Southern Co (SOT) AI Stock Analysis

Company Guidance

Management reiterated strong 2026 guidance, reporting Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.13 (up $0.21 YoY and $0.13 above estimate), H1 adjusted EPS of $2.46, a Q3 adjusted EPS outlook of $1.50, and saying full‑year 2026 adjusted EPS is expected near or at the top of the $4.50–$4.60 guidance range; operational drivers highlighted include YTD weather‑normalized retail sales +2.3% vs. H1‑2025 (the strongest June‑YTD growth in nearly 20 years), Q2 weather‑normalized commercial sales +7.4% (YTD +6%), ~11,000 residential adds in Q2 and >40,000 net electric customer adds over the last year, data‑center usage +55% in Q2 (+49% YTD) with system data‑center load now >1.2 GW (up >500 MW YoY), and this quarter’s 6 GW of newly contracted load (3 GW in Alabama plus a 3.2 GW, 25‑year OpenAI contract with 1 GW flexible demand response), bringing contracted large‑load agreements to >17 GW (with ~8 GW in late stages, including ~3 GW near‑term) and a prospective pipeline >75 GW; capital and financing metrics included regulatory approvals for ~10 GW of new company‑owned generation, two battery sites now in service with three combustion turbines/Plant Yates progressing, active RFPs for early‑2030s needs, sourcing an additional $700M of equity via ATM (forward settle through 2028) on top of roughly $2B previously settled, a reduced projected remaining equity need to $1.1B by 2030, portfolio collateral of roughly $21B backing large‑load contracts, retail base rates held stable in Georgia and Alabama until 2029, and a target of ~17% FFO‑to‑debt by 2029.