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Red Robin Gourmet (RRN) AI Stock Analysis

DE:RRN

Red Robin Gourmet

(Frankfurt:RRN)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Restaurant Margin and Labor EfficiencyImproving restaurant-level margins and labor productivity indicate that operating initiatives are translating into better unit economics. Continued low turnover and the managing partner model can support more consistent execution, helping offset cost inflation and sustain profitability over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative EquityThe capital structure remains a significant durable weakness despite recent refinancing progress. High debt relative to assets and negative equity limit financial flexibility, increase sensitivity to operating setbacks, and leave the company dependent on sustained cash generation and disciplined capital allocation.

Red Robin Gourmet (RRN) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%DE:RRN+100.00%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 172.21M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
213
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.4
Beta (1Y)
2.18
Revenue Growth
-9.33%
EPS Growth
54.11%
Country
Germany
Employees
18,852
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Red Robin Gourmet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, is involved in the development, operation, and franchising of casual and full-service restaurant concepts. Its establishments are renowned for their signature gourmet burgers and pi...

Red Robin Gourmet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:21.14%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call communicated clear operational momentum: comp revenue growth, improving traffic and competitive share, margin expansion, strong labor efficiency, product innovation, and meaningful refranchising agreements that should materially strengthen the balance sheet once closed. Offsetting these positives are a year-over-year revenue decline (impacted by closures), a reduction in adjusted EBITDA driven by higher marketing investment, elevated selling expense, some mix pressure from value offerings, and near-term refinancing and execution risks until refranchising proceeds are realized and refinancing is completed. Overall, management expressed confidence and maintained full-year guidance while emphasizing cautious execution on the refranchising and refinancing roadmap.

Positive Updates

Comparable Restaurant Revenue Growth
Comparable restaurant revenue increased 1.3% in Q2 (excluding deferred loyalty revenue), driven by a 1.5% average check increase while traffic was effectively flat (-20 basis points).

Negative Updates

Total Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q2 were $278 million, down $6.1 million versus the prior year, primarily due to restaurant closures.

Company Guidance

Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance: comparable restaurant revenues +0.5% to +1.5% (excluding deferred loyalty revenue), restaurant‑level operating margin of ~13%, adjusted EBITDA of $70–$73 million, and capital expenditures of $25–$30 million (guidance excludes tactical refranchising impact). For context, Q2 results included $278 million of total revenues, comp sales +1.3% (traffic essentially flat, down 20 bps), average check +1.5% (price +3.3%, mix/discounts -1.8%), restaurant‑level operating margin 14.7% (+20 bps YoY), adjusted EBITDA $18.9 million, cash $23 million, restricted cash $10 million, $25 million revolver availability and total liquidity of $48 million; management expects roughly $96 million of gross proceeds from three refranchising deals (to be received in Q3) and is ~60% locked on 2026 commodity needs (front‑half commodity pressure ~5% trending to a blended ~3% in the back half).

Red Robin Gourmet Risk Analysis

Red Robin Gourmet disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Red Robin Gourmet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Red Robin Gourmet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:RRN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BDLBDL71Outperform$111.46M16.809.84%1.00%6.14%53.60%
CAKECAKE64Neutral$5.61B25.2543.03%1.04%7.87%30.46%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
DINDIN50Neutral$449.53M69.63-2.46%2.14%6.44%-82.92%
JACKJACK47Neutral$249.62M7.48-3.65%―-20.21%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%DE:RRNDINBDLJACKCAKEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:RRN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:RRNRed Robin Gourmet Burgers8.083.8289.67%
DINDine Brands35.5111.9450.65%
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises59.9728.9893.55%
JACKJack In The Box13.02-2.97-18.61%
CAKECheesecake Factory112.6466.01141.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.