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verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie (DE:VBK)
:VBK
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verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie (VBK) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:VBK

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie

(LSE:VBK)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
€14.00
▲(8.53% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by significant financial challenges, including declining profitability and cash flow issues. Despite strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, the negative P/E ratio and low dividend yield indicate valuation concerns. The earnings call provided some optimism for future regulatory support, but current financial struggles remain a substantial risk.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Environment
The introduction of stricter biofuel regulations in Germany could create a more favorable market environment, supporting Verbio's strategic focus on sustainability and potentially boosting demand for its biofuel products.
Strategic Expansion
Enhanced plant utilization in North America, especially in the biodiesel sector, indicates successful strategic expansion efforts, which could lead to sustained EBITDA growth and increased market share in the region.
Production Capacity
High production capacity and utilization rates demonstrate operational efficiency and the ability to meet demand, supporting revenue stability and growth in the bioenergy sector.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
The sharp decline in gross profit margin reflects operational challenges and cost pressures, which could hinder long-term profitability and financial health if not addressed effectively.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative free cash flow indicates struggles in cash generation, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.
EBITDA Decline
The significant decline in EBITDA highlights market challenges and operational inefficiencies, which could impact the company's ability to sustain growth and profitability in the competitive bioenergy sector.

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie (VBK) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVERBIO Vereinigte BioEnergie AG produces and supplies biofuels in Germany and rest of Europe. The company's products include biodiesel, bioethanol, biomethane, biosterol, bioglycerin, and liquid fertilizers. The company offers its products to oil corporations, oil traders, independent filling stations, haulage companies, public utilities, and vehicle fleets. VERBIO Vereinigte BioEnergie AG was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Leipzig, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyVerbio makes money primarily through the production and sale of biofuels such as biodiesel and bioethanol, which are distributed to energy companies and fuel distributors. Another significant revenue stream is the production of biomethane, which is injected into the natural gas grid and sold to both industrial and individual customers. The company also generates income from the sale of by-products, such as biofertilizers, which are derived from the production process and sold to the agricultural sector. Additionally, Verbio benefits from partnerships and collaborations with agricultural producers and energy companies, which help in securing raw materials and expanding its market reach.

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlights some strategic achievements and positive regulatory developments, particularly in North America and Germany. However, these are overshadowed by significant financial challenges, declining profitability, and market difficulties, especially in Europe. The company is optimistic about future regulatory support and strategic expansions, but current financial struggles present substantial concerns.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production in 2024/25
Biodiesel production reached close to 620,000 tonnes, and the capacity utilization rate was 87%, despite a planned shutdown in Canada.
Resumed Production in Canada
Production in Canada resumed as planned, resulting in higher volumes and revenues in Q4, with EUR 244 million compared to EUR 210 million in Q3.
Strategic Focus on North America
Improved plant utilization in North America, particularly in the biodiesel segment, leading to significant EBITDA growth.
Positive Developments in Regulatory Environment
Draft transposition of RED III in Germany introduces stricter controls and targets for biofuels, potentially creating a more favorable market environment.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in EBITDA
EBITDA fell to EUR 14.2 million, largely due to challenging markets in Europe and Germany, linked to biofuel sustainability certification frauds.
Negative Group EBITDA in Q4
Group EBITDA decreased to minus EUR 8.2 million, primarily affected by the bioethanol and biomethane segment.
Inventory Write-Downs and Impairments
One-off repair costs in Nevada and write-downs on straw for biomethane processing negatively impacted earnings.
Challenges in the German Biodiesel Market
Weak spot demand for sustainable biodiesel due to low mileage and fraud, with margins only supported to a limited extent.
Lower Profit Margins for Ethanol and Biomethane
Ethanol and biomethane segments faced lower profit margins in Europe and negative on-off effects in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the Verbio earnings call for the fiscal year 2024/25, Olaf Troeber, CFO, provided the guidance for the upcoming fiscal year 2025/26. Verbio expects to achieve EBITDA in the high double-digit million range, based on historical market spreads below those achieved in the previous year and a slight recovery in greenhouse gas quota prices. The company anticipates at least a balanced free cash flow with a moderate reduction in net financial debt. CapEx is expected to decrease further from the previous peak, with investments mainly in the ethenolysis plant and related production assets in Germany and Hungary, as well as in South Bend. Additionally, net financial debt is expected to exceed year-end forecasts during the fiscal year due to the time lag between cash outflows and inflows, largely influenced by the suspension of the greenhouse gas quota carryover until 2027. The Management Board and Supervisory Board proposed to suspend the dividend payout for the fiscal year to maintain extra flexibility, while remaining optimistic about returning to usual dividend levels in the medium term.

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company is experiencing declining revenues and profitability, with a negative net profit margin and increased debt. The cash flow has worsened significantly, which is concerning for liquidity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals some troubling trends. Revenue has declined significantly from 2023 to TTM 2025, with a notable drop in net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin of -2.16% for TTM. The gross profit margin also decreased compared to previous years, indicating declining profitability. However, the company maintained a gross profit margin of 17.06% and an EBITDA margin of 4.27% in the TTM, showing some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet displays a stable equity position with an equity ratio of 62.88% for TTM, indicating good financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.30 in the TTM period, showing a higher reliance on debt compared to previous years. Despite this, the company's return on equity has turned negative due to the net loss, which is a concern for investors. Overall, the financial position is stable but shows signs of strain.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights some risks, with a negative free cash flow in TTM of -95.18 million, worsening from previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.13, indicating operational cash generation despite the net loss. However, the negative free cash flow and its deterioration are concerning for future liquidity and investment capacity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.58B1.67B1.97B1.81B1.03B
Gross Profit102.56M37.12M292.45M381.91M626.92M271.64M
EBITDA15.40M-54.40M122.92M242.68M494.81M166.48M
Net Income-138.01M-138.01M19.96M132.02M315.63M93.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30B1.30B1.38B1.30B1.13B678.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.41M64.41M126.70M170.31M300.50M105.34M
Total Debt268.86M268.86M194.20M189.97M49.39M46.48M
Total Liabilities527.61M527.61M449.54M385.36M310.16M168.75M
Stockholders Equity746.29M746.29M925.67M909.47M816.23M507.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-118.66M-117.96M-54.38M-177.12M210.15M49.90M
Operating Cash Flow13.88M13.88M116.78M26.09M325.03M117.18M
Investing Cash Flow-120.06M-120.06M-144.90M-266.43M-113.62M-46.56M
Financing Cash Flow49.88M49.88M-19.53M112.21M-18.48M-18.76M

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.90
Price Trends
50DMA
10.80
Positive
100DMA
11.04
Positive
200DMA
10.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
66.21
Neutral
STOCH
86.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:VBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.43, above the 50-day MA of 10.80, and above the 200-day MA of 10.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:VBK.

verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€1.59B27.4129.12%1.15%1.03%25.48%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
€6.69B15.774.87%8.15%-2.62%
57
Neutral
€821.93M-16.51%1.55%-4.72%-789.75%
51
Neutral
$3.19B13.255.37%3.89%-10.63%-23.15%
50
Neutral
€10.99B-5.90%-1.98%-16.31%
46
Neutral
$1.72B-3.72%0.50%-2.75%83.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:VBK
verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie
12.90
-3.04
-19.06%
DE:1COV
Covestro
59.62
1.26
2.16%
DE:EVK
Evonik
14.35
-5.42
-27.42%
DE:LXS
LANXESS
19.88
-8.55
-30.08%
DE:WCH
Wacker Chemie AG
64.30
-20.30
-23.99%
DE:ACT
AlzChem Group AG
156.60
100.20
177.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2025