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Kogan.com (UZQ) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:UZQ

Kogan.com

(Frankfurt:UZQ)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Core Revenue and Earnings GrowthStrong double-digit growth in Kogan.com revenue, gross profit and adjusted earnings indicates improving scale and operating leverage in the core business. Continued expansion in the main marketplace can support reinvestment, strengthen customer reach and provide a durable foundation for group earnings.
Negative Factors
Thin and Volatile ProfitabilityAlthough profitability recovered in FY26, the thin net margin leaves limited protection if costs rise or demand weakens. Multiple loss years and uneven revenue growth also make the turnaround less proven, increasing dependence on sustained execution to establish durable earnings.

Kogan.com (UZQ) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%DE:UZQ+67.78%EWG+3.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 206.36M
Dividend Yield
3.79%
Average Volume (3M)
100
Price to Earnings (P/E)
39.9
Beta (1Y)
0.93
Revenue Growth
1.51%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Germany
Employees
350
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

Kogan.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kogan.com Ltd is a prominent Australian e-commerce company, established in Melbourne in 2006. The business primarily functions as an online retailer, offering a diverse selection of goods across categories like electronics, appliances, homewares, har...

Kogan.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 22, 2026(Q4-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a broadly positive picture driven by strong performance at Kogan.com (double‑digit revenue and earnings growth, expanding margins and healthy cash generation), meaningful progress on the Mighty Ape reset (inventory reduction, cost cuts, margin recovery and Q4 profitability), and active moves to scale platform and AI capabilities. Key risks remain: Mighty Ape’s FY'26 revenue decline and full‑year loss (though Q4 turned positive), a group adjusted earnings margin below the stated medium‑term target, elevated marketing investment, and an announced but undated senior leadership departure. On balance, the positives — notably Kogan.com strength, cash generation, platform mix and constructive operational improvements at Mighty Ape — outweigh the negatives, though execution on the Mighty Ape turnaround and maintaining margin momentum will be important for delivering the medium‑term targets.

Positive Updates

Group Gross Sales Exceed $1 Billion
Group gross sales topped $1.0 billion, representing growth of 12% year-on-year, demonstrating scale expansion across the group.

Negative Updates

Mighty Ape Revenue Decline and FY'26 Loss
Mighty Ape revenue declined 30% to $85.6 million and recorded a $3.3 million adjusted earnings loss for the full year. Although Q4 returned to positive adjusted earnings, the recovery remains at an early stage and the business is operating from a materially lower sales base.

Company Guidance

The company reaffirmed its medium‑term guidance to progressively grow adjusted earnings margins toward ~12% and signalled it expects Mighty Ape to deliver a full‑year adjusted EBITDA profit in FY27 after Q4 positivity; July trading provided an encouraging start with Kogan.com gross sales up ~13% and revenue up ~18% (David: gross sales +12.8%, revenue +17.9%), group gross sales +9% and group revenue +6%. FY26 metrics underpinning the guidance include Kogan.com revenue $425.2m (+16%), gross profit $184.8m (+18%) and adjusted earnings $45.1m (+22%); group revenue $510.7m (+5%), gross profit $210.9m (+11%) and adjusted earnings $41.8m (+14%) at an 8.2% margin; platform‑based sales now generate 61% of group gross profit (up from 59%) and 73% of gross profit comes from exclusive products/services. The Board emphasised disciplined profitable growth, continued investment in Kogan.com and platform expansion, a strong balance sheet (cash $36.4m, no external debt, free cash flow $38.3m +18.2%), capital returns last year of $34.9m ($14.7m dividends, $20.2m buyback) and a declared final fully franked dividend of $0.080 with a DRP at a 2.5% discount.

Kogan.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:UZQ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:SULAU:SUL70NeutralAUD 2.98B15.2016.02%4.68%3.19%-7.17%
AU:JBHAU:JBH68NeutralAUD 8.05B17.2429.54%4.37%4.82%5.95%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
AU:BLXAU:BLX61NeutralAUD 416.26M15.9614.04%3.97%3.42%-8.75%
AU:TPWAU:TPW53NeutralAUD 667.81M171.713.54%―10.63%-62.61%
AU:ADHAU:ADH49NeutralAUD 254.20M-6.67-19.53%7.79%3.83%-251.57%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%DE:UZQAU:TPWAU:ADHAU:JBHAU:SULAU:BLXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:UZQ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:UZQKogan.com Ltd.2.761.1167.78%
AU:TPWTemple & Webster Group Ltd6.12-16.24-72.63%
AU:ADHAdairs Ltd.1.45-0.36-19.81%
AU:JBHJB Hi-Fi Limited77.41-16.23-17.33%
AU:SULSuper Retail Group Limited13.70-1.58-10.33%
AU:BLXBeacon Lighting Group Ltd1.89-0.78-29.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.