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Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:DBK

Deutsche Bank AG

(XETRA:DBK)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:EUR 36.00â–²(8.48% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:01/30/26

The score is supported by a strong and constructive earnings call (record 2025 performance, clear 2026 guidance and capital return plan) and reasonable valuation. This is tempered by weaker underlying financial statement quality driven by negative EBIT margin and negative free cash flow, while technicals point to a longer-term uptrend but near-term consolidation.

Positive Factors
Operational EfficiencyImproved operational efficiency through cost-saving measures enhances profitability and competitiveness, supporting long-term sustainability.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Commercial Real EstateOngoing challenges in commercial real estate could lead to increased provisions, impacting profitability and risk management in the long term.

Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%DE:DBK+16.62%EWG+9.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 67.90B
Dividend Yield
3.01%
Average Volume (3M)
5.19M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.7
Beta (1Y)
1.46
Revenue Growth
0.18%
EPS Growth
7.38%
Country
Germany
Employees
89,868
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Deutsche Bank AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Deutsche Bank AG is a prominent German financial institution that provides a wide range of investment, financial, and related services to a global clientele, including private individuals, corporate businesses, and institutional clients. Its Corporat...

How the Company Makes Money

Deutsche Bank generates revenue primarily through its diversified business model which includes several key revenue streams. The Investment Bank segment earns money by providing advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, underwriting securities,...

Deutsche Bank AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:14.93%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Management reported record nine-month and quarterly profitability, broad-based revenue growth, record asset-gathering inflows, a record Corporate Bank quarter, resilient Investment Bank performance, strong capital levels, and raised full-year revenue guidance above €33 billion. The main challenges were elevated CRE-related provisions, an idiosyncratic credit event, margin compression in FICC financing, selected expense increases, and ongoing German competitive and reform uncertainty. Highlights significantly outweighed lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Nine-Month Performance
Revenue reached €25.5 billion in the first 9 months of 2026, on track to meet the full-year ambition of around €33 billion. Profit before tax was a record €8.4 billion, post-tax RoTE was 11.5%, the cost/income ratio was 61.4%, and the CET1 ratio was 14.0%.

Negative Updates

Lower Asset Management Performance Fees
Asset Management performance fees were lower year on year because the prior-year quarter benefited from fees generated by asset realizations in an infrastructure fund.

Company Guidance

For full year 2026, Deutsche Bank expects revenues above €33 billion assuming markets remain constructive, total expenses of around €21.3 billion, NII across key banking book segments and other funding to slightly exceed €14 billion, and loan loss provisions, excluding targeted proactive derisking actions and the idiosyncratic event, to be broadly in line with guidance and slightly lower in 2026 compared to the prior year; the bank expects a gradual but steady decline in CRE provisions in 2027 and, in 2028, the group provision run rate normalizing at around 30 basis points, while its CET1 ratio is expected to remain within its operating range of 13 and a half, 14%, capital deductions will continue in line with the 60% payout ratio target, and an RoTE of above 13% represents a floor.

Deutsche Bank AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and a stable balance sheet are positives, but the negative EBIT margin and the sharp deterioration in operating cash flow leading to negative free cash flow in 2024 meaningfully weaken the overall financial picture.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.94B60.89B66.34B59.35B37.30B30.75B
Gross Profit32.44B30.41B28.22B27.37B25.43B24.79B
EBITDA11.08B9.72B5.29B5.68B7.54B5.40B
Net Income7.78B6.93B3.37B4.77B5.53B2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.58T1.44T1.39T1.31T1.34T1.32T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments137.25B355.98B187.89B213.43B211.54B222.74B
Total Debt146.88B358.91B224.35B144.22B195.47B156.19B
Total Liabilities1.50T1.35T1.31T1.24T1.26T1.26T
Stockholders Equity79.41B78.64B77.83B73.05B70.54B66.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow00-29.11B5.18B-2.45B-3.50B
Operating Cash Flow00-28.58B5.61B-2.11B-2.95B
Investing Cash Flow00-6.78B-2.58B-17.18B23.59B
Financing Cash Flow00-646.00M-2.85B614.00M1.63B

Deutsche Bank AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price33.19

Price Trends

50DMA31.52Positive
100DMA31.91Positive
200DMA29.61Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.72Negative
RSI61.54Neutral
STOCH87.80Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.69, above the 50-day MA of 31.52, and above the 200-day MA of 29.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:DBK.

Deutsche Bank AG Risk Analysis

Deutsche Bank AG disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deutsche Bank AG reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Deutsche Bank AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

DE:DBK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
DE:FTKDE:FTK77OutperformEUR 2.50B12.9220.76%1.32%20.27%50.28%
DE:DB1DE:DB174OutperformEUR 58.72B27.2120.39%1.27%7.14%7.62%
DE:DWSDE:DWS70OutperformEUR 13.44B17.5513.58%4.46%24.12%34.62%
DE:DBKDE:DBK69NeutralEUR 60.48B8.6610.21%3.01%0.18%7.38%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
DE:CBKDE:CBK56NeutralEUR 43.11B12.9910.03%2.76%0.50%32.22%
DE:PBBDE:PBB41NeutralEUR 347.75M-6.71-0.96%5.80%-20.56%76.04%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%DE:DBKDE:CBKDE:DB1DE:PBBDE:FTKDE:DWSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:DBK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:DBKDeutsche Bank AG33.193.4611.63%
DE:CBKCommerzbank AG (UK)39.898.1725.75%
DE:DB1Deutsche Boerse330.40130.2965.11%
DE:PBBDeutsche Pfandbriefbank2.59-1.40-35.04%
DE:FTKflatexDEGIRO AG22.74-8.13-26.34%
DE:DWSDWS Group67.2017.4935.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026