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Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC)
NASDAQ:DHC

Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) AI Stock Analysis

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Diversified Healthcare Trust

(NASDAQ:DHC)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-6.83%Downside)
DHC's overall stock score reflects a mix of positive technical momentum and strategic initiatives against the backdrop of financial challenges and valuation concerns. Financial performance remains a significant risk due to negative profitability, but positive earnings call outcomes and strategic corporate actions contribute to a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Debt Refinancing
DHC intends to issue agency-secured debt to repay the $440mm of 2025 notes at a 9.75% interest rate, aiming for new notes around 6%.
Earnings
DHC reported a 2Q24 earnings beat, generating Core FFO of $0.03 versus consensus at $0.02 and Citizens JMP at $0.01 per share.
NOI Growth
DHC’s same-store cash NOI increased 16.1% year-over-year, with a 38.4% increase to SHOP, partially offset by a slight change in the Medical Office / Life Science Portfolio.
Negative Factors
Core FFO Performance
The company reported Core FFO of $0.02, below consensus at $0.04, reflecting lower SHOP NOI and underperformance in the office/life science portfolio.
Guidance Revision
Management lowered FY 2024 SHOP NOI guidance to $102mm to $107mm from the previous range of $120mm to $140mm due to disappointing occupancy trends and expense challenges.
Occupancy Issues
Occupancy within the SHOP was below expectations this quarter as there was no functional change sequentially.

Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Diversified Healthcare Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDHC is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, that owns medical office and life science properties, senior living communities and wellness centers throughout the United States. DHC is managed by the operating subsidiary of The RMR Group Inc., an alternative asset management company that is headquartered in Newton, MA.
How the Company Makes MoneyDHC makes money primarily through rental income generated from its portfolio of healthcare-related properties. The company leases its properties to various tenants including healthcare providers, senior living operators, and life sciences companies. Long-term lease agreements provide a stable and predictable revenue stream. Additionally, DHC may engage in property sales or acquisitions to optimize its portfolio, potentially generating capital gains and reinvesting proceeds to enhance its overall asset value. Strategic partnerships with healthcare operators and management companies also contribute to DHC's operational efficiency and financial performance.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 47.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue and EBITDA growth, strong performance in the SHOP segment, and successful asset sales used for deleveraging. However, challenges remain with same-property occupancy declines, expense increases, and addressing upcoming debt maturities.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenues for the first quarter were $386.9 million, a 4% increase over last year. Adjusted EBITDAre was $75.1 million, up 17% year-over-year.
SHOP Segment Performance
Same-property NOI in the SHOP segment increased by 33.6% sequentially and 42.1% year-over-year. Occupancy increased 130 basis points to 80.2%, and SHOP NOI margin improved 320 basis points year-over-year to 11.2%.
Asset Sales and Deleveraging
Completed $332 million in asset sales and used proceeds to pay down debt, including $299 million from MUSE and Brookdale sales.
Medical Office and Life Science Leasing
145,000 square feet of new and renewal leasing with weighted average rents 18.4% higher than prior rents.
Negative Updates
Same-Property Occupancy Decline
Same-property occupancy in the medical office and life science portfolio was 90.1%, down 10 basis points from the fourth quarter.
Expense Increase
Expenses increased by 2% due to merit increases and filling open positions.
Debt Maturities
Focus on addressing January 2026 zero-coupon bond, with $641 million still outstanding after partial redemption.
Company Guidance
During the Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided detailed guidance and insights into the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives. DHC reported total revenues of $386.9 million, a 4% increase from the previous year, while adjusted EBITDAre rose 17% to $75.1 million. Normalized funds from operations (FFO) were noted at $14.3 million or $0.06 per share, surpassing analyst estimates. In the Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) segment, same-property net operating income (NOI) increased by 42.1% year-over-year, with occupancy rising by 130 basis points to 80.2%. The SHOP NOI margin improved by 320 basis points to 11.2% on a consolidated basis. Meanwhile, the medical office and life science portfolio achieved new and renewal leasing activity of approximately 145,000 square feet with rents 18.4% higher than prior for the same space. The company completed $332 million in asset sales and continues to focus on deleveraging its balance sheet, with plans to use asset sale proceeds to address its $641 million zero-coupon bond maturing in January 2026. DHC reaffirmed its 2025 SHOP NOI guidance range of $120 million to $135 million and expressed optimism about the SHOP segment's outlook throughout the year.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Diversified Healthcare Trust faces ongoing financial challenges despite revenue growth and improved cash flow management. Persistent net losses and negative EBITDA margins highlight profitability issues. The absence of debt in 2024 reduces financial leverage risks, but inefficiencies in generating returns remain a concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a challenging period for Diversified Healthcare Trust. Despite an increase in total revenue from 2023 to 2024, net income remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. The gross profit margin is positive, but the negative EBITDA margin from 2024 indicates significant expenses or non-cash charges weighing down profitability. The revenue growth over the last year is a positive sign, but persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins highlight underlying financial struggles.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate financial position. The company has positive equity, with a favorable equity ratio indicating a solid capital structure. The absence of debt in 2024 is a positive shift, reducing financial leverage risks. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, indicating inefficiencies or challenges in generating returns from shareholders' investments. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability but with underlying profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, a notable improvement from previous years, suggesting better cash management or expense control. The operating cash flow ratio has improved, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash flow generation challenges despite the positive free cash flow. Continued focus on improving operational cash generation is essential for long-term strength.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.51B1.50B1.41B1.28B1.38B1.63B
Gross Profit
514.22M258.88M236.16M174.50M291.40M395.67M
EBIT
32.65M-52.59M-74.06M-75.29M6.82M113.15M
EBITDA
158.26M229.86M203.19M163.99M708.25M383.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-292.98M-370.25M-293.57M-21.83M174.51M-134.31M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
208.16M144.58M245.94M658.07M634.85M74.42M
Total Assets
5.35B5.14B5.45B6.00B6.62B6.48B
Total Debt
2.86B2.91B2.82B3.05B3.68B3.57B
Net Debt
2.65B2.77B2.57B2.39B3.04B3.49B
Total Liabilities
3.10B3.18B3.11B3.36B3.96B3.86B
Stockholders Equity
2.25B1.96B2.34B2.64B2.66B2.62B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
127.10M112.22M10.48M-339.74M-290.93M-27.04M
Operating Cash Flow
80.38M112.22M10.48M-40.35M-63.32M158.54M
Investing Cash Flow
162.91M-187.02M-202.11M387.71M242.70M-40.44M
Financing Cash Flow
-144.80M-22.31M-249.71M-676.00M746.72M-79.48M

Diversified Healthcare Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.22
Price Trends
50DMA
2.62
Positive
100DMA
2.55
Positive
200DMA
2.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
63.42
Neutral
STOCH
60.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.11, above the 50-day MA of 2.62, and above the 200-day MA of 2.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DHC.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Risk Analysis

Diversified Healthcare Trust disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diversified Healthcare Trust reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
RMR is incorporating artificial intelligence, or AI, into some of its business workflows and processes, and challenges with properly managing its use could result in reputational harm, competitive harm, legal liability, and increased regulatory costs and adversely affect our results of operations. Q4, 2024

Diversified Healthcare Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UHUHT
69
Neutral
$556.00M29.7010.15%7.30%0.95%15.07%
66
Neutral
$1.35B38.592.46%5.98%-2.94%46.24%
64
Neutral
$463.89M-1.67%11.39%1.33%-149.80%
DHDHC
62
Neutral
$762.35M-13.96%1.24%5.33%10.68%
61
Neutral
$2.81B10.770.40%8439.00%5.73%-20.81%
56
Neutral
$459.92M202.561.45%13.29%-1.66%-86.24%
50
Neutral
$127.44M17.3836.40%5.22%22.41%37.88%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust
3.22
0.29
9.90%
CHCT
Community Healthcare
16.37
-4.75
-22.49%
GMRE
Global Medical REIT
6.31
-2.14
-25.33%
UHT
Universal Health Realty Income
40.46
4.86
13.65%
STRW
Strawberry Fields REIT Inc
10.16
-0.32
-3.05%
SILA
Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
24.65
6.83
38.33%

Diversified Healthcare Trust Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Diversified Healthcare Trust Outlines 2025 Strategic Initiatives
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Diversified Healthcare Trust released an investor presentation outlining its strategic initiatives and financial outlook for 2025. The presentation highlighted DHC’s plans for capital recycling, occupancy growth, and revenue management within its senior housing operating portfolio. The company also addressed its refinancing strategy and prospects for restoring its investment-grade credit rating. DHC’s performance is supported by favorable trends in the senior living industry and strong fundamentals in the medical office and life science sectors. The presentation also discussed potential risks and uncertainties, including market conditions, interest rates, and operational challenges, which could impact DHC’s future results.

The most recent analyst rating on (DHC) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Diversified Healthcare Trust stock, see the DHC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Diversified Healthcare Trust Shareholders Approve Key Resolutions
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

At the Annual Meeting, Diversified Healthcare Trust shareholders elected seven Trustees to the Board for a one-year term until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation, the Equity Compensation Plan, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditors for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (DHC) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Diversified Healthcare Trust stock, see the DHC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Diversified Healthcare Trust Unveils 2025 Strategic Initiatives
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Diversified Healthcare Trust published an investor presentation highlighting its strategic initiatives and financial performance. The presentation outlined its 2025 guidance, focusing on potential dispositions, capital expenditures, and occupancy growth. DHC aims to strengthen its balance sheet by addressing upcoming debt maturities and leveraging its senior housing operating portfolio. The company also emphasized the favorable trends in the senior living and medical office sectors, which support its long-term growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (DHC) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Diversified Healthcare Trust stock, see the DHC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Diversified Healthcare Trust Elects Alan L. Felder as Trustee
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Diversified Healthcare Trust announced the election of Alan L. Felder as an Independent Trustee, expanding the board from seven to eight members. Mr. Felder, with extensive experience in investment banking, particularly in real estate, lodging, and leisure sectors, will serve on the Audit Committee. His election is expected to strengthen the board’s expertise in these areas, potentially enhancing the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.