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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals (CPIX) AI Stock Analysis

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CPIX

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:CPIX)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$4.50â–¼(-4.05% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/28/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue contraction, large losses, and renewed cash burn) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is mixed—very high dividend yield supports the score but is paired with losses (negative P/E) and cash-flow pressure. Corporate events provide some upside from ifetroban regulatory and trial progress, though with meaningful regulatory and timeline risk.

Positive Factors
Manageable LeverageManageable leverage and lower total debt provide Cumberland with some balance-sheet flexibility while it develops its pipeline. Although losses remain a concern, the company is not currently carrying an overly levered capital structure that would independently constrain investment or operations.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction and LossesThe sharp TTM revenue contraction and large net loss indicate that Cumberland’s current commercial base is not generating enough scale to support its cost structure. Persistent operating losses can reduce reinvestment capacity and increase dependence on successful product or pipeline execution.

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Net Revenue by ProductBreaks down sales by individual drug or product, showing which items drive total revenue and how dependent the company is on a few offerings. For Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, product-level revenue highlights concentration risk, the effect of pricing or reimbursement shifts, and whether new launches or partnerships are expanding the business and supporting sustainable growth.

-$2.50M$0.00$2.50M$5.00M$7.50M$10.00M$12.50MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Revenue is concentrated in a few brands—Sancuso, Vibativ and the recent Talicia ramp supply most of the commercial momentum while Kristalose has softened and several smaller SKUs are lumpy or one‑time. Management’s Apotex sale effectively monetizes that concentrated, volatile commercial base into cash and lower ongoing operating expenses, shifting Cumberland from a marketed‑product company to a development‑focused, asset‑light entity where future value will hinge on ifetroban milestones and successful transaction execution/timing.

Data provided by:The Fly

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals (CPIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%0%100%200%300%400%CPIX+127.45%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$70.27M
Dividend Yield
29.55%
Average Volume (3M)
83.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.6
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-25.68%
EPS Growth
-244.92%
Country
US
Employees
88
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. functions as a specialized pharmaceutical enterprise, primarily involved in the procurement, advancement, and commercialization of prescription medications. Its strategic focus areas include acute hospital care, gastro...

How the Company Makes Money

Cumberland makes money primarily by selling its branded prescription pharmaceuticals. Revenue is generated when hospitals, clinics, and other healthcare providers purchase its products through pharmaceutical wholesalers and distributors, with end-dem...

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:32.94%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlights meaningful strategic progress: a transformational $100M acquisition agreement that unlocks near-term value, regulatory wins (expanded Caldolor label and facility clearance), commercialization progress (Talicia promotion, Vibativ China shipment) and an encouraging development pipeline (ifetroban with Fast Track and robust safety data). These positives are tempered by a modest Q1 revenue base, a GAAP net loss (~$3.3M) and limited cash on hand until the transaction closes, plus the company’s deliberate pivot away from pursuing double-digit revenue growth in 2026. On balance, the call emphasizes value realization and a clear strategic plan to focus on development, with the transaction expected to materially strengthen the balance sheet and reduce operating expense burden—leading to a favorable overall tone.

Positive Updates

Transformational Strategic Transaction with Apotex
Apotex will acquire Cumberland's marketed U.S. commercial portfolio for $100 million in cash at closing, plus $9 million for inventory, transition service fees and a future sales-tied milestone — a transaction management expects will materially strengthen the balance sheet and unlock near-term shareholder value.

Negative Updates

Net Loss and Operating Expense Pressure
Q1 operating expenses were $12.3 million, producing a GAAP net loss of approximately $3.3 million. After adding back noncash items, adjusted loss was $1.9 million, or $0.13 per share.

Company Guidance

Management guided that, given the announced strategic transaction with Apotex, Cumberland is no longer targeting double‑digit revenue growth for 2026 and expects materially lower operating expenses after closing because Apotex will assume sales, marketing, medical, manufacturing and FDA fees; at closing Cumberland expects $100 million cash (subject to shareholder approval), $9 million for inventory, ongoing monthly transition service fees and future milestone payments. For context, Q1 combined brand revenue was $9.1 million (Kristalose $1.0M; Sancuso $2.9M; Vibativ $2.1M; Caldolor $1.0M; Talicia $1.9M), total operating expenses were $12.3M, net loss was about $3.3M, adjusted loss was $1.9M or $0.13 per share, cash flow from operations was $0.387M, total assets were $71M (cash $11M), liabilities $49.7M (including $5M credit facility) and shareholders’ equity $21.6M. Management also said 2026 clinical spending is expected to remain essentially unchanged, noted over $53M of tax net operating losses versus a $30M tax basis in the assets (supporting modest taxes on the deal), and highlighted pipeline progress (ifetroban dosed in ~1,400 subjects, Fast Track/orphan/rare pediatric designations) and product milestones such as FDA‑expanded Caldolor labeling and a Vaprisol relaunch expected this year.

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are pressured: TTM revenue fell sharply (-46.8%) with a large net loss (net margin -49.0%) and negative operating results. Cash flow also deteriorated, with negative operating cash flow (-$2.4M) and negative free cash flow (-$2.5M). The balance sheet is a partial offset with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27), but ongoing losses and cash burn increase execution and financing risk.

Income Statement

24Negative

Balance Sheet

56Neutral

Cash Flow

33Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.27M44.52M37.87M39.55M42.01M35.99M
Gross Profit26.07M37.85M31.28M33.49M32.89M27.17M
EBITDA-5.08M2.96M182.42K153.32K332.92K-857.83K
Net Income-10.61M-2.84M-6.48M-6.28M-5.57M-3.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.88M76.82M75.58M81.78M92.93M84.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.86M11.44M17.96M18.32M19.76M27.04M
Total Debt4.71M10.18M20.57M18.43M20.96M16.06M
Total Liabilities45.77M52.28M53.04M52.52M56.95M41.86M
Stockholders Equity17.44M24.88M22.85M29.60M36.27M42.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.11M4.83M-791.90K5.64M6.38M5.99M
Operating Cash Flow745.97K4.93M-612.19K6.09M8.45M6.34M
Investing Cash Flow-5.75M-4.71M57.84K-105.69K-13.67M-501.89K
Financing Cash Flow-7.22M-6.75M196.90K-7.42M-2.06M-3.55M

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.69

Price Trends

50DMA7.12Negative
100DMA6.44Negative
200DMA4.80Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.61Positive
RSI35.36Neutral
STOCH9.58Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPIX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.73, below the 50-day MA of 7.12, and below the 200-day MA of 4.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPIX.

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

CPIX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ANIPANIP75Outperform$1.65B14.9119.19%―30.90%―
ETONETON74Outperform$1.49B112.2240.13%―81.49%―
AMPHAMPH68Neutral$1.18B15.9310.11%―1.02%-38.09%
COLLCOLL64Neutral$774.82M15.5515.96%―14.31%34.35%
PCRXPCRX62Neutral$1.45B103.352.13%―5.71%―
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
CPIXCPIX47Neutral$70.27M-6.56-47.10%29.55%-25.68%-244.92%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%CPIXPCRXANIPAMPHCOLLETONDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CPIX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CPIXCumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.4.692.55119.16%
PCRXPacira36.3914.2063.99%
ANIPAni Pharmaceuticals72.00-22.06-23.45%
AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc27.722.429.57%
COLLCollegium Pharmaceutical Inc.23.80-12.30-34.07%
ETONEton Pharmaceuticals52.1834.22190.53%

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Cumberland to Submit NDA for Ifetroban DMD Therapy

Positive
Oct 26, 2026

On October 26, 2026, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals announced plans to submit a New Drug Application to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for ifetroban as a treatment for cardiomyopathy associated with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, following a series...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Cumberland Reports Positive Phase 2a Ifetroban Safety Results

Positive
Oct 23, 2026

On October 23, 2026, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. reported top-line results from its Phase 2a ASSIST-SSc clinical trial of oral ifetroban in patients with systemic sclerosis, a rare autoimmune disease. The data indicated that ifetroban was safe an...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Updates Ifetroban DMD Trial Timeline

Negative
Aug 28, 2026

On June 26, 2026, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals presented data from its Phase 2 FIGHT DMD trial of ifetroban, an oral therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy–related heart disease, at the Parent Project Muscular Dystrophy conference in Orlando, Fl...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2026