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Eldorado Gold (ELO1) AI Stock Analysis

DE:ELO1

Eldorado Gold

(XETRA:ELO1)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Strong revenue and margin growthRevenue and profitability have expanded substantially, showing stronger earnings capacity across the operating portfolio. The improved margin profile can support reinvestment, debt management, and project funding, although sustaining these returns through the gold cycle remains important for durability.
Negative Factors
Heavy investment is absorbing cashDeeply negative free cash flow indicates that current growth spending is materially exceeding internally generated cash. This weakens cash conversion and increases dependence on liquidity, project funding, or future operating cash flow to support development and other capital priorities.

Eldorado Gold (ELO1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%DE:ELO1+25.92%EWG+6.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 8.42B
Dividend Yield
0.67%
Average Volume (3M)
584
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.7
Beta (1Y)
0.76
Revenue Growth
19.39%
EPS Growth
58.41%
Country
Germany
Employees
8,400
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Eldorado Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, Eldorado Gold Corporation is an international mining firm, established in 1992. The company's activities encompass the exploration, development, extraction, and sale of various mineral products across its primary o...

Eldorado Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-7.37%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call was mixed but cautiously constructive. The company reported substantially higher revenue and earnings, strong performance at Lamaque, major commissioning milestones at Skouries and McIlvenna Bay, solid liquidity, and confidence in the 2027 outlook. However, these positives were offset by slower-than-expected ramp-ups, higher project capital and operating capital, revised 2026 production guidance, negative consolidated free cash flow, elevated operating costs, and ongoing inflation, diesel, labor, and debt-related considerations.

Positive Updates

Quarterly Revenue and Net Earnings Growth
Third-quarter revenue increased 18% year over year to $512 million, supported by an average realized gold price of $4,326 per ounce versus $3,527 per ounce in Q3 2025. Net earnings attributable to shareholders from continuing operations rose to $118 million, or $0.45 per share, from $56 million, or $0.28 per share, while adjusted net earnings increased to $127 million, or $0.49 per share, from $82 million, or $0.41 per share.

Negative Updates

Skouries Ramp-Up Slower and More Expensive Than Expected
Management acknowledged that the Skouries ramp-up has taken longer and cost more than expected. Commercial production is expected in late Q4 2026, and the company revised 2026 Skouries guidance to 10,000 ounces-35,000 ounces of gold and 5 million lbs-15 million lbs of copper, reflecting the slower-than-expected ramp-up.

Company Guidance

For 2026, Eldorado expects operating assets excluding Skouries and McIlvenna Bay to produce 410,000 ounces-430,000 ounces of gold, Skouries to produce 10,000 ounces-35,000 ounces of gold and 5 million lbs-15 million lbs of copper, and both Skouries and McIlvenna Bay to achieve commercial production in late Q4; Skouries project capital is approximately $1.425 billion, accelerated operational capital is $390 million, and up to an additional $30 million contingency may be incurred, while McIlvenna Bay project capital to commercial production is expected to be $975 million, with approximately $15 million of 2026 growth capital post commercial production and $10 million of sustaining capital post commercial production. For 2027, previously guided ranges include 140,000 ounces-160,000 ounces for Kışladağ, 150,000 ounces-180,000 ounces and 50 million lbs-70 million lbs of copper for Skouries, and 75,000 ounces-90,000 ounces for Olympias, with Olympias probably at the lower end of that range right now; nameplate capacity at Skouries and McIlvenna Bay is guided by the middle of 2027, the whole ore agglomeration circuit is expected to commission and ramp up in the first half of 2027, McIlvenna Bay OpEx is expected to reach $90-$110 per tonne, initially around the upper end of that range, and exploration could receive $80 million-$100 million, with no major projects next year and 2028 the earliest for material construction spend.

Eldorado Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:ELO1 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:ARTGTSE:ARTG84OutperformCAD 8.33B15.0651.31%0.14%411.07%541.04%
TSE:OGCTSE:OGC78OutperformCAD 7.49B6.8037.64%1.21%55.87%135.78%
TSE:DPMTSE:DPM78OutperformCAD 10.65B11.8224.39%0.45%96.03%113.85%
TSE:BTOTSE:BTO69NeutralCAD 8.47B8.1721.87%1.66%72.47%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%DE:ELO1TSE:BTOTSE:OGCTSE:DPMTSE:ARTGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:ELO1 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:ELO1Eldorado Gold28.907.2033.19%
TSE:BTOB2Gold Corp.6.681.1621.10%
TSE:OGCOceanagold Corporation34.064.5915.58%
TSE:DPMDpm Metals Inc.50.1021.1172.79%
TSE:ARTGArtemis Gold Inc36.143.5410.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.