Jack In The Box (JBX) AI Stock Analysis

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Jack In The Box

(Frankfurt:JBX)

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Positive Factors

Franchise-led modelThe franchise-led model can support recurring royalty and rental income with less direct operating exposure than a fully company-owned estate. Its scale across Jack in the Box and Del Taco also provides multiple brand platforms from which to support franchise development and system revenues.

Negative Factors

Balance-sheet riskNegative equity and debt exceeding the asset base leave the company with limited financial flexibility and heightened sensitivity to operating setbacks. High leverage can constrain investment, increase debt-service demands and make any prolonged sales or margin weakness more damaging.

Jack In The Box (JBX) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 278.29M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 108
Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.3
Beta (1Y): 1.86
Revenue Growth: -25.78%
EPS Growth: ―
Country: Germany
Employees: 5,046
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Restaurants

Jack In The Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Jack in the Box Inc. is engaged in the operation and franchising of its namesake quick-service dining establishments. By November 23, 2021, the company's network encompassed approximately 2,200 Jack in the Box fast-food outlets situated across 21 U.S...

Jack In The Box Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-14.94%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2026

Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call presented a mix of proactive operational and financial actions (refinancing and debt reduction, adjusted EBITDA growth, product tests, early Q4 comp improvement and a refresh program) alongside persistent challenges (several quarters of same-store sales declines, margin pressures from commodity inflation and digital fees, franchisee profitability stress, and elevated leverage). Management emphasized a clear 5-point turnaround plan and early signs of stabilization, but the near-term financials and franchisee headwinds remain material.

Positive Updates

Debt Reduction and Refinancing Completed

Since JACK on Track was announced, debt decreased by $244 million; completed refinancing on June 23, prepaid $110 million of the August 2026 tranche, total debt at quarter end $1.5 billion; net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 6.3x from 6.9x the prior quarter.

Negative Updates

Same-Store Sales Decline in Q3

Third-quarter same-store sales decreased 1.1% overall (franchise same-store sales -1.2%; company-owned -0.9%), reflecting a decline in transactions partially offset by menu price increases and continuing multiple quarters of comps weakness.

Company Guidance

On the call management updated FY2026 guidance and JACK on Track progress: they now expect ~2,100 restaurants, restaurant-level margin of ~16.5% (assuming mid‑single‑digit commodity inflation and low‑single‑digit wage inflation), franchise‑level margin of about $265M, SG&A of $112M–$115M (ex‑COLI), and adjusted EBITDA of $225M–$230M; capital expenditures were $44.1M YTD through Q3 and interest expense for the year is expected to be roughly $81M. They reported total debt of $1.5B, net debt/adjusted EBITDA leverage of 6.3x (down from 6.9x), $244M of debt reduction since JACK on Track launched, $26.7M of real‑estate sale proceeds YTD (≈$1M in Q4 to date), and 40 restaurant closures YTD with an additional 10–20 expected in Q4 (closure cadence likely to continue into 2027); management noted each franchise closure impacts franchise‑level margin by about $80k.

Jack In The Box Risk Analysis

Jack In The Box disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jack In The Box reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Jack In The Box Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:JBX against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EAT	85Outperform	$8.11B	17.27	122.98%	―	6.07%	16.71%
LOCO	66Neutral	$467.48M	13.09	11.15%	―	5.15%	30.88%
GTIM	65Neutral	$13.30M	6.25	6.62%	―	-5.81%	78.41%
MCD	65Neutral	$199.15B	21.71	-809.81%	2.71%	5.78%	7.67%
Sector *	61Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
WEN	54Neutral	$1.59B	16.35	81.11%	5.88%	-0.32%	-46.30%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:JBX and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:JBX	Jack In The Box	13.10	0.10	0.77%
EAT	Brinker International	200.73	87.54	77.34%
GTIM	Good Times Restaurants	1.32	0.00	0.00%
MCD	McDonald's Corporation	274.80	-24.53	-8.20%
WEN	Wendy's Company	8.34	0.24	2.94%
LOCO	El Pollo LoCo Holdings	15.19	4.62	43.71%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Jack In The Box AI Stock Analysis