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Truth Social
(NASDAQ:DJT)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▼(-10.53% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
DJT’s score is constrained primarily by very weak financial performance (large and worsening losses, negative margins/ROE, and higher leverage), despite modestly positive TTM cash flow. Technicals are only mildly supportive (above short/mid-term averages but below the 200-day), and valuation is unattractive/opaque due to negative earnings and no dividend. The latest earnings call adds some credit for early monetization progress (Truth API/Truth+ traction) and reported asset base, but near-term risk remains elevated due to mark-to-market volatility and the unresolved convertible-notes overhang.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
Strong reported revenue growth indicates that Truth Social is beginning to expand monetization across advertising, subscriptions, and related platform offerings. If sustained, broader revenue diversification can improve operating leverage and provide a stronger base for funding product investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe and worsening unprofitability
The sharp widening of losses and negative gross profit show that the current cost structure is not scaling with revenue. Persistent negative margins reduce the company’s ability to self-fund growth, increase dependence on its asset base or external financing, and make durable earnings improvement uncertain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth
Strong reported revenue growth indicates that Truth Social is beginning to expand monetization across advertising, subscriptions, and related platform offerings. If sustained, broader revenue diversification can improve operating leverage and provide a stronger base for funding product investment over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Truth Social (DJT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.41B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)3.88M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.75
Revenue Growth21.61%
EPS Growth-854.66%
CountryUS
Employees31
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryInternet Content & Information
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-4.72
Shares Outstanding277,941,280
10 Day Avg. Volume2,928,205
30 Day Avg. Volume3,882,218
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.25
Price to Book (P/B)2.05
Price to Sales (P/S)915.13
P/FCF Ratio237.59
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Truth Social Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., founded in 2021 and based in Sarasota, Florida, is the organization that operates Truth Social. This digital platform provides social networking services to users across the United States....
How the Company Makes Money
Truth Social’s monetization is based primarily on platform advertising and, where applicable, other digital-platform monetization initiatives disclosed by the company. Key revenue streams include: (1) Advertising: selling ad placements to marketer...
Truth Social Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlighted meaningful commercial progress (revenue growth, Truth+ commercialization, Truth API customer signings), a sizable financial asset base ($1.9B gross; ~$400M+ liquid), and sequential improvements in expenses and losses. However, material negatives dominate the financial picture: large net and EBITDA losses driven by volatile digital asset mark‑to‑market swings, substantial YoY expense increases (~270%), sizable investment losses, and nearly $1B of convertible notes coming due with refinancing plans unresolved. Management emphasized strategic focus (TAE merger), capital discipline, and product monetization, but the near‑term financial risks and asset volatility outweigh the early operational positives.Positive Updates
Strong Sequential and Year‑over‑Year Revenue Growth
Reported revenue of approximately $1.7 million in Q2 2026, up 92% sequentially from Q1 2026 and up 89% year‑over‑year vs Q2 2025. Growth driven by barter advertising on Truth Social, Patriot Package subscriptions (Truth+ beta), and management fees from Truth.Fi ETFs.
Negative Updates
Large Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA Deficit
Net loss of $238 million in Q2 2026 and an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $223.5 million, driven largely by large non‑cash mark‑to‑market losses on bitcoin and related securities ($190.5M of such losses reported for the quarter).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Sequential and Year‑over‑Year Revenue Growth
Reported revenue of approximately $1.7 million in Q2 2026, up 92% sequentially from Q1 2026 and up 89% year‑over‑year vs Q2 2025. Growth driven by barter advertising on Truth Social, Patriot Package subscriptions (Truth+ beta), and management fees from Truth.Fi ETFs.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call’s forward-looking guidance focused on closing the proposed TAE merger (S‑4 to be filed “as soon as possible” with a target close “by the end of 2026,” subject to regulatory timing), a shift to third‑party institutional management of the digital treasury with yield likely to be recorded in bitcoin (the company paused its direct yield strategy), disciplined capital management to address nearly $1.0 billion of outstanding convertible notes using a balance sheet it reported with $1.9 billion of gross financial assets as of June 30 (including $215M cash, $31M restricted cash, $209M short‑term investments and roughly $1.2B in bitcoin/bitcoin‑related assets; net of debt ≈ $893M), and commercial priorities to scale Truth+ out of beta and the Truth API (launched Aug. 1) — already >10 customers signed at roughly $60k–$100k/month — while growing advertising, subscriptions and data licensing; management also said most legacy SPAC litigation costs were accrued through Q2 with some residual Q3 expense expected, and reiterated that digital‑asset mark‑to‑market volatility will continue to affect results (Q2 metrics cited: revenue ~$1.7M, operating expenses $165.2M, loss on digital assets $116.6M, investment loss $71.8M, net loss $238M, adjusted EBITDA loss $223.5M, total non‑cash mark‑to‑market losses $190.5M; bitcoin ~$58,800 on June 30 vs ~$67,800 on March 31; IBIT $33.29 on June 30 from $38.42).Truth Social Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
33
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.52M | 3.68M | 3.62M | 4.13M | 1.47M | 0.00 |
| Gross Profit | -346.60K | 2.01M | 3.00M | 3.97M | 1.42M | 0.00 |
| EBITDA | -1.07B | -676.10M | -394.42M | -18.54M | 52.71M | -58.44M |
| Net Income | -1.30B | -712.06M | -400.86M | -58.19M | 50.52M | -59.10M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.02B | 2.84B | 938.29M | 3.36M | 11.24M | 19.25M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 424.65M | 1.19B | 776.78M | 2.57M | 9.81M | 18.73M |
| Total Debt | 8.37M | 951.40M | 13.26M | 45.71M | 4.64M | 2.09M |
| Total Liabilities | 996.21M | 1.19B | 24.70M | 70.13M | 19.81M | 78.35M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.02B | 1.65B | 913.59M | -66.76M | -8.57M | -59.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.49M | 14.18M | -73.02M | -9.74M | -24.29M | -3.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.52M | 14.76M | -60.98M | -9.73M | -24.20M | -3.80M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.04B | -2.27B | -618.58M | -2.20K | -84.50K | -68.60K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -64.90M | 2.25B | 847.23M | 2.50M | 15.36M | 22.60M |
Truth Social Technical Analysis
Negative
9.50
Price Trends
9.17
Negative
8.87
Negative
10.13
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.05
Positive
44.02
Neutral
12.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DJT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.99, above the 50-day MA of 9.17, and below the 200-day MA of 10.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DJT.
Truth Social Risk Analysis
Truth Social disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Truth Social reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Truth Social Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | $4.12T | 16.66 | 50.84% | 0.25% | 20.23% | 112.71% | |
76 Outperform | $30.35B | 34.52 | 29.02% | ― | 66.59% | 285.68% | |
73 Outperform | $1.65T | 24.08 | 29.73% | 0.32% | 27.65% | -5.02% | |
66 Neutral | $1.62B | 4.93 | 8.15% | 9.20% | 1.59% | -14.96% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
52 Neutral | $3.55B | -12.10 | -29.27% | ― | 13.05% | 59.37% | |
45 Neutral | $2.41B | -1.83 | -84.13% | ― | 21.61% | -854.66% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
DJT
Truth Social
8.66
-8.80
-50.40%
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Truth Social Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Truth Social Highlights Evolving API-Driven Revenue Strategy
Positive
Aug 28, 2026
On August 24, 2026, Interim Chief Executive Kevin McGurn appeared on CNBC’s Squawk Box to discuss Trump Media Technology Group’s Truth API data feed and the company’s evolving business model. He framed the API as a standard soci...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Truth Social refocuses strategy on media and data
Positive
Aug 10, 2026
On August 7, 2026, Trump Media Technology Group, the parent of Truth Social, moved to refocus its strategy on its media and data operations and its planned merger with fusion energy company TAE. The shift comes under interim CEO Kevin McGurn, who...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsProduct-Related Announcements
Truth Social pivots Crypto.com deal to marketing partnership
Positive
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, Crypto.com and Trump Media Technology Group announced that they will realign their previously planned prediction market integration into a marketing-focused partnership. Instead of building prediction markets directly into Trut...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Truth Social ends planned Crypto.com partnership deal
Negative
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, Trump Media Technology Group, Crypto.com and Yorkville Acquisition Corp. mutually terminated their previously announced business combination that would have created Trump Media Group CRO Strategy, Inc., citing prevailing market...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Truth Social clarifies merger plans amid regulatory scrutiny
Negative
Aug 6, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Trump Media Technology Group moved to clarify that it only endorses statements attributed directly to interim CEO Kevin McGurn in a Financial Times profile and does not adopt the publication’s wider characterizations or c...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Truth Social Plans First Quarterly Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Trump Media Technology Group Corp., the operator of Truth Social, Truth+ and the fintech brand Truth.Fi, announced it would hold its inaugural earnings conference call. The event was scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET on Monday, August...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Truth Social resolves key legal disputes, gains stability
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
On July 19, 2026, Trump Media Technology Group Corp. announced that it had mutually resolved all legal claims involving the company, Patrick Orlando, and ARC Global Investments II LLC through a confidential settlement agreement. The settlement cl...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Truth Social launches institutional real-time data Truth API
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, Trump Media Technology Group launched Truth API, a licensed, real-time data feed that provides institutional clients with rapid access to posts from the most influential Truth Social accounts. The service aims to replace manual ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.