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Data I/O (DAIO) AI Stock Analysis

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DAIO

Data I/O

(NASDAQ:DAIO)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$2.50▲(0.81% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance, driven by deep TTM losses and significant cash burn, despite a relatively low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals also remain soft with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD. Positives from the earnings call and corporate events (sequential revenue growth, margin improvement, near-breakeven adjusted EBITDA, and a completed acquisition with financing) help, but are not yet sufficient to outweigh the recent deterioration in profitability and cash generation.

Positive Factors
Strategic acquisition expands markets and recurring-revenue potentialThe V-TEK and A&J acquisition broadens Data I/O beyond its historical markets and adds handling, testing, inspection, packaging and service capabilities. This diversification may reduce dependence on cyclical capital equipment and automotive demand while creating opportunities for cross-selling and recurring services.
Negative Factors
Deep and persistent profitability deteriorationThe shift from modest profitability to a deeply negative net margin shows that current operating costs are overwhelming gross profit. Unless earnings recover materially, continuing losses can erode equity value, restrict strategic flexibility and make the business more dependent on external financing.

Data I/O (DAIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%DAIO-8.82%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$25.78M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
26.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.7
Beta (1Y)
0.84
Revenue Growth
-21.81%
EPS Growth
-225.39%
Country
US
Employees
94
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Data I/O Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Data I/O Corporation specializes in developing, manufacturing, and distributing sophisticated systems and services for programming and securely managing data for electronic devices. These solutions serve electronics manufacturers across the United St...

Data I/O Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-17.33%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a mix of strong operational progress (59% sequential revenue growth, gross margin expansion to 57%, adjusted EBITDA roughly breakeven, cash up to $10.8M, cost run-rate below $22M, and strategic M&A that could materially scale revenue) alongside near-term accounting and timing headwinds (a nonrecurring $873K convertible note-related charge that increased reported net loss, YoY revenue decline, reduced backlog/deferred revenue, one-time restructuring costs, and acquisition timing risk). On balance, the improvements in margins, sequential revenue, cash position, and strategic deals outweigh the transitory accounting and timing negatives, though execution and closing risks remain.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Guidance Execution
Net sales of $5.2M in Q2, achieved at the midpoint of guidance ($5.1M-$5.4M). Revenue was up 59% sequentially from $3.3M in Q1.

Negative Updates

Reported Net Loss and EPS Impact
Reported net loss of $1.6M (−$0.17 per share) in Q2 versus $742K (−$0.08) in Q2 last year; the increase was driven largely by an $873K accounting interest expense related to convertible debenture discount amortization.

Company Guidance

Management reaffirmed its 2026 framework but gave no specific Q3 revenue guidance; instead they pointed to Q2 results and near‑term targets that underpin their outlook: Q2 net sales were $5.2M (midpoint of prior $5.1–$5.4M guidance), up 59% sequentially from $3.3M, with $4.9M bookings (vs $4.2M Q1), backlog $2.1M (down from $2.6M), deferred revenue $1.1M, and gross margin improving to 57% (from 49.5% in Q1); operating expenses were $3.7M including $527K of one‑time items (ex‑one‑time ~$3.1M), adjusted EBITDA was essentially breakeven at +$39K (vs -$1.75M Q1), operating loss $724K, net loss $1.6M or $0.17/share (driven by a $873K noncash debenture charge), cash was $10.8M (up from $5.7M) and the company has no debt after the July 8 conversion; forward targets include sustaining operating costs below a $22M annual run rate (achieved in April), an implied breakeven range of roughly $5.25M–$5.5M, July preliminary cash‑flow neutrality, PaaS proposals by end‑Q3 with a goal to book 1–3 contracts in Q4, and two acquisitions (exclusivity extended to Aug. 31) expected to materially expand recurring revenue and nearly double the annual revenue run rate upon close.

Data I/O Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are pressured by a sharp profitability and cash-flow downturn. The income statement shows meaningful deterioration (TTM revenue down ~4.3% and net margin around ~-50%), and cash flow is weak with negative operating cash flow (~-$7.2M) and negative free cash flow (~-$7.6M). The key offset is a relatively conservative balance sheet with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.09), providing some financial flexibility despite ongoing losses.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.26M21.50M21.77M28.06M24.22M25.84M
Gross Profit9.09M10.60M11.61M16.19M13.21M14.72M
EBITDA-8.13M-4.50M-2.14M1.29M123.00K224.00K
Net Income-10.25M-5.24M-3.09M486.00K-1.12M-555.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.37M20.18M24.97M27.40M27.16M29.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.40M7.90M10.33M12.34M11.51M14.19M
Total Debt884.00K2.82M2.80M1.57M2.30M2.88M
Total Liabilities7.21M6.41M7.34M7.08M8.06M9.20M
Stockholders Equity16.16M13.76M17.63M20.32M19.11M19.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.25M-2.79M-1.46M1.23M-2.13M787.00K
Operating Cash Flow-6.82M-2.23M-995.00K2.43M-1.05M1.41M
Investing Cash Flow-427.00K-558.00K-467.00K-1.20M-1.08M-623.00K
Financing Cash Flow8.21M-107.00K-232.00K-356.00K-165.00K-423.00K

Data I/O Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2.48

Price Trends

50DMA2.70Negative
100DMA2.97Negative
200DMA2.96Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.09Negative
RSI45.30Neutral
STOCH60.48Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAIO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.47, below the 50-day MA of 2.70, and below the 200-day MA of 2.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DAIO.

Data I/O Risk Analysis

Data I/O disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Data I/O reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Data I/O Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DAIO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NSYSNSYS62Neutral$30.51M29.122.99%―6.00%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
WATTWATT53Neutral$48.86M-3.13-29.36%―430.52%90.43%
DAIODAIO47Neutral$25.26M-2.67-68.36%―-21.81%-225.39%
LGLLGL45Neutral$83.25M-345.00-0.53%―26.35%-130.90%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%DAIOLGLNSYSWATTFCUVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DAIO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DAIOData I/o2.48-0.24-8.82%
LGLLGL Group6.900.7011.27%
NSYSNortech10.713.4447.32%
WATTEnergous Corp.8.992.1431.24%
FCUVFocus Universal 3.05-120.15-97.52%

Data I/O Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Data I/O Expands Through V-TEK Acquisition and New Financing

Positive
Nov 12, 2026

Data I/O reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $4.9 million and bookings of $5.0 million for the period ended September 30, 2026. Gross margin was 58.0%, adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $71,000, and net loss was $2.7 million, or $0.27 per share; cash...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Data I/O Secures New $7.5 Million Credit Facility

Positive
Oct 29, 2026

Data I/O Corporation operates in the electronics and semiconductor programming industry, providing device programming systems and related solutions, with a focus on serving customers that require specialized handling, programming and inventory manage...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Data I/O Completes Transformational Acquisition of V-TEK, A&J

Positive
Oct 22, 2026

In October 2026, Data I/O completed the acquisition of V-TEK, Inc. and A&J Programming, Inc., semiconductor handling automation and programming service providers based in Minnesota, in a transaction valued at about $23 million, paid in $20 million ca...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Data I/O announces new convertible debenture financing round

Positive
Oct 19, 2026

On October 19, 2026, Data I/O announced it had entered into a securities purchase agreement for a private placement of approximately $13.25 million in convertible subordinated debentures and common shares, with closing expected within days subject to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026