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Deluxe (DLX) AI Stock Analysis

DLX

Deluxe

(NYSE:DLX)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:$27.00▲(16.38% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/07/26

The overall score of 73 reflects a company with strong financial fundamentals and a transformative strategic acquisition, balanced by mixed technicals. The most significant positive factors are the robust cash flow generation and the Celero Commerce acquisition, which accelerates the shift to higher-growth payments. The low P/E ratio and high dividend yield add to the attractiveness. These strengths are partially offset by tepid organic revenue growth and a technical picture that lacks clear upward momentum.

Positive Factors
Strong Cash GenerationFree cash flow has strengthened materially and converted at roughly 0.85 times TTM net income, supporting debt service, reinvestment, and shareholder commitments. This cash-generation profile gives Deluxe greater internal funding capacity as it integrates its payments expansion.
Negative Factors
Limited Revenue GrowthFlat or declining revenue limits the company’s ability to compound earnings despite recent margin improvement. Without sustained top-line expansion, operating leverage may have less room to develop and Deluxe could remain dependent on efficiency gains rather than broad-based business growth.

Deluxe Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Adjusted EBITDA by SegmentShows each business unit’s operating profitability after removing one-time items, highlighting which lines actually generate cash and margins. For Deluxe, the split reveals whether higher-margin, recurring businesses (like digital services and payments) are driving profits versus lower-margin legacy print and check products. Tracking segment EBITDA trends helps you judge if growth is profitable, how well the company covers debt and reinvestment needs, and where execution or margin risk is concentrated.

-$50.00M$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Deluxe’s adjusted‑EBITDA is clearly migrating away from legacy Print/Checks toward higher‑growth, higher‑margin Payments and Data; merchant and B2B payments plus Data now drive EBITDA expansion and improved free cash flow, offsetting Print revenue headwinds. Management’s SG&A cuts, AI efficiency and margin discipline pushed overall EBITDA and leverage materially better, but investors should watch for moderating Data growth and ongoing promo softness that could limit top‑line upside despite continued margin gains.

Data provided by:The Fly

Deluxe (DLX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%DLX+30.68%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.04B
Dividend Yield
5.31%
Average Volume (3M)
450.45K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.0
Beta (1Y)
1.07
Revenue Growth
0.30%
EPS Growth
71.14%
Country
US
Employees
4,571
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Deluxe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Deluxe Corporation offers a wide array of technology-driven services tailored for large enterprises, small businesses, and financial institutions across a global footprint that includes the United States, Canada, Australia, South America, and Europe....

How the Company Makes Money

Deluxe makes money primarily by selling a portfolio of business services and payments-related solutions through multiple channels, including direct sales, partner programs, and relationships with financial institutions. Key revenue streams include: (...

Deluxe Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-22.89%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized multiple notable operational and financial wins: strong adjusted EBITDA and EPS expansion, robust growth in Data and Merchant Services, disciplined SG&A reductions, meaningful free cash flow generation, strategic partnerships, AI-driven efficiency gains and reaching the 3x net leverage target ahead of schedule. These strengths offset continuing declines in the Print segment (revenue down ~5.9%) and modest overall revenue growth (0.3% reported, 2.7% comparable). Management maintained full-year free cash flow guidance and provided updated ranges that reflect the Safeguard divestiture while forecasting moderate top-line growth. On balance, the company presented a clear transformation story with expanding profitability and balance sheet progress despite legacy print headwinds and moderation risk in data growth.

Positive Updates

Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA of $117.9M, up 19.7% on a comparable adjusted basis; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 21.9%, up 310 basis points year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Print Revenue Decline
Print segment revenue of $262.2M declined 5.9% year-over-year on a comparable adjusted basis (legacy Check revenues down 4.4%; the rest of the print segment down 8.4%), driving continued headwinds in the legacy print business.

Company Guidance

Management updated full‑year 2026 guidance to revenue of $1.985B–$2.05B (≈ −1% to +2% comparable adjusted growth), adjusted EBITDA of $430M–$455M (≈ +4% to +10% comparable adjusted growth), adjusted EPS of $3.60–$4.00 (≈ +9% to +21% comparable adjusted growth) and unchanged free cash flow of ~ $200M (≈ +14% vs. 2025), with the ranges revised to reflect the March 1 Safeguard divestiture; guidance assumptions include interest expense of ≈ $110M, an adjusted tax rate of 26%, depreciation & amortization of ≈ $135M (including ~$40M of acquisition amortization), an average share count of ≈ 46.5M, and capital expenditures of $90M–$100M, and remains subject to prevailing macroeconomic conditions.

Deluxe Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is strong, driven by robust cash flow (Score: 85) and a significantly improved balance sheet (Score: 80). Profitability has markedly increased, with net income more than tripling. The main offset is tepid revenue growth, reflected in the Income Statement Score of 70. Overall, effective cost management and strong cash conversion support a high score.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.11B2.13B2.12B2.19B2.24B2.02B
Gross Profit1.11B1.13B1.13B1.16B1.21B1.14B
EBITDA397.58M379.00M365.32M335.14M351.38M298.12M
Net Income100.63M82.10M52.80M26.12M65.39M62.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.56B2.86B2.83B3.08B3.08B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.90M310.50M34.40M71.96M40.44M41.23M
Total Debt1.46B1.55B1.56B1.67B1.71B1.75B
Total Liabilities1.85B2.18B2.21B2.48B2.47B2.50B
Stockholders Equity707.50M683.80M620.75M604.09M603.81M574.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow236.39M175.30M99.89M97.62M86.90M101.68M
Operating Cash Flow355.83M270.60M194.28M198.37M191.50M210.82M
Investing Cash Flow-77.53M-131.70M-69.84M-43.30M-80.30M-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow-514.84M-136.80M-267.25M-37.68M-48.60M912.96M

Deluxe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price23.20

Price Trends

50DMA23.37Negative
100DMA23.88Negative
200DMA24.99Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.13Positive
RSI42.71Neutral
STOCH17.25Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.20 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.97, below the 50-day MA of 23.37, and below the 200-day MA of 24.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DLX.

Deluxe Risk Analysis

Deluxe disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deluxe reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Deluxe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DLX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CASSCASS78Outperform$675.40M17.7015.98%2.43%2.08%24.97%
EBFEBF78Outperform$541.29M13.8812.58%4.74%2.27%-5.62%
DLXDLX73Outperform$1.04B9.9914.63%5.31%0.30%71.14%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HHSHHS51Neutral$28.85M-5.06-30.13%―-11.62%-87.59%
CMPRCMPR48Neutral$1.40B16.29-16.71%―10.00%149.97%
QUADQUAD48Neutral$370.80M13.1621.18%5.21%-4.88%28.67%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%DLXCASSEBFHHSQUADCMPRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DLX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DLXDeluxe Corp.22.595.2730.39%
CASSCass Information52.7414.6438.42%
EBFEnnis Inc21.385.2332.36%
HHSHarte-Hanks, Inc.3.870.9532.53%
QUADQuad/Graphics, Inc. Class A7.201.9537.22%
CMPRCimpress NV57.02-9.07-13.72%

Deluxe Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Deluxe Refinances Debt and Completes Celero Commerce Acquisition

Positive
Jul 31, 2026

On July 31, 2026, Deluxe entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement that refinanced its debt structure, establishing $400 million in senior secured first-lien revolving credit capacity and an $800 million senior secured first-lien te...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Deluxe to Acquire Celero Commerce in Cash Deal

Positive
Jun 18, 2026

On June 17, 2026, Deluxe signed an equity purchase and merger agreement to acquire Celero Commerce in an all-cash deal valued at approximately $625 million, plus transaction expenses and adjustments, to be financed through an incremental term loan an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026