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Cimpress (CMPR) AI Stock Analysis

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CMPR

Cimpress

(NASDAQ:CMPR)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:$64.00â–²(11.73% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet risk (high debt with negative equity) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all major moving averages and negative MACD). These are partially offset by improved profitability and meaningful free cash flow generation, plus maintained multi-year guidance despite a weaker-than-expected quarter. Valuation is moderate with a P/E around 15, providing some support but not enough to outweigh the leverage and momentum concerns.

Positive Factors
Mass-Customization ModelCimpress combines digital ordering, standardized workflows, and scaled production to serve many customized orders efficiently. This model can support repeat purchasing, customer lifetime value, and operating leverage as product breadth and order volumes expand across its brands.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative EquityHigh debt and persistently negative equity leave Cimpress with a limited balance-sheet cushion if demand or profitability weakens. Leverage can also constrain acquisitions, investment, and other capital-allocation choices while increasing the importance of sustained cash generation.

Cimpress Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyShows where revenue comes from across regions such as North America, Europe and other markets, revealing geographic concentration, exposure to currency swings, and where the biggest growth opportunities or risks lie for scaling the mass-customization model.

$0.00$250.00M$500.00M$750.00M$1.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Europe has become Cimpress’s clearest geographic growth engine, with momentum strengthening after the Saxoprint acquisition and supporting a larger contribution relative to North America. North America remains resilient but comparatively mature, with manufacturing investments and the Canva integration providing potential upside as capacity expands. The small Other markets remain immaterial. Canadian tariff uncertainty is a near-term risk for North American fulfillment, though management expects operational mitigations and continues to forecast profitable growth.

Data provided by:The Fly

Cimpress (CMPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%CMPR-12.76%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.41B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
230.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.85
Revenue Growth
10.00%
EPS Growth
149.97%
Country
US
Employees
16,000
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Cimpress Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cimpress plc provides various mass customization of printing and related products in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Vista, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, National Pen, and All Other Businesses. The com...

How the Company Makes Money

Cimpress makes money primarily by selling customized print and promotional products through its e-commerce and digitally enabled order channels. Customers design or configure items (often via online design tools and templates), place orders, and pay...

Cimpress Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:-23.41%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed outlook. The first quarter missed expectations, with organic growth below target, adjusted EBITDA down 9%, continued pressure from legacy products and channels, and cost headwinds from manufacturing startups, tariffs, energy, and restructuring. However, management maintained fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028 guidance, cited strong high-value customer growth, improving cash flow, acquisition progress, AI and manufacturing initiatives, and a clear cost-reduction plan. The positive strategic and forward-looking commentary broadly balanced the weaker quarterly performance.

Positive Updates

Fiscal 2027 Guidance Maintained
Management maintained fiscal 2027 guidance for reported revenue growth of at least 7%, organic constant currency growth of at least 3%, adjusted EBITDA of at least $520 million, and adjusted free cash flow of approximately $200 million. Management also maintained fiscal 2028 targets of 4%-6% organic constant currency growth, at least $615 million of adjusted EBITDA, and approximately 45% conversion of EBITDA to adjusted free cash flow.

Negative Updates

Q1 Results Below Expectations
Robert Keane stated that first-quarter fiscal 2027 financial results were below expectations. Management said the quarter included specific headwinds, although it did not change its conviction in the full-year guidance or long-term trajectory.

Company Guidance

Cimpress is maintaining its fiscal 2027 guidance for reported revenue growth of at least 7%, organic constant currency growth of at least 3%, adjusted EBITDA of at least $520 million, and adjusted free cash flow of approximately $200 million; for fiscal 2028, it continues to target 4%-6% organic constant currency growth, at least $615 million of adjusted EBITDA, and approximately 45% conversion of that EBITDA to adjusted free cash flow. The fiscal 2027 bridge includes tuck-in M&A contributing $18 million-$21 million, currency contribution of $5 million-$10 million, and about $25 million of in-year cost savings; increased revenue from acquisitions is expected to be $165 million-$175 million, with an in-year increase of EBITDA of $18 million-$21 million. The company continues to expect net leverage to be approximately 2.5 times as it finishes this year and meaningfully below 2.0 times at the end of fiscal 2028, subject to capital allocation choices that we may make, while manufacturing startup costs and new Canadian tariffs are expected to reduce in the second half of this year, and profit and cash flow growth are expected to build from Q2 through the rest of fiscal 2027 and into fiscal 2028.

Cimpress Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating results and cash generation have improved (TTM operating margin ~6.9%, EBITDA margin ~11.0%, and TTM free cash flow ~$192M), but the balance sheet is a major overhang with high debt (~$1.77B) and persistently negative equity (TTM about -$499M). Net profitability remains thin (TTM net margin ~2.6%) and has been volatile, which increases durability risk.

Income Statement

67Positive

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.81B3.74B3.40B3.29B3.08B2.89B
Gross Profit1.74B1.73B1.62B1.60B1.44B1.39B
EBITDA397.69M410.48M353.32M400.03M245.00M284.44M
Net Income85.57M95.87M14.95M173.68M-185.98M-54.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.24B2.20B1.97B1.89B1.85B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.13M248.85M233.98M208.28M168.85M327.00M
Total Debt1.83B1.75B1.71B1.72B1.76B1.79B
Total Liabilities2.65B2.68B2.53B2.41B2.47B2.53B
Stockholders Equity-499.25M-493.99M-583.49M-550.15M-623.14M-494.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.71M183.46M144.95M295.79M18.73M100.20M
Operating Cash Flow288.32M283.71M298.07M350.72M130.29M219.54M
Investing Cash Flow-299.36M-195.56M-140.76M-54.61M-103.72M-4.00M
Financing Cash Flow-62.46M-68.02M-135.92M-222.55M-177.11M-106.57M

Cimpress Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price57.28

Price Trends

50DMA74.03Negative
100DMA84.88Negative
200DMA83.40Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.86Positive
RSI32.58Neutral
STOCH27.92Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 57.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.76, below the 50-day MA of 74.03, and below the 200-day MA of 83.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMPR.

Cimpress Risk Analysis

Cimpress disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cimpress reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Shifts in online search behavior, including the rise of generative AI tools and agentic search technologies, may negatively impact customer traffic and acquisition efficiency and conversion rates, which could materially harm our business, results of operations, and financial condition.Q2, 2025
2.We may not be successful in advancing the use of artificial intelligence, and new competitors may develop new or better products using artificial intelligence that take market share, which could adversely affect our business, brand perception, or financial results.Q2, 2024

Cimpress Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

CMPR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CTASCTAS83Outperform$90.34B44.1042.08%0.86%9.51%12.19%
EBFEBF78Outperform$537.75M13.7912.58%4.77%2.27%-5.62%
DLXDLX75Outperform$1.23B15.3911.39%4.48%0.38%-4.98%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CMPRCMPR53Neutral$1.39B16.36-16.71%―10.00%149.97%
HHSHHS51Neutral$30.04M-6.12-28.18%―-11.62%-87.59%
QUADQUAD48Neutral$384.21M13.8521.18%4.92%-4.88%28.67%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%CMPRCTASDLXEBFHHSQUADDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CMPR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CMPRCimpress NV57.28-7.97-12.21%
CTASCintas226.2444.2924.34%
DLXDeluxe Corp.26.788.4245.88%
EBFEnnis Inc21.245.6436.15%
HHSHarte-Hanks, Inc.4.011.2444.77%
QUADQuad/Graphics, Inc. Class A7.622.5650.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026