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Truth Social (DJT) AI Stock Analysis

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DJT

Truth Social

(NASDAQ:DJT)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:$5.00▲(7.76% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is weighed down primarily by very weak financial performance (large losses and negative cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call and corporate updates provide some support via improving expense discipline, growing revenue, and a strong financial-asset position, but uncertainty around convertible notes and share count expansion keeps overall risk elevated, while valuation remains difficult to justify given unprofitability.

Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue ExpansionTruth API and Truth+ are converting the platform’s audience and data into contracted subscription revenue, while advertising also increased. A growing recurring-revenue base can improve revenue visibility, diversify monetization, and support a more durable business model over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe UnprofitabilityThe company is generating very little revenue relative to its cost base, producing a severe net loss and only modest gross margin. This gap indicates that the current operating model has not reached economic scale, making sustained profitability dependent on major revenue growth or further cost reductions.

Truth Social (DJT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%DJT-56.92%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.38B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
5.00M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.5
Beta (1Y)
2.03
Revenue Growth
77.09%
EPS Growth
-410.96%
Country
US
Employees
31
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Internet Content & Information

Truth Social Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., founded in 2021 and based in Sarasota, Florida, is the organization that operates Truth Social. This digital platform provides social networking services to users across the United States.

Truth Social Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 09, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:14.29%|Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with strong revenue growth, sharply lower operating expenses and legal fees, substantial financial assets, major digital asset gains, improving adjusted EBITDA, and progress toward the TAE merger. Offsetting concerns included post-election stock volatility, negative year-to-date operating cash flow, a continuing adjusted EBITDA loss, uncertainty around convertible note repayments, the discontinuation of the planned token distribution, and an expected doubling of the combined company's share count.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth Accelerated
Third-quarter revenue was approximately $3 million, up 78% sequentially from the second quarter of 2026 and over 200% year-over-year from the third quarter of 2025. Growth occurred primarily in the Media segment and was driven by subscription revenue related to Truth API and Truth+, increased advertising revenue on Truth Social, and higher management fees from the Truth.Fi ETF offerings.

Negative Updates

Post-Election Stock Volatility
Management said the stock rebounded leading into the midterms and then dropped sharply once the votes were counted. It characterized the stock as trading as a proxy for the news cycle and political sentiment rather than solely on the company's day-to-day operations.

Company Guidance

Management said closing the TAE merger is “expected by the end of 2026,” with the Special Meeting scheduled for December 14, 2026, for shareholders of record as of November 2, 2026; the combined company share count is expected to be approximately double the current float, from about 300 million shares outstanding today to approximately 600 million shares on a fully diluted basis. The company’s priorities are “accelerating contracted recurring revenue and quarterly ad revenue” through Truth API, Truth+ and Truth Social, using cash and available credit to clean up the capital structure, addressing the nearly $1 billion in outstanding convertible notes and the November 30 repayment process, and protecting equity rather than diluting shareholders. Management said its current thinking is using a mix of cash and credit to repay the notes, is “not inclined to issue any additional equity,” and wants to preserve as much of its Bitcoin as possible to continue its yielding strategy; it also plans to continue growth marketing through the fourth quarter and then on into 2027.

Truth Social Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is strong (+44% TTM), but fundamentals remain very weak: extremely large net losses on a small revenue base, modest gross margin (~24%), and negative operating/free cash flow. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage today (debt-to-equity ~0.68) but sharply negative ROE and historical equity volatility elevate risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.51M3.68M3.62M4.13M1.47M0
Gross Profit1.56M2.01M3.00M3.97M1.42M0
EBITDA-605.15M-676.10M-394.42M-18.54M52.71M-58.44M
Net Income-839.44M-712.06M-400.86M-58.19M50.52M-59.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.48B2.63B938.29M3.36M11.24M19.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments725.87M1.16B776.78M2.57M9.81M18.73M
Total Debt979.93M949.68M13.26M45.71M4.64M2.09M
Total Liabilities1.04B982.82M24.70M70.13M19.81M78.35M
Stockholders Equity1.44B1.65B913.59M-66.76M-8.57M-59.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.33M14.18M-73.02M-9.74M-24.29M-3.87M
Operating Cash Flow-16.31M14.76M-60.98M-9.73M-24.20M-3.80M
Investing Cash Flow-214.42M-2.27B-618.58M-2,200-84.50K-68.60K
Financing Cash Flow-57.85M2.25B847.23M2.50M15.36M22.60M

Truth Social Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.64

Price Trends

50DMA7.45Negative
100DMA8.22Negative
200DMA8.89Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.87Negative
RSI37.44Neutral
STOCH45.14Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DJT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.60, below the 50-day MA of 7.45, and below the 200-day MA of 8.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DJT.

Truth Social Risk Analysis

Truth Social disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Truth Social reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our digital asset treasury yield-generation activities expose us to significant risks including counterparty credit risk, operational risks, and potential loss of assets.Q2, 2026
2.Risk Related to Proposed Spin-OutQ4, 2025
3.Risks Relating to the TAE MergerQ4, 2025

Truth Social Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

DJT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RDDTRDDT77Outperform$19.22B19.0430.57%―62.18%175.50%
GOOGLGOOGL73Outperform$3.63T15.0942.62%0.29%22.21%89.60%
METAMETA68Neutral$1.59T21.6130.27%0.33%27.53%28.01%
WBWB65Neutral$1.52B4.488.15%9.90%1.59%-14.96%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
RUMRUM56Neutral$2.83B-8.01-28.37%―82.57%47.24%
DJTDJT44Neutral$1.38B-1.52-62.59%―77.09%-410.96%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%DJTMETAGOOGLWBRUMRDDTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DJT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.4.64-6.21-57.24%
METAMeta Platforms, Inc.641.6941.726.95%
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. Class A295.7711.494.04%
WBWeibo Corp6.16-3.16-33.88%
RUMRumble Inc5.770.529.90%
RDDTReddit, Inc. Class A98.45-89.10-47.51%

Truth Social Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Truth Social and TAE Advance Fusion Merger Plans

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Trump Media & Technology Group and TAE Technologies entered into an amended and restated unsecured convertible promissory note consolidating a $200 million initial funding tranche and providing for up to an additional $100 mill...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Truth Social Highlights Evolving API-Driven Revenue Strategy

Positive
Aug 28, 2026

On August 24, 2026, Interim Chief Executive Kevin McGurn appeared on CNBC’s Squawk Box to discuss Trump Media & Technology Group’s Truth API data feed and the company’s evolving business model. He framed the API as a standard social media data produc...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026