Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

Dover

(XETRA:DOV)

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Positive Factors

Recurring aftermarket revenueThe installed-base aftermarket provides a recurring revenue layer alongside equipment sales, helping stabilize demand across customer investment cycles. Parts, consumables, maintenance, and service also deepen customer relationships and can support durable cash generation over equipment lifecycles.

Negative Factors

Uneven cash-flow conversionAlthough cash generation is positive, only moderate operating-cash-flow conversion relative to profitability and prior periods of free-cash-flow decline indicate potential working-capital or investment volatility. This can make internally funded growth and capital allocation less predictable.

Dover (DOV) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 27.63B
Dividend Yield: 0.98%
Average Volume (3M): 40
Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.1
Beta (1Y): 0.35
Revenue Growth: 3.00%
EPS Growth: -50.66%
Country: Germany
Employees: 24,000
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Industrial - Machinery

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Dover Corporation operates as a global enterprise, supplying a wide array of industrial equipment, essential components, consumable products, replacement parts, software and digital platforms, and comprehensive support services. Its Engineered Produc...

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:6.33%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly constructive. Dover reported accelerating organic growth, double-digit EPS growth, record or strong bookings, a backlog up 35%, higher free cash flow, improved full-year guidance positioning, and continued demand across secular growth markets. The principal challenges were capacity constraints, production-ramp and duplicate-facility costs, selected segment volume declines, and limited visibility in short-cycle businesses. Management nevertheless expressed confidence in 2027, citing backlog strength, capacity investments, productivity actions, and expected margin improvement.

Positive Updates

Organic Growth and Earnings Increased

Third-quarter organic growth accelerated to 7%, supported by secular growth markets and durable demand across the majority of the portfolio. Adjusted EPS was $2.88 per share, up 10% year over year.

Negative Updates

Engineered Products Organic Decline

Engineered Products declined 2% organically. Strong demand for aerospace and defense components was more than offset by lower volumes in European vehicle services.

Company Guidance

Dover is narrowing full year guidance towards the upper end of the range, with organic growth of 5% to 6% and adjusted EPS from $10.60 to $10.75 per share, representing double digit growth consistent with its long term algorithm; full year free cash flow guidance remains on track at 14% to 16% of revenue, and full year CapEx is guided at $200 to $220 million. The company expects a further increase in fourth quarter free cash flow, an another sequential increase in line rates and output in the fourth quarter, additional cryogenic capacity online in the first quarter of 2027, and to double global capacity for large heat exchangers through 2027; margins in climate and sustainability technologies are poised to improve meaningfully in 2027, with a 20% margin target stated in the past, while Clean Energy and Fueling is tracking toward 25% margin. Roughly half of the backlog is scheduled to ship in 2027, backlog is up 35% versus this time last year, and the retail fueling CapEx cycle is expected to be at least 4 years.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.There have been no material changes from the risk factors previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.Q2, 2026

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DE:DOV against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IR	85Outperform	$31.06B	22.42	13.53%	0.10%	7.96%	161.68%
ITT	75Outperform	$17.75B	38.77	10.35%	0.76%	28.07%	-19.95%
NDSN	73Outperform	$17.97B	32.49	17.59%	1.05%	7.02%	24.24%
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
FLS	63Neutral	$10.02B	39.51	11.35%	1.10%	0.21%	-42.26%
XYL	60Neutral	$21.19B	20.44	9.96%	1.83%	1.82%	16.29%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:DOV and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:DOV	Dover Corporation	187.20	35.70	23.56%
FLS	Flowserve	79.01	10.30	14.99%
ITT	ITT Corporation	198.50	14.13	7.67%
NDSN	Nordson Corporation	322.67	95.18	41.84%
XYL	Xylem Inc	92.40	-55.22	-37.41%
IR	Ingersoll Rand Inc.	80.05	2.89	3.74%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Dover AI Stock Analysis