St Joe Company (JOE) AI Stock Analysis

St Joe Company

(Frankfurt:JOE)

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Action:N/A

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Positive Factors

Development PipelineThe expanding residential pipeline provides a multi-year pathway for land monetization and community growth. Additional planned homes, commercial space, and utility corridors can support future sales and leasing activity, while increasing development scale across Northwest Florida.

Negative Factors

Revenue VolatilityThe severe TTM revenue contraction highlights how development timing and property transactions can make reported growth highly uneven. Even with strong margins, volatile recognition creates uncertainty around the durability and timing of revenue available to support ongoing investment.

St Joe Company (JOE) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 3.96B
Dividend Yield: 0.85%
Average Volume (3M): 157
Price to Earnings (P/E): 33.0
Beta (1Y): 0.42
Revenue Growth: 6.54%
EPS Growth: 13.52%
Country: Germany
Employees: 1,019
Sector: Real Estate
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Real Estate - Development

St Joe Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The St. Joe Company, along with its affiliated entities, functions as a real estate development, asset management, and operational enterprise, primarily located in Northwest Florida. Its business activities are organized into three primary divisions:...

St Joe Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:5.02%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive: strong year-to-date revenue, net income, and operating income growth; record hospitality revenue; higher Latitude sales and backlog; substantial share repurchases; and continued development demand outweighed the third-quarter declines in revenue and net income, hurricane-related repairs, the pending ICW Marina permit, and higher contractual obligations.

Positive Updates

Strong Year-to-Date Operating Performance

For the first nine months of 2026, total revenue increased by 8%, net income increased by 7%, and operating income increased by 26% compared with the first nine months of 2025. Management said the company was performing ahead of full-year 2025, which had been its best performance in 20 years excluding the large one-time timberland sale in 2014.

Negative Updates

Third-Quarter Revenue and Net Income Declines

Third-quarter total revenue decreased by 3% and net income decreased by 5% compared with the third quarter of 2025. Management noted that the prior-year period benefited from the sale of Watercrest.

Company Guidance

The company said capital expenditure for growth is expected to grow “over the next year or two,” with the pace “increasing” and “accelerating” “over the next couple of years”; Watersound West Bay Center is planned for a minimum of 500,000 sq ft, with 33,182 sq ft existing and 69,134 sq ft under construction, including a new Publix grocery store; the second phase of Latitude Margaritaville Watersound will add approximately 3,500 planned homes, bringing the community to approximately 7,200 planned homes; the Pigeon Creek community is expected to break ground in the first part of 2027 and is planned for approximately 3,000 homes; and the company is planning off-site utility corridors for future new communities in the thousands of units that are going to capture probably two or three separate DSAPs.

St Joe Company Risk Analysis

St Joe Company disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. St Joe Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

St Joe Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

DE:JOE against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VTMX	80Outperform	$3.48B	6.48	16.39%	2.29%	17.70%	7191.37%
FOR	68Neutral	$1.22B	8.58	7.73%	―	-1.64%	-15.37%
Sector *	65Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
HHH	64Neutral	$4.55B	15.40	7.18%	―	31.83%	7.70%
FPH	58Neutral	$459.02M	10.22	3.47%	―	-39.15%	-69.83%
MLP	39Underperform	$285.97M	-62.74	-14.25%	―	-4.11%	66.64%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:JOE and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:JOE	St. Joe Co	63.80	15.47	32.01%
FOR	Forestar	23.94	-1.69	-6.59%
HHH	Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.	76.23	-2.17	-2.77%
MLP	Maui Land & Pineapple	14.40	-1.10	-7.10%
FPH	Five Point Holdings	4.18	-1.70	-28.91%
VTMX	Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR	36.09	6.88	23.54%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

St Joe Company AI Stock Analysis