Carbon Energy (CRBO) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2020
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2020, filed Aug 14, 2020
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Carbon's operations have been curtailed and Carbon has limited sources of revenue after the Appalachia Divestiture, which may negatively impact the value and liquidity of Carbon's common stock.
Upon the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture, the size of Carbon's business operations was significantly reduced and its sources of revenue are limited to its operations in the Ventura Basin through Carbon California. Carbon does not intend to use any portion of the proceeds from the Appalachia Divestiture to support the business operations remaining, and there can be no assurance that Carbon will be successful at carrying out the operations of its remaining business or that it will be successful at generating revenue. A failure by Carbon to secure additional sources of revenue could negatively impact the value and liquidity of its common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2We do not solely control Carbon California.
As of June 30, 2020, we have no significant assets other than our ownership interest in Carbon California, which owns and operates oil, natural gas, and NGLs interests. More specifically: - Carbon California is managed by its governing board. Our ability to influence decisions with respect to its operations varies depending on the amount of control we exercise under the governing agreement;- We do not control the amount of cash distributed by Carbon California. Further, debt facilities at Carbon California currently restrict distributions. We may influence the amount of cash distributed through our board seats on Carbon California's governing board, but may not ultimately be successful in such efforts;- We may not have the ability to unilaterally require Carbon California to make capital expenditures, and Carbon California may require us to make additional capital contributions to fund operating and maintenance expenditures, as well as to fund expansion capital expenditures, which would reduce the amount of cash otherwise available for dividend payments by us or require us to incur additional indebtedness;- Carbon California may incur additional indebtedness without our consent, which debt payments would reduce the amount of cash that might otherwise be available for distributions; and - The operator of certain of the assets held by Carbon California and the identity of our partners could change, in some cases without our consent. Our dependence on the operators of such assets and other working interest owners for these projects and our limited ability to influence or control the operation and future development of these properties could have a material adverse effect on the realization of our targeted returns on capital or lead to unexpected future costs.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3We intend to deregister our common stock under the Exchange Act. Deregistration may negatively affect the liquidity and trading prices of our common stock and result in less disclosure about us.
Because of the costs associated with preparing and filing our annual, quarterly and current reports under applicable securities laws, we have taken and will continue to take actions to terminate or suspend our ongoing reporting obligations under the Exchange Act. As more fully described in proxy materials filed with the SEC, the Board of Directors is proposing to amend the Company's amended and restated certificate of incorporation to effect the Reverse Stock Split. If the Reverse Stock Split is approved, it will allow the Company to deregister its common stock and reduce ongoing expenses with respect to filings under the Exchange Act. After the filing of Form 15 to suspend the Company's reporting obligations under Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act, the Company will no longer be subject to certain provisions of the Exchange Act. However, if we are required to continue to file annual, quarterly or current reports with the SEC, or if we again become subject to such reporting obligations, we will continue to incur the associated costs and expenses, which are substantial. Once the deregistration is effective, the Company will no longer file annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K. Accordingly, there will be significantly less information regarding the Company available to stockholders and potential investors. In addition, the Company will no longer be subject to the provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and certain of the liability provisions of the Exchange Act, although the Company will still be subject to the antifraud provisions of the Exchange Act and any applicable state securities laws. Following deregistration, the Company's executive officers, directors and 10% stockholders will no longer be required to file reports relating to their transactions in the common stock with the SEC. The lack of public information could make trading in our shares of common stock more difficult, which may cause the value of our common stock to decrease. The Company anticipates that after the Reverse Stock Split its common stock will trade on the Pink Non-Current platform of the OTC Markets Group.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 4We may not be able to generate sufficient cash to manage our business and satisfy our obligations to Old Ironsides and Yorktown.
Following the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture, we have limited remaining sources of cash available to manage our business and pay our liabilities, including the Old Ironsides Notes and the liquidating distribution to Yorktown. Yorktown, as the holder of all of the Series B convertible preferred stock, waived its right to be paid a liquidating distribution of approximately $5.6 million in connection with the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture until the payment in full of the Old Ironsides Notes or the earlier termination or cancellation of the Old Ironsides Notes, at which point the liquidating distribution will become immediately due and payable by the Company out of Company's assets legally available for distribution to its stockholders. As of August 4, 2020, approximately $16.4 million in principal and accrued interest was outstanding under the Old Ironsides Notes. Pursuant to the terms of the Payoff Agreement, Carbon is required to apply certain net proceeds from the Appalachia Divestiture in repayment of the Old Ironsides Notes on specified repayment dates tied to milestones under the Purchase Agreement. The initial payment of $10.5 million was paid within three business days after the closing date of the Appalachia Divestiture. The second payment is due within three business days after the settlement and payment of the Final Base Purchase Price (as defined in the purchase agreement for the Appalachia Divestiture). If the sum of the initial payment and the second payment is at least $20.0 million, the Old Ironsides Notes will be deemed paid in full. If the sum of the initial payment and the second payment is at least $18.0 million but less than $20.0 million, the Old Ironsides Notes will be amended such that the outstanding principal balance plus all accrued and unpaid interest is equal to $21.5 million (less the amount of the initial and second payments) and the Old Ironsides Notes will remain outstanding with no other change to the existing terms. If the sum of the initial payment and the second payment is less than $18.0 million, then Carbon will have the opportunity to make a third payment. The third payment would be due within three business days after the first Contingent Payment (as defined in the purchase agreement for the Appalachia Divestiture). If the sum of the initial payment, the second payment and the third payment is at least $18.0 million, the Old Ironsides Notes will be amended such that the outstanding principal balance plus all accrued and unpaid interest is equal to $23.0 million (less the amount of the initial, second and third payments) and the Old Ironsides Notes will remain outstanding with no other change to the existing terms. If the sum of the initial payment, the second payment and the third payment is less than $18.0 million, the payments made by Carbon as of such date will be considered mandatory prepayments and the Old Ironsides Notes will remain outstanding with no change to the existing terms. Several sources of cash are not yet available to us or are only available to us on a limited basis. One source of cash available to us is our PPP Loan under the PPP, which we received in May 2020. The PPP, established as part of the CARES Act, provides for loans to qualifying businesses for amounts up to 2.5 times the average monthly payroll expenses of the qualifying business. The PPP Loan and accrued interest are forgivable after 24 weeks as long as the borrower uses the loan proceeds for documented eligible purposes, including payroll, benefits, rent and utilities, and maintains its payroll levels, and we intend to apply for forgiveness of the PPP Loan as soon as we are eligible. The SBA continues to develop and issue new and updated guidance regarding the PPP loans application process, including guidance regarding required borrower certifications and requirements for forgiveness of loans made under the program. We continue to track the guidance as it is released and assess and re-assess various aspects of its application as necessary based on the guidance. However, given the evolving nature of the guidance and based on our projected ability to use the loan proceeds for qualifying expenses, we cannot give any assurance that our PPP Loan will be forgiven in whole or in part. Upon the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture and as more fully described in the Company's proxy statement related to the Appalachia Divestiture, $6.7 million of the purchase price was held in escrow, a portion of which will be released to the Company on the 18-month anniversary of the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture following satisfaction of certain indemnification obligations and the remainder of which will be released to the Company over the 36-month period following the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture if certain release requirements have been met. However, a portion or all of the escrow amount could be distributed to the purchaser in satisfaction of indemnification obligations owed by the Company or if the release requirements are not met. Further, ongoing general and corporate operations will be funded by management fees paid to the Company by Carbon California of approximately $1.2 million annually as well as any proceeds received from the contingent payment associated with the Appalachia Divestiture. The contingent payment of up to $15.0 million in the aggregate will be calculated and paid yearly by January 5 of each of 2021, 2022 and 2023 based on the contingent payment calculation for calendar years 2020, 2021 and 2022. Also, Carbon and DGOC entered into a transition services agreement to provide, on an interim basis, certain services associated with the divested assets. The services under the transition services agreement commenced on May 26, 2020 and are expected to terminate in November 2020. Further, Carbon's operations are conducted entirely through its subsidiaries, and its ability to generate cash to meet its operating obligations is dependent on the earnings and the receipt of funds from its subsidiaries through distributions or intercompany loans. Historically, Carbon California's distributions have been limited and may continue to be limited and depend on a number of factors, including development of reserves, successful acquisitions of complementary properties, advantageous drilling conditions, oil and natural gas prices, compliance with all applicable laws and regulations and other factors, which are outside our control. Access to additional capital within the current commodity price environment is limited and the terms of any available capital may not be acceptable to the Company.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 5We may not be able to generate sufficient cash to service all of our indebtedness and may be forced to take other actions to satisfy our obligations under our indebtedness, which may not be sufficient.
Our sole source of revenue is from Carbon California's operations. Our ability to service our debt obligations depends on the future operating performance and cash flow from Carbon California. There can be no assurance that our cash from operations will be sufficient to meet continuing debt obligations, and if we are unable to generate sufficient cash through our operations, we could face substantial liquidity problems, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. If our cash flows and capital resources are insufficient to fund our debt service obligations, we may be forced to reduce or delay capital expenditures, sell assets or operations, seek additional capital or refinance our indebtedness. We may not be able to take any of these actions, and these actions may not be successful or permit us to meet our scheduled debt service obligations. Furthermore, these actions may not be permitted under the terms of our existing or future debt agreements.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2020
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 67
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1AddedCarbon's operations have been curtailed and Carbon has limited sources of revenue after the Appalachia Divestiture, which may negatively impact the value and liquidity of Carbon's common stock.
Upon the closing of the Appalachia Divestiture, the size of Carbon's business operations was significantly reduced and its sources of revenue are limited to its operations in the Ventura Basin through Carbon California. Carbon does not intend to use any portion of the proceeds from the Appalachia Divestiture to support the business operations remaining, and there can be no assurance that Carbon will be successful at carrying out the operations of its remaining business or that it will be successful at generating revenue. A failure by Carbon to secure additional sources of revenue could negatively impact the value and liquidity of its common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2AddedWe do not solely control Carbon California.
As of June 30, 2020, we have no significant assets other than our ownership interest in Carbon California, which owns and operates oil, natural gas, and NGLs interests. More specifically: - Carbon California is managed by its governing board. Our ability to influence decisions with respect to its operations varies depending on the amount of control we exercise under the governing agreement;- We do not control the amount of cash distributed by Carbon California. Further, debt facilities at Carbon California currently restrict distributions. We may influence the amount of cash distributed through our board seats on Carbon California's governing board, but may not ultimately be successful in such efforts;- We may not have the ability to unilaterally require Carbon California to make capital expenditures, and Carbon California may require us to make additional capital contributions to fund operating and maintenance expenditures, as well as to fund expansion capital expenditures, which would reduce the amount of cash otherwise available for dividend payments by us or require us to incur additional indebtedness;- Carbon California may incur additional indebtedness without our consent, which debt payments would reduce the amount of cash that might otherwise be available for distributions; and - The operator of certain of the assets held by Carbon California and the identity of our partners could change, in some cases without our consent. Our dependence on the operators of such assets and other working interest owners for these projects and our limited ability to influence or control the operation and future development of these properties could have a material adverse effect on the realization of our targeted returns on capital or lead to unexpected future costs.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3AddedWe intend to deregister our common stock under the Exchange Act. Deregistration may negatively affect the liquidity and trading prices of our common stock and result in less disclosure about us.
Because of the costs associated with preparing and filing our annual, quarterly and current reports under applicable securities laws, we have taken and will continue to take actions to terminate or suspend our ongoing reporting obligations under the Exchange Act. As more fully described in proxy materials filed with the SEC, the Board of Directors is proposing to amend the Company's amended and restated certificate of incorporation to effect the Reverse Stock Split. If the Reverse Stock Split is approved, it will allow the Company to deregister its common stock and reduce ongoing expenses with respect to filings under the Exchange Act. After the filing of Form 15 to suspend the Company's reporting obligations under Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act, the Company will no longer be subject to certain provisions of the Exchange Act. However, if we are required to continue to file annual, quarterly or current reports with the SEC, or if we again become subject to such reporting obligations, we will continue to incur the associated costs and expenses, which are substantial. Once the deregistration is effective, the Company will no longer file annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K. Accordingly, there will be significantly less information regarding the Company available to stockholders and potential investors. In addition, the Company will no longer be subject to the provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and certain of the liability provisions of the Exchange Act, although the Company will still be subject to the antifraud provisions of the Exchange Act and any applicable state securities laws. Following deregistration, the Company's executive officers, directors and 10% stockholders will no longer be required to file reports relating to their transactions in the common stock with the SEC. The lack of public information could make trading in our shares of common stock more difficult, which may cause the value of our common stock to decrease. The Company anticipates that after the Reverse Stock Split its common stock will trade on the Pink Non-Current platform of the OTC Markets Group.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Provisions of our charter documents and Delaware law may inhibit a takeover, which could limit the price investors might be willing to pay in the future for our common stock.
Provisions in our certificate of incorporation and bylaws may have the effect of delaying or preventing an acquisition of us or a merger in which we are not the surviving company and may otherwise prevent or slow changes in our board of directors and management. In addition, because we are incorporated in Delaware, we are governed by the provisions of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law. These provisions could discourage an acquisition of us or other change in control transactions and thereby negatively affect the price that investors might be willing to pay in the future for our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5An active, liquid and orderly trading market for our common stock does not exist and may not develop, and the price of our stock may be volatile and may decline in value.
There currently is not an active public market for our common stock. An active trading market may not develop or, if developed, may not be sustained. The lack of an active market may impair your ability to sell your shares of common stock at the time you wish to sell them or at a price that you consider reasonable. An inactive market may also impair our ability to raise capital by selling shares of common stock and may impair our ability to acquire other companies or assets by using shares of our common stock as consideration.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Our common stock is not currently eligible for listing on a national securities exchange.
Our common stock is not currently listed on a national securities exchange, and we do not currently meet the initial listing standards of a national securities exchange. We cannot assure you that we will be able to meet the initial listing standards of any national securities exchange, or, if we do meet such initial listing standards, that we will be able to obtain any such listing. Until our common stock is listed on a national securities exchange, we expect that it will continue to be eligible to be quoted on the Over-The-Counter Electronic Bulletin Board ("OTCQB"). An investor may find it difficult to obtain accurate quotations as to the market value of our common stock. If we fail to meet the criteria set forth in SEC regulations, various requirements may be imposed on broker-dealers who sell our securities to persons other than established customers and accredited investors. Consequently, such regulations may deter broker-dealers from recommending or selling our common stock, which may further affect its liquidity. This also makes it more difficult for us to raise additional equity capital in the public market.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7Our common stock may be considered a "penny stock."
The SEC has adopted regulations which generally define "penny stock" to be an equity security that has a market price of less than $5.00 per share, subject to specific exemptions. As of March 16, 2020, the closing price for our common stock on the OTCQB was $4.30 per share and therefore is considered a "penny stock." Broker and dealers effecting transactions in "penny stock" must disclose certain information concerning the transaction, obtain a written agreement from the purchaser and determine that the purchaser is reasonably suitable to purchase the securities. These rules may restrict the ability of brokers or dealers to sell our common stock and may affect your ability to sell shares of our common stock in the future.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8We are a "smaller reporting company" and the reduced disclosure requirements applicable to smaller reporting companies may make our common stock less attractive to investors.
We are considered a "smaller reporting company" (a company that has a public float of less than $250 million). We are therefore entitled to rely on certain reduced disclosure requirements, such as an exemption from providing selected financial data and executive compensation information. These exemptions and reduced disclosures in our SEC filings due to our status as a smaller reporting company mean our auditors do not review our internal control over financial reporting and may make it harder for investors to analyze our results of operations and financial prospects. We cannot predict if investors will find our common stock less attractive because we may rely on these exemptions.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9Control of our stock by current stockholders is expected to remain significant.
Currently, our key stockholders directly and indirectly beneficially own a majority of our outstanding common stock. As a result, these affiliates have the ability to exercise significant influence over matters submitted to our stockholders for approval, including the election and removal of directors, amendments to our certificate of incorporation and bylaws and the approval of any business combination. This concentration of ownership may also have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control of our company or discouraging others from making tender offers for our shares, which could prevent our stockholders from receiving an offer premium for their shares.
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