Mueller Die lila Logistik (MLL) AI Stock Analysis

Mueller Die lila Logistik

(XETRA:MLL)

Select Model

Rating:52Neutral

Price Target:EUR 4.00▲(4.17% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/07/26

Mueller Die lila Logistik scores a below-average 52, driven primarily by weak financial fundamentals. The most significant drag comes from razor-thin net margins (~1.7%), a heavily leveraged balance sheet (2.48x debt-to-equity), and inconsistent revenue growth, which collectively weigh heavily on the financial performance score. Partially offsetting these concerns is the company's strong operating cash flow generation (€41.3M), which supports ongoing deleveraging and a 3.19% dividend yield. Valuation is modestly attractive at a P/E of 8.7x, though this largely reflects the market pricing in structural risks. Technicals show mild bullish momentum with the stock trading above all key moving averages, but the upside appears limited without a meaningful improvement in profitability. The stock may appeal to value-oriented or income-focused investors with patience for a turnaround, but the risk-reward profile remains constrained by leverage and margin pressures.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash GenerationMeaningful operating and free cash flow gives MLL internal funding for debt service, reinvestment, and operational needs. Consistent cash production across most years also provides resilience for a contract logistics model that must maintain facilities, labor capacity, and customer service levels.

Negative Factors

Elevated LeverageThe debt-heavy capital structure limits financial flexibility relative to MLL’s modest margins. Elevated leverage can increase sensitivity to interest costs, weaken capacity to fund expansion internally, and constrain the company’s ability to absorb a downturn or unexpected operating pressure.

Mueller Die lila Logistik (MLL) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 30.55M
Dividend Yield: 3.91%
Average Volume (3M): 782
Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.8
Beta (1Y): -0.16
Revenue Growth: 2.90%
EPS Growth: 8.92%
Country: Germany
Employees: 1,976
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics

Mueller Die lila Logistik Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Besigheim, Germany, Müller - Die lila Logistik AG is a German provider of comprehensive logistics services, established in 1991. The company structures its operations into three distinct segments: Lila Operating, Lila Real Estate, an...

How the Company Makes Money

MLL makes money primarily by selling contract logistics services to business customers under service agreements, typically priced through recurring fees tied to agreed scopes and service levels. Key revenue streams generally include (1) warehousing a...

Mueller Die lila Logistik Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall. The income statement score of 38 reflects razor-thin net margins (~1.7%), inconsistent revenue growth, and profitability far below 2021 peaks. The balance sheet score of 30 highlights significant leverage risk with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.48x, though the deleveraging trend is positive. Cash flow is the relative bright spot (score 55), with operating cash flow of €41.3M significantly exceeding net income and supporting debt reduction. The blended financial picture shows a company generating solid cash but struggling with profitability and carrying elevated debt.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

30Negative

Cash Flow

55Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	251.89M	250.48M	248.74M	260.02M	162.20M	135.08M
Gross Profit	58.69M	42.26M	45.05M	86.23M	16.19M	46.13M
EBITDA	45.02M	42.19M	40.78M	36.85M	29.96M	23.34M
Net Income	3.90M	4.30M	3.83M	1.79M	4.54M	10.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	212.63M	206.27M	201.11M	207.67M	210.61M	140.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.56M	12.88M	16.52M	15.13M	10.03M	26.93M
Total Debt	118.83M	111.59M	112.50M	120.91M	129.06M	75.27M
Total Liabilities	166.78M	161.25M	160.45M	170.62M	176.19M	102.67M
Stockholders Equity	45.85M	45.02M	40.66M	37.05M	34.42M	38.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	30.17M	29.36M	35.37M	26.67M	-20.92M	16.84M
Operating Cash Flow	41.36M	41.27M	40.56M	35.10M	14.75M	23.89M
Investing Cash Flow	-12.90M	-12.75M	-4.59M	-2.90M	-53.85M	23.41M
Financing Cash Flow	-21.29M	-31.66M	-34.04M	-28.71M	20.59M	-31.29M

Mueller Die lila Logistik Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price3.84

Price Trends

50DMA4.14Negative

100DMA4.37Negative

200DMA4.51Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Positive

RSI37.13Neutral

STOCH42.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:MLL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.03, below the 50-day MA of 4.14, and below the 200-day MA of 4.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:MLL.

Mueller Die lila Logistik Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

DE:MLL against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DE:TGHN	79Outperform	EUR 804.94M	14.17	14.55%	4.57%	-5.64%	-9.56%
DE:DHL	60Neutral	EUR 65.68B	17.83	16.64%	3.21%	1.28%	11.18%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
DE:KGX	53Neutral	EUR 4.36B	11.95	5.87%	1.83%	3.11%	36.25%
DE:MLL	52Neutral	EUR 30.55M	7.84	8.58%	3.91%	2.90%	8.92%
DE:JUN3	52Neutral	EUR 2.19B	-2190.00	-0.04%	1.32%	1.63%	-86.73%
DE:HHFA	45Neutral	EUR 2.43B	-54.50	-1.73%	0.47%	3.49%	-127.01%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:MLL and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:MLL	Mueller Die lila Logistik	3.84	-0.56	-12.67%
DE:DHL	Deutsche Post AG (UK)	59.20	21.70	57.85%
DE:HHFA	Hamburger Hafen und Logistik	21.60	0.50	2.37%
DE:JUN3	Jungheinrich AG	21.90	-7.99	-26.72%
DE:KGX	KION GROUP AG	33.94	-27.13	-44.43%
DE:TGHN	Logwin AG	280.00	48.68	21.05%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026

Mueller Die lila Logistik AI Stock Analysis