Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio (D8Q) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2023
Risk Change Over Time
- Debt & Financing - Risk 1SOFR differs from LIBOR in a number of material respects and has a limited history.
Compounded Daily SOFR differs from LIBOR in a number of material respects, including that Compounded Daily SOFR is a backwards-looking, compounded, risk-free overnight rate, whereas LIBOR is expressed on the basis of a forward-looking term and includes a risk-element based on inter-bank lending. As such, investors should be aware that LIBOR and SOFR may behave materially differently as interest reference rates for the Bank's securities. Furthermore, SOFR is a secured rate that represents overnight secured funding transactions, and therefore will perform differently over time to LIBOR which is an unsecured rate. For example, since publication of SOFR began on April 3, 2018, daily changes in SOFR have, on occasion, been more volatile than daily changes in comparable benchmarks or other market rates. Publication of SOFR in its current form began in April 2018 and therefore has a limited history. The future performance of SOFR may therefore be difficult to predict based on the limited historical performance. The level of SOFR during the term of the Bank's securities may bear little or no relation to the historical level of SOFR. Prior observed patterns, if any, in the behavior of market variables and their relation to SOFR such as correlations, may change in the future.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 2A significant portion of the Bank's Loan Portfolio consists of loans made to borrowers in the oil/gas and agribusiness sectors in the Region. Lending in these sectors presents unique risks related to commodities pricing.
As of December 31, 2023, $1,331 million, or 18% of the Bank's Loan Portfolio was comprised of oil/gas related loans, and $239 million, or 3% of the Bank's Loan Portfolio was comprised of agribusiness loans. Repayment of these loans depends substantially, in some cases, on producing, exploring and exporting and also marketing the oil/gas or other commodities. Most of these loans are unsecured and collateral securing some of these loans may be illiquid. In addition, the limited purpose of some agricultural-related collateral affects credit risk because such collateral may have limited or no other uses to support values when loan repayment problems emerge. Many external factors can impact the Bank's borrowers' ability to repay their loans, including commodity price volatility (i.e., oil and sugar prices), increased global shipping costs due to tensions in the Red Sea and a slowdown in Panama Canal traffic due to drought conditions, diseases such as COVID-19, war such as the conflict between Israel, Hamas and Iran and the wider conflict in the Middle East or the war in Ukraine and sanctions implemented as a result, the impact of supply chain disruptions, inflation and rising interest rates, adverse weather conditions, water issues, land values, production costs, changing government regulations and subsidy programs, changing tax treatment, technological changes, labor market shortages/increased wages, and changes in consumers' preferences, over which the Bank's borrowers may have no control. These factors, as well as volatility in certain commodity prices, including the price of oil, which has increased significantly recently, could adversely impact the ability of those to whom the Bank has made loans to perform under the terms of their borrowing arrangements with the Bank, which in turn could result in credit losses and adversely affect the Bank's business, financial condition and results of operations.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2023
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 33
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1The administrator of SOFR may make changes that could change the value of SOFR or discontinue SOFR.
The New York Federal Reserve (or a successor), as administrator of SOFR, may make methodological or other changes that could change the value of SOFR, including changes related to the method by which SOFR is calculated, eligibility criteria applicable to the transactions used to calculate SOFR, or timing related to the publication of SOFR. In addition, the administrator may alter, discontinue or suspend calculation or dissemination of SOFR. The administrator has no obligation to consider the interests of any of the Bank's debt holders when calculating, adjusting, converting, revising or discontinuing SOFR.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.