.43M-69.42M88.18M-51.59M

Diana Shipping Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.50

Price Trends

50DMA2.78Negative
100DMA2.52Negative
200DMA2.48Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Positive
RSI35.97Neutral
STOCH53.03Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DSX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.65, below the 50-day MA of 2.78, and above the 200-day MA of 2.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DSX.

Diana Shipping Risk Analysis

Diana Shipping disclosed 116 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diana Shipping reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.?If our vessels call on ports located in countries or territories that are the subject of sanctions or embargoes imposed by the U.S. government, the European Union, the United Nations, or other governmental authorities, it could lead to monetary fines or penalties and may adversely affect our reputation and the market for our securities.Q4, 2020
2.?Outbreaks of epidemic and pandemic diseases, including COVID-19, and governmental responses thereto could adversely affect our business.Q4, 2020

Diana Shipping Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DSX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SBSB82Outperform$911.81M10.3210.32%2.93%10.81%81.30%
SHIPSHIP81Outperform$344.74M5.5620.72%5.53%31.98%274.58%
GLBSGLBS76Outperform$62.37M9.133.80%―47.79%―
GNKGNK66Neutral$1.14B28.600.02%6.87%25.64%156.91%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
USEAUSEA55Neutral$24.43M-12.46-3.03%15.23%-16.73%72.04%
DSXDSX52Neutral$311.03M5.1411.56%1.60%-3.68%258.59%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%DSXGNKGLBSSBSHIPUSEADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DSX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DSXDiana Shipping2.500.8248.81%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Ltd26.1910.6868.80%
GLBSGlobus Maritime2.891.71144.92%
SBSafe Bulkers Inc8.013.5780.28%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp15.918.08103.30%
USEAUnited Maritime Corp.2.561.2189.77%

Diana Shipping Corporate Events

Diana Shipping Secures Higher-Rate Time Charter for Capesize Vessel G. P. Zafirakis

Oct 8, 2026

On October 8, 2026, Diana Shipping Inc., a global dry bulk shipping company listed on the NYSE, reported that it operates a diversified fleet of 36 dry bulk vessels across multiple size segments, with a combined carrying capacity of about 4.1 million...

Diana Shipping Secures Higher-Rate Time Charter for Ultramax DSI Polaris

Sep 22, 2026

On September 21, 2026, Diana Shipping Inc. announced that a wholly-owned subsidiary has entered into a new time charter contract with Dai An Ocean Shipping Company Limited for its 60,404 dwt Ultramax vessel m/v DSI Polaris, at a gross rate of $18,000...

Diana Shipping Boosts Earnings With New Time Charter for M/V Astarte

Sep 16, 2026

As of mid-September 2026, Diana Shipping entered into a new time charter contract for its 2013-built Kamsarmax dry bulk vessel m/v Astarte with Aquavita International S.A. The charter, set to commence on September 20, 2026 at a gross rate of US$17,00...

Diana Shipping Secures Higher-Rate Charter Extension for Panamax Vessel Leto

Aug 25, 2026

On August 24, 2026, Diana Shipping Inc. announced that a wholly owned subsidiary has agreed to a direct continuation of the time charter contract with Cargill International SA for the Panamax dry bulk vessel m/v Leto. The extended charter, starting a...

Diana Shipping Pulls Genco Takeover Bid After Rejecting Board’s Valuation Demands

Aug 14, 2026

On August 14, 2026, Diana Shipping announced it has withdrawn its offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Genco Shipping & Trading that it does not already own, ending a nine-month pursuit marked by four successive bid proposals. The withdrawn...

Diana Shipping, Star Bulk End Genco Vessel Deal; Takeover Bid and $1.4B Financing Intact

Aug 11, 2026

On August 10, 2026, Diana Shipping Inc. and Star Bulk Carriers Corp. announced that they have mutually terminated the agreement under which Star Bulk would acquire 16 vessels from Genco Shipping & Trading Limited following Diana’s proposed...

Diana Shipping Secures Long-Term NYK Charter for Capesize M/V Florida

Aug 7, 2026

On August 7, 2026, Diana Shipping Inc. announced that through a wholly owned subsidiary it has entered into a new time charter contract with Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha of Tokyo for its 182,063 dwt Capesize dry bulk vessel m/v Florida. The charter,...

Diana Shipping Files H1 2026 Results and Details Charter Coverage Through 2028

Aug 4, 2026

Diana Shipping Inc., a dry bulk vessel owner focused on time-charter contracts across Ultramax, Panamax, Kamsarmax, Post-Panamax, Capesize and Newcastlemax segments, has detailed the employment profile of its fleet alongside interim financial disclos...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026