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Sempra Energy (SE4) AI Stock Analysis

DE:SE4

Sempra Energy

(XETRA:SE4)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Utility rate-base expansion and Texas demandSempra is directing substantial investment toward regulated utilities, where completed projects can expand rate base and support recurring earnings. Strong Texas load growth, transmission needs, and additional Oncor opportunities provide a durable pipeline for capital deployment over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flowPersistent negative free cash flow shows that capital spending continues to exceed internally generated cash, increasing reliance on debt or equity financing. Although large utility buildouts can create future rate-base growth, the magnitude of the deficit remains a durable constraint on financial flexibility.

Sempra Energy (SE4) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%DE:SE4-2.46%EWG+6.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 56.27B
Dividend Yield
2.98%
Average Volume (3M)
76
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.8
Beta (1Y)
0.03
Revenue Growth
-6.32%
EPS Growth
-22.77%
Country
Germany
Employees
15,938
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Diversified Utilities

Sempra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sempra, an energy holding company founded in 1998 and headquartered in San Diego, California, conducts its operations both domestically and internationally. The firm adopted its current name in July 2021, having previously been known as Sempra Energy...

Sempra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:2.30%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, supported by strong second-quarter and year-to-date earnings growth, reaffirmed guidance, progress on strategic asset sales, substantial utility capital opportunities, and rising Texas electricity demand. The main challenges were ECA LNG equipment damage, uncertainty around ERCOT's batch zero process and 765-kV approvals, unresolved California wildfire legislation, and Moody's negative outlook. Management nevertheless characterized its outlook for Sempra, Oncor, Texas growth, and the balance sheet as improving and constructive.

Positive Updates

Strong Second-Quarter Earnings Growth
Second-quarter 2026 GAAP earnings were $796 million, or $1.21 per diluted share, compared with $461 million, or $0.71 per share, in the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted earnings were $762 million, or $1.16 per share, versus $583 million, or $0.89 per share, a year earlier.

Negative Updates

ECA LNG Equipment Damage and Commissioning Complexity
After the first cargo was exported from ECA LNG in July, the plant was shut down for planned maintenance and inspections, during which damage was discovered to equipment connected to the mixed-refrigerant compressors. Sempra is working with its EPC contractor and equipment vendor on root cause analysis and remediation. Substantial completion is expected in the fourth quarter of 2026, with sales under long-term agreements commencing shortly thereafter.

Company Guidance

Sempra affirmed full year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30, 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70, and projected long-term EPS growth rate of 7% to 9%; it is advancing its record $65 billion capital plan, with a goal for Sempra Texas to comprise over 60% of Sempra's total rate base in 2023, while Oncor is executing a 5 year base capital plan of $47.5 billion with $10 billion of incremental capital opportunities through 2030, expects its roll forward capital plan to go up, and is expected to update its 5-year plan on the fourth-quarter call, with batch related capital not expected to have a lot more definition until later in 2027; the SI Partners transaction is expected to close later in the quarter and deconsolidate close to $9 billion of debt, ECA LNG Phase 1 is expected to reach substantial completion in the fourth quarter of 26 with sales under its long term sale and purchase agreements commencing shortly thereafter, California is growing rate base at about 5% versus utility platform growth at about 11% annually, or closer to 13% with additional upside at Encore, and Sempra expects to have cushion of at least 50 to 150 basis points on average above rating-agency thresholds.

Sempra Energy Risk Analysis

Sempra Energy disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sempra Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.When evaluating our company and its businesses and any investment in our or their securities, you should carefully consider the risk factors and all other information contained in this report and the other documents we file with the SEC (including those filed subsequent to this report), including the factors discussed in “Part I –Q2, 2026

Sempra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

DE:SE4 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AEPAEP73Outperform$70.90B21.0710.49%2.92%9.75%-9.77%
DUKDUK73Outperform$99.33B19.139.88%3.36%6.33%8.98%
DD66Neutral$58.59B22.069.28%4.01%22.97%2.81%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
PCGPCG59Neutral$29.03B9.769.21%1.52%4.09%14.06%
SOSO57Neutral$107.80B22.4712.61%3.20%6.40%6.90%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%DE:SE4AEPDDUKPCGSODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:SE4 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:SE4Sempra Energy76.30-1.92-2.46%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.130.3313.6511.70%
DDominion Energy Inc67.7210.8319.04%
DUKDuke Energy128.388.757.31%
PCGPacific Gas & Electric Co.13.28-2.67-16.75%
SOThe Southern Company94.614.845.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.