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Burford Capital (9BFA) Q1 2026 Earnings Report

DE:9BFA Q1 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS
-EUR 6.68
Consensus EPS
EUR 0.16
Beat/Miss
Missed by -EUR 6.84
One Year Ago EPS
EUR 0.13

DE:9BFA Q1 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue
-EUR 1.55B
Expected Revenue
EUR 121.83M
Beat/Miss
Missed by -EUR 1.67B
YoY Revenue Growth
-1640.78%

Earnings Announcement Details

Quarter
Q1 2026
Date
05/08/2026
Time
Before Open
Conference Call
Friday, May 8, 2026
DE:9BFA Upcoming Earnings

Burford Capital's next earnings date is estimated for November 4, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q1 2026 Earnings Call Audio

No earnings call audio is available for this earnings event.

Q1 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

No slide deck is available for this earnings event.

Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q1 2026
Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2026|% Change Since:-32.10%|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive

The call emphasized a strong, large and diversified core litigation finance business with healthy liquidity, robust new business momentum and substantial modeled future cash realizations. Key metrics included $740 million in cash and marketable securities, $133 million of Q1 new commitments (up 25% vs. recent Q1 average), $1.3 billion of unfunded definitive commitments, and more than $3.8 billion of cumulative realizations. Major negatives centered on the significant noncash YPF appellate loss and related accounting write-down, several one-off charges (including a $19 million case-related expense recognition and FX impact tied to redemption), and fair-value accounting and discount-rate headwinds that compressed reported capital provision income. Management presented a clear plan to focus the narrative on the core portfolio, harvest cash, manage expenses and delever over time while remaining comfortable with current leverage. Given the breadth and strength of operational highlights and cash-related metrics relative to the primarily noncash and manageable lowlights, the overall tone is constructive.

Company Guidance

Management's guidance emphasized strong liquidity and a cash-first view: visibility to >$280M of cash so far in 2026 and $740M of cash & marketable securities at quarter end (after a $500M debt raise in January). Q1 new definitive commitments were $133M with $108M deployed, $1.3B of unfunded definitive commitments and $600M+ of discretionary capacity; the firm reports 237 active assets (≈900 cases) and models >$5B of realizations with a modeled ROIC of ~110% (historical ROIC ~82%), cumulative realizations of $3.8B (>$6B group-wide), and Q1 realizations of $97M from 25 assets. Portfolio metrics: 35% vintage 2015–2019, concluded weighted‑average life 2.6 years (up from 2.3), active deployed capital life 3.4 years, 36 trials/merit hearings scheduled in 2026, and ~23 assets with potential to generate $10M+ in 2026. Balance‑sheet and leverage: net debt ~$1.7B, debt/equity ~1.35x (incurrence covenant 2.0x), debt WAL 5.5 years vs concluded assets WAL 2.6 years; ratings Ba1 (Moody’s) and BB (S&P). They reiterated intent to delever over time, noted a noncash YPF write‑down despite >$100M cash profit, a $19M case‑cost charge, and a ~50bp discount‑rate headwind to capital provision income.

  • Large, Diversified Portfolio and Scale237 active assets (around 900 cases when multicase matters counted), widely diversified across geographies and case types, producing accelerating realizations and substantial runway for future cash generation.
  • Strong Cumulative RealizationsMore than $3.8 billion of cash realizations on the balance sheet and over $6 billion group-wide, demonstrating a multi-year track record of monetization and returns.
  • Healthy Liquidity PositionCash and marketable securities of $740 million at quarter end and management visibility to roughly $280 million of cash receipts so far in 2026.
  • Robust New Business and Deployment Pace$133 million of new definitive commitments in Q1 2026 (25% higher than the Q1 average of 2024–2025) and $108 million deployed in the quarter, consistent with recent deployment trends.
  • Substantial Unfunded Commitments$1.3 billion of unfunded definitive commitments (and management cited more than $1 billion of undrawn definitive commitments earlier), providing a pipeline of near-term deployment opportunities.
  • Modelled Future Cash PotentialManagement models more than $5 billion of future cash realizations from the existing portfolio (ex-YPF) and expects every year’s new business to add material future cash flow (example: an $800M annual new-commitment cadence).
  • Strong Returns History and Low Loss RateHistorical ROIC ~82% with a realized loss rate that has remained around the ~10% range cumulatively, indicating attractive risk-adjusted outcomes over time.
  • Accelerating Case Catalysts36 trials and merit hearings scheduled in 2026 (up from 23 at the same time last year) and 23 assets positioned to potentially generate double-digit million-dollar realizations in 2026 (vs. 14 in 2025 and 16 in 2024).
  • Growing Business MomentumFive-year CAGR of 17% in the business, continued investment in origination (new hires in Spain and Korea), and management view that organic growth will deleverage the balance sheet over time.
  • Conservative, Manageable Leverage ProfileNet debt cited around $1.7 billion previously; current debt-to-equity ~1.35x, well below the 2.0x incurrence covenant; Moody’s rating maintained at Ba1 after YPF outcome.

DE:9BFA Earnings History

DE:9BFA earnings history
Report DateFiscal QuarterForecast / EPSLast Year's EPSEPS YoY ChangePress Release
Nov 04, 20262026 (Q3)0.08--0.08――
Aug 06, 20262026 (Q2)0.070.010.35-97.44% (-0.34)
May 08, 20262026 (Q1)0.16-6.680.13-5428.57% (-6.80)
Feb 26, 20262025 (Q4)0.33-0.15-0.05-183.33% (-0.10)
Nov 05, 20252025 (Q3)0.27-0.080.55-114.75% (-0.63)
Aug 07, 20252025 (Q2)0.290.350.2162.50% (+0.13)
May 07, 20252025 (Q1)0.270.13-0.13200.00% (+0.25)
Mar 03, 20252024 (Q4)0.48-0.050.4-113.33% (-0.46)
Nov 07, 20242024 (Q3)0.320.551.09-50.00% (-0.55)
Aug 08, 20242024 (Q2)0.350.21-0.09340.00% (+0.30)

The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.

Beat Missed
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