Euronav (OCW) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2022
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Dec 31, 2022, filed Apr 12, 2023
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1From time to time our Supervisory Board may authorize a share buyback within the Belgian legal framework. There is no guarantee that we will repurchase shares at a level anticipated by stockholders or at all, which could reduce returns to our stockholders. Once authorized, decisions to repurchase our ordinary shares will be at the discretion of our Management Board, based upon a review of relevant considerations.
In accordance with the authorization granted by a general meeting of shareholders held on June 23, 2021, we have the option but not the obligation until July 2026 of buying our own shares back should we believe there is a substantial value disconnect between the share price and the real value of the Company. During 2023 and as of the date of this annual report, we did not buy back shares. On December 31, 2022, we owned 18,241,181 of our own shares (8.3% of the total outstanding shares). We may continue to buy back our shares opportunistically under the conditions laid down by law and subject to a valid authorization. The extent to which we do so and the timing of these purchases, will depend upon a variety of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements and other corporate considerations. The Supervisory Board's determination to repurchase our ordinary shares will depend upon our profitability and financial condition, contractual restrictions, restrictions imposed by applicable law and other factors that the Supervisory Board deems relevant. Based on an evaluation of these factors, the Supervisory Board may determine not to repurchase shares or to repurchase shares at reduced levels compared to historical levels, any or all of which could reduce returns to our stockholders. The Supervisory Board may suspend or discontinue this authorization at any time.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2The price of our ordinary shares has fluctuated in the past, has been volatile and may be volatile in the future, and as a result, investors in our ordinary shares could incur substantial losses.
Our share price may be highly volatile and future sales of our ordinary shares could cause the market price of our ordinary shares to decline. The market price of our ordinary shares has historically fluctuated over a wide range and may continue to fluctuate significantly in response to many factors, such as actual or anticipated fluctuations in our operating results, changes in financial estimates by securities analysts, economic, regulatory and ESG trends, general market conditions, rumors and fabricated news, COVID-19 impacts and other factors, many of which are beyond our control. Since 2008, the stock market has experienced extreme price and volume variability due to various factors, including the prospect of increased interest rates, notable market fluctuations in the first calendar quarter of 2022 to date. If the volatility in the market continues or worsens, it could have an adverse effect on the market price of our ordinary shares and impact a potential sale price if holders of our ordinary shares decide to sell their shares. Our stock price has fluctuated in the past, has recently been volatile and may be volatile in the future. The price of our ordinary shares has ranged from a price of between $9.04 and $19.96 between January 1, 2022 and December 31, 2022. Our stock prices may experience rapid and substantial decreases or increases in the foreseeable future that are unrelated to our operating performance or prospects. The stock market in general and the market for shipping companies in particular have experienced extreme volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. As a result of this volatility, investors may experience substantial losses on their investment in our ordinary shares. The market price for our ordinary shares may be influenced by many factors, including the following: - Investor reaction to the execution of our business strategy, including mergers and acquisitions;- Shareholder activism;- Our continued compliance with the listing standards of NYSE and/or Euronext Brussels;- Regulatory or legal developments in the United States and other countries, especially changes in laws or regulations applicable to our industry, including those related to climate change;- Variations in our financial results or those of companies that are perceived to be similar to us;- Our ability or inability to raise additional capital and the terms on which we raise it;- Declines in the market prices of stocks generally;- Trading volume of our ordinary shares;- Shorting activity in relation to our share;- Sales of our ordinary shares by us or our stockholders;- General economic, industry and market conditions; and - Other events or factors, including those resulting from such events, or the prospect of such events, including war, terrorism and other international conflicts, public health issues including health epidemics or pandemics, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, adverse weather and climate conditions could disrupt our operations or result in political or economic instability. These broad market and industry factors may seriously harm the market price of our ordinary shares, regardless of our operating performance, and may be inconsistent with any improvements in actual or expected operating performance, financial condition or other indicators of value. Since the stock price of our ordinary shares has fluctuated in the past, has been recently volatile and may be volatile in the future, investors in our ordinary shares could incur substantial losses. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market, securities class-action litigation has often been instituted against companies. Such litigation, if instituted against us, could result in substantial costs and diversion of management's attention and resources, which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and growth prospects. There can be no guarantee that our stock price will remain at current prices. Additionally, recently, securities of certain companies have experienced significant and extreme volatility in stock price due short sellers of our ordinary shares, known as a "short squeeze". These short squeezes have caused extreme volatility in those companies and in the market and have led to the price per share of those companies to trade at a significantly inflated rate that is disconnected from the underlying value of the Company. Many investors who have purchased shares in those companies at an inflated rate face the risk of losing a significant portion of their original investment as the price per share has declined steadily as interest in those stocks have abated. While we have no reason to believe our shares would be the target of a short squeeze, there can be no assurance that we will not be in the future, and you may lose a significant portion or all of your investment if you purchase our shares at a rate that is significantly disconnected from our underlying value.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2022
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 42
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1ChangedFrom time to time our Supervisory Board may authorize a share buyback within the Belgian legal framework. There is no guarantee that we will repurchase shares at a level anticipated by stockholders or at all, which could reduce returns to our stockholders. Once authorized, decisions to repurchase our ordinary shares will be at the discretion of our Management Board, based upon a review of relevant considerations.
In accordance with the authorization granted by a general meeting of shareholders held on June 23, 2021, we have the option but not the obligation until July 2026 of buying our own shares back should we believe there is a substantial value disconnect between the share price and the real value of the Company. During 2023 and as of the date of this annual report, we did not buy back shares. On December 31, 2022, we owned 18,241,181 of our own shares (8.3% of the total outstanding shares). We may continue to buy back our shares opportunistically under the conditions laid down by law and subject to a valid authorization. The extent to which we do so and the timing of these purchases, will depend upon a variety of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements and other corporate considerations. The Supervisory Board's determination to repurchase our ordinary shares will depend upon our profitability and financial condition, contractual restrictions, restrictions imposed by applicable law and other factors that the Supervisory Board deems relevant. Based on an evaluation of these factors, the Supervisory Board may determine not to repurchase shares or to repurchase shares at reduced levels compared to historical levels, any or all of which could reduce returns to our stockholders. The Supervisory Board may suspend or discontinue this authorization at any time.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2ChangedThe price of our ordinary shares has fluctuated in the past, has been volatile and may be volatile in the future, and as a result, investors in our ordinary shares could incur substantial losses.
Our share price may be highly volatile and future sales of our ordinary shares could cause the market price of our ordinary shares to decline. The market price of our ordinary shares has historically fluctuated over a wide range and may continue to fluctuate significantly in response to many factors, such as actual or anticipated fluctuations in our operating results, changes in financial estimates by securities analysts, economic, regulatory and ESG trends, general market conditions, rumors and fabricated news, COVID-19 impacts and other factors, many of which are beyond our control. Since 2008, the stock market has experienced extreme price and volume variability due to various factors, including the prospect of increased interest rates, notable market fluctuations in the first calendar quarter of 2022 to date. If the volatility in the market continues or worsens, it could have an adverse effect on the market price of our ordinary shares and impact a potential sale price if holders of our ordinary shares decide to sell their shares. Our stock price has fluctuated in the past, has recently been volatile and may be volatile in the future. The price of our ordinary shares has ranged from a price of between $9.04 and $19.96 between January 1, 2022 and December 31, 2022. Our stock prices may experience rapid and substantial decreases or increases in the foreseeable future that are unrelated to our operating performance or prospects. The stock market in general and the market for shipping companies in particular have experienced extreme volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. As a result of this volatility, investors may experience substantial losses on their investment in our ordinary shares. The market price for our ordinary shares may be influenced by many factors, including the following: - Investor reaction to the execution of our business strategy, including mergers and acquisitions;- Shareholder activism;- Our continued compliance with the listing standards of NYSE and/or Euronext Brussels;- Regulatory or legal developments in the United States and other countries, especially changes in laws or regulations applicable to our industry, including those related to climate change;- Variations in our financial results or those of companies that are perceived to be similar to us;- Our ability or inability to raise additional capital and the terms on which we raise it;- Declines in the market prices of stocks generally;- Trading volume of our ordinary shares;- Shorting activity in relation to our share;- Sales of our ordinary shares by us or our stockholders;- General economic, industry and market conditions; and - Other events or factors, including those resulting from such events, or the prospect of such events, including war, terrorism and other international conflicts, public health issues including health epidemics or pandemics, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, adverse weather and climate conditions could disrupt our operations or result in political or economic instability. These broad market and industry factors may seriously harm the market price of our ordinary shares, regardless of our operating performance, and may be inconsistent with any improvements in actual or expected operating performance, financial condition or other indicators of value. Since the stock price of our ordinary shares has fluctuated in the past, has been recently volatile and may be volatile in the future, investors in our ordinary shares could incur substantial losses. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market, securities class-action litigation has often been instituted against companies. Such litigation, if instituted against us, could result in substantial costs and diversion of management's attention and resources, which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and growth prospects. There can be no guarantee that our stock price will remain at current prices. Additionally, recently, securities of certain companies have experienced significant and extreme volatility in stock price due short sellers of our ordinary shares, known as a "short squeeze". These short squeezes have caused extreme volatility in those companies and in the market and have led to the price per share of those companies to trade at a significantly inflated rate that is disconnected from the underlying value of the Company. Many investors who have purchased shares in those companies at an inflated rate face the risk of losing a significant portion of their original investment as the price per share has declined steadily as interest in those stocks have abated. While we have no reason to believe our shares would be the target of a short squeeze, there can be no assurance that we will not be in the future, and you may lose a significant portion or all of your investment if you purchase our shares at a rate that is significantly disconnected from our underlying value.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Increasing scrutiny and changing expectations from investors, lenders and other market participants with respect to our Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) policies may impose additional costs on us or expose us to additional risks.
Companies across all industries are facing increasing scrutiny relating to their ESG policies. Investor advocacy groups, certain institutional investors, investment funds, lenders and other market participants are increasingly focused on ESG practices, especially as they relate to the environment, health and safety, diversity, labor conditions and human rights in recent years, and have placed increasing importance on the implications and social costs of their investments. In February 2021, the Acting Chair of the SEC issued a statement directing the Division of Corporation Finance to enhance its focus on climate-related disclosure in public company filings and in March 2021 the SEC announced the creation of a Climate and ESG Task Force in the Division of Enforcement (Task Force). The Task Force's goal is to develop initiatives to proactively identify ESG-related misconduct consistent with increased investor reliance on climate and ESG-related disclosure and investment. To implement the Task Force's purpose, the SEC has taken several enforcement actions, with the first enforcement action taking place in May 2022, and promulgated new rules. On March 21, 2022, the SEC proposed that all public companies are to include extensive climate-related information in their SEC filings. On May 25, 2022, SEC proposed a second set of rules aiming to curb the practice of "greenwashing" (i.e., making unfounded claims about one's ESG efforts) and would add proposed amendments to rules and reporting forms that apply to registered investment companies and advisers, advisers exempt from registration, and business development companies. These proposed sets of rules are not effective as of the date of this annual report. The increased focus and activism related to ESG and similar matters may hinder access to capital, as investors and lenders may decide to reallocate capital or to not commit capital as a result of their assessment of a company's ESG practices. Failure to adapt to or comply with evolving investor, lender or other industry shareholder expectations and standards or the perception of not responding appropriately to the growing concern for ESG issues, regardless of whether there is a legal requirement to do so, may damage such a company's reputation or stock price, resulting in direct or indirect material and adverse effects on the company's business and financial condition. The increase in shareholder proposals submitted on environmental matters and, in particular, climate-related proposals in recent years indicates that we may face increasing pressures from investors, lenders and other market participants, who are increasingly focused on climate change, to prioritize sustainable energy practices, reduce our carbon footprint and promote sustainability. As a result, we may be required to implement more stringent ESG procedures or standards so that our existing and future investors and lenders remain invested in us and make further investments in us, especially given the highly focused and specific trade of crude oil transportation in which we are engaged. If we do not meet these standards, our business and/or our ability to access capital could be harmed. Additionally, certain investors and lenders may exclude oil transport companies, such as us, from their investing portfolios altogether due to environmental, social and governance factors. These limitations in both the debt and equity capital markets may affect our ability to grow as our plans for growth may include accessing the equity and debt capital markets. If those markets are unavailable, or if we are unable to access alternative means of financing on acceptable terms, or at all, we may be unable to implement our business strategy, which would have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations and impair our ability to service our indebtedness. Further, it is likely that we will incur additional costs and require additional resources to implement, monitor, report and comply with wide ranging ESG requirements. Members of the investment community are also increasing their focus on ESG disclosures, including disclosures related to greenhouse gases and climate change in the energy industry in particular, and diversity and inclusion initiatives and governance standards among companies more generally. As a result, we may face increasing pressure regarding our ESG disclosures. The occurrence of any of the foregoing could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Moreover, from time to time, in alignment with our sustainability priorities, we aim at establishing and publicly announce goals and commitments in respect of certain ESG items, such as shipping decarbonization. While we may create and publish voluntary disclosures regarding ESG matters from time to time, many of the statements in those voluntary disclosures are based on hypothetical expectations and assumptions that may or may not be representative of current or actual risks or events or forecasts of expected risks or events, including the costs associated therewith. Such expectations and assumptions are necessarily uncertain and may be prone to error or subject to misinterpretation given the long timelines involved and the lack of an established standardized approach to identifying, measuring and reporting on many ESG matters. If we fail to achieve or improperly report on our progress toward achieving our environmental goals and commitments, the resulting negative publicity could adversely affect our reputation and/or our access to capital. Finally, organizations that provide information to investors on corporate governance and related matters have developed ratings processes for evaluating companies on their approach to ESG matters. Such ratings are used by some investors to inform their investment and voting decisions. Unfavorable ESG ratings and recent activism directed at shifting funding away from companies with fossil fuel-related assets could lead to increased negative investor sentiment toward us and our industry and to the diversion of investment to other, non-fossil fuel markets, which could have a negative impact on our access to and costs of capital.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Our shareholders residing in countries other than Belgium may be subject to double withholding taxation with respect to dividends or other distributions made by us.
Any dividends or other distributions we make to shareholders will, in principle, be subject to withholding tax in Belgium at a rate of 30%, except for shareholders which qualify for an exemption of withholding tax such as, amongst others, qualifying pension funds or a company qualifying as a parent company in the sense of the Council Directive (90/435/EEC) of July 23, 1990, or the Parent-Subsidiary Directive or that qualify for a lower withholding tax rate or an exemption by virtue of a tax treaty. Various conditions may apply and shareholders residing in countries other than Belgium are advised to consult their advisers regarding the tax consequences of dividends or other distributions made by us. Our shareholders residing in countries other than Belgium may not be able to credit the amount of such withholding tax to any tax due on such dividends or other distributions in any other country than Belgium. As a result, such shareholders may be subject to double taxation in respect of such dividends or other distributions. Belgium and the United States have concluded a double tax treaty concerning the avoidance of double taxation, or the U.S.-Belgium Treaty. The U.S.-Belgium Treaty reduces the applicability of Belgian withholding tax to 15%, 5% or 0% for U.S. taxpayers, provided that the U.S. taxpayer meets the limitation of benefits conditions imposed by the U.S.-Belgium Treaty. The Belgian withholding tax is generally reduced to 15% under the U.S.-Belgium Treaty. The 5% withholding tax applies in cases where the U.S. shareholder is a company which holds at least 10% of the shares in the Company. A 0% Belgian withholding tax applies when the shareholder is a company which has held at least 10% of the shares in the Company for at least 12 months, or is, subject to certain conditions, a U.S. pension fund. The U.S. shareholders are encouraged to consult their own tax advisers to determine whether they can invoke the benefits and meet the limitation of benefits conditions as imposed by the U.S.-Belgium Treaty.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Future issuances and sales of our ordinary shares could cause the market price of our ordinary shares to decline.
As of December 31, 2022, our issued (and fully paid up) share capital was $239,147,505.82 which was represented by 220,024,713 shares. As of December 31, 2022, we had: - 201,783,532 ordinary shares outstanding, and - 18,241,181 treasury shares. By decision at our Shareholders' Special Meeting held on June 23, 2021, our Supervisory Board has been authorized to acquire a maximum of 10% of the existing shares or profit shares during a period of five years, at a price per share not exceeding the maximum price allowed under applicable law and not to be less than EUR 0.01. Shares bought back by us, can be cancelled or can be held as treasury shares, at the option of the Company. Under Belgian corporate laws, the voting rights related to treasury shares are suspended and treasury shares give no entitlement to dividend. We may at any time transfer all or part of our treasury shares to a third party, at which time the corresponding voting rights will cease to be suspended and the shares will again give their holder entitlement to dividend. Our shareholders may incur dilution from any such future transfer. Additionally, by decision of our shareholders' meeting held on February 20, 2020, our Supervisory Board has been authorized to increase our share capital in one or several times by a total maximum amount of $25,000,000 (with possibility for our Supervisory Board to restrict or suspend the preferential subscription rights of our existing shareholders) or $120,000,000 (without the possibility for our Supervisory Board to restrict or suspend the preferential subscription rights of our existing shareholders) during a period of five years as from the date of publication of the decision, subject to the terms and conditions to be determined by our Supervisory Board. Issuances and sales of a substantial number of ordinary shares in the public market, or the perception that these issuances or sales could occur, may depress the market price for our ordinary shares. These sales could also impair our ability to raise additional capital through the sale of our equity securities in the future. We intend to issue additional ordinary shares in the future. Our shareholders may incur dilution from any future equity offering.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6We are incorporated in Belgium, which provides for different and in some cases more limited shareholder rights than the laws of jurisdictions in the United States.
We are a Belgian company and our corporate affairs are governed by Belgian corporate law. Principles of law relating to such matters as the validity of corporate procedures, the fiduciary duties of management, the dividend payment dates and the rights of shareholders may differ from those that would apply if we were incorporated in a jurisdiction within the United States. For example, there are no statutory dissenters' rights under Belgian law with respect to share exchanges, mergers and other similar transactions, and the rights of shareholders of a Belgian company to sue derivatively, on the company's behalf, are more limited than in the United States.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7Civil liabilities based upon the securities and other laws of the United States may not be enforceable in original actions instituted in Belgium or in actions instituted in Belgium to enforce judgments of U.S. courts.
Civil liabilities based upon the securities and other laws of the United States may not be enforceable in original actions instituted in Belgium or in actions instituted in Belgium to enforce judgments of U.S. courts. Actions for the enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts might be successful only if the Belgian court confirms the substantive correctness of the judgment of the U.S. court and is satisfied that: - The effect of the enforcement judgment is not manifestly incompatible with Belgian public policy;- The judgment did not violate the rights of the defendant;- The judgment was not rendered in a matter where the parties transferred rights subject to transfer restrictions with the sole purpose of avoiding the application of the law applicable according to Belgian international private law;- The judgment is not subject to further recourse under U.S. law;- The judgment is not incompatible with a judgment rendered in Belgium or with a subsequent judgment rendered abroad that might be enforced in Belgium;- A claim was not filed outside Belgium after the same claim was filed in Belgium, while the claim filed in Belgium is still pending;- The Belgian courts did not have exclusive jurisdiction to rule on the matter;- The U.S. court did not accept its jurisdiction solely on the basis of either the nationality of the plaintiff or the location of the disputed goods; and - The judgment submitted to the Belgian court is authentic.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.