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Aris Mining (ZP1) AI Stock Analysis

4 Followers
DE:ZP1

Aris Mining

(Frankfurt:ZP1)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Profitability and Revenue GrowthThe sharp improvement in revenue and profitability indicates meaningful operating scale and stronger earnings capacity. High gross, EBIT, and EBITDA margins provide a substantial buffer for reinvestment, mine development, and resilience while current production expands.
Negative Factors
Weak Free-Cash-Flow ConversionLow and historically inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion means accounting earnings are not consistently translating into discretionary cash. Capital intensity or investment cycles may therefore constrain shareholder returns, reduce flexibility, and increase reliance on operating performance to fund growth.

Aris Mining (ZP1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%DE:ZP1+48.13%EWG+9.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 4.35B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1,291
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.1
Beta (1Y)
0.91
Revenue Growth
62.54%
EPS Growth
463.13%
Country
Germany
Employees
3,578
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Aris Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aris Mining Corporation, along with its associated entities, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold and silver mining ventures, predominantly within Colombia. In Colombia, the company possesses stakes in the Segov...

Aris Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:4.02%|Next Earnings Date:May 16, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, supported by record year-to-date financial results, strong cash generation, production growth at Segovia, major Marmato expansion milestones, and progress on Toroparu and Soto Norte. The main negative factors were third-quarter production disruptions, full-year output expected at the lower end of guidance, a decline in Segovia contract mining production, and Marmato construction spending running $30 million above the original budget. Management nevertheless described stronger fourth-quarter production and multiple near-term project milestones.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Financial Performance
Q3 revenue was $287 million, adjusted EBITDA was $144 million, and adjusted net earnings were $73 million, or $0.35 per share. Trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA exceeded $700 million.

Negative Updates

Production Disruptions in the Third Quarter
Q3 production was affected by temporary explosive supply constraints for Segovia contract mining partners and a planned flotation plant shutdown at Marmato while the new Cascabel 3 tailings facility was commissioned.

Company Guidance

For the full year, Aris Mining is targeting the lower end of its production guidance range from 300,000 to 350,000 ounces, requiring approximately 83,000 ounces in Q4; Segovia is on track for about 70,000 to 75,000 ounces in Q4 and is expecting a very strong reaching nameplate capacity in 2027. Marmato expects the first gold pour in December, followed by a stage production ramp-up throughout 2027 to reach the full 5,000 tonnes per day design capacity by the end of 2027; 2026 construction expenditure is expected to be approximately $250 million, including around $75 million in Q4, versus an original budget of $220 million, while limited capital expenditure is expected up till around July 2027, with the estimate around $40 million. Toroparu’s pre-feasibility study is targeted for November, with a potential construction decision in the first quarter of 2027, based on a 7 million tonne per year processing plant, and completion of the 109-meter Puruni River Bridge is targeted for December. Segovia and Marmato have combined steady-state production targets of approximately 500,000 ounces a year, while Toroparu and Soto Norte offer the potential for another 500,000 ounces a year, providing a potential pathway towards 1 million ounces of annual gold production.

Aris Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:ZP1 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:ASMTSE:ASM72OutperformCAD 1.11B16.8816.03%―53.24%70.70%
TSE:GGDTSE:GGD69NeutralCAD 1.43B20.6911.73%―63.57%227.78%
TSE:ITRTSE:ITR64NeutralCAD 608.62M46.534.79%―17.89%67.92%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TSE:EDRTSE:EDR60NeutralCAD 3.43B17.4819.74%―132.13%―
TSE:ABRATSE:ABRA39UnderperformCAD 1.79B-25.66-104.74%――-40.34%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%DE:ZP1TSE:ASMTSE:EDRTSE:ITRTSE:GGDTSE:ABRADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:ZP1 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:ZP1Aris Mining Corporation14.224.6047.82%
TSE:ASMAvino Silver & Gold6.11-0.30-4.68%
TSE:EDREndeavour Silver10.960.383.59%
TSE:ITRIntegra Resources2.60-1.50-36.59%
TSE:GGDGoGold3.210.8033.20%
TSE:ABRAAbrasilver Resource Corp.10.783.9056.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.