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Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) AI Stock Analysis

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CON

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.

(NYSE:CON)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:$47.00â–²(11.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

CON’s score is supported by strong technical momentum and a very positive earnings update with raised guidance and margin/volume strength. Financial performance is solid with good cash conversion, but the overall profile is held back by elevated balance-sheet leverage risk and a valuation (P/E ~24.9 with a low dividend yield) that leaves less room for execution missteps.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin GrowthSustained revenue growth alongside faster earnings and EBITDA expansion indicates improving operating leverage and stronger execution. Continued patient-volume growth, pricing, and margin gains can support durable earnings progression over the next several quarters, provided normalization remains orderly.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageDebt remains high relative to the company’s earnings base, leaving Concentra exposed to tighter financial flexibility if operating performance weakens. Until leverage reaches the targeted level, debt service and repayment needs may constrain acquisitions, investment, and capital returns.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by Segment

$0.00$100.00M$200.00M$300.00M$400.00M$500.00M$600.00MMar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%CON+121.06%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.36B
Dividend Yield
0.59%
Average Volume (3M)
1.09M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.9
Beta (1Y)
0.60
Revenue Growth
14.02%
EPS Growth
31.92%
Country
US
Employees
9,983
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. is a U.S.-based provider of occupational health solutions. The company delivers a comprehensive suite of occupational and consumer health services, encompassing treatment for workers' compensation injuries, urgen...

How the Company Makes Money

Concentra primarily makes money by delivering and administering occupational health services for employers and other payers across its clinic network and associated service channels. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) patient/encounter-based...

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 07, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Concentra reported broad-based volume and revenue growth, significant earnings and margin expansion, improved retention and market share momentum, a raised 2026 outlook, continued center expansion, debt reduction, and an improved credit profile. The main negatives were lower operating cash flow and free cash flow, a higher G&A ratio, uncertainty around 2027 fee schedules and New York timing, and management's expectation that margin expansion will moderate relative to 2026.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Revenue and Earnings Growth
Total revenue increased 8.6% year over year to $622.1 million. Net income was $67.8 million, up 36% from a year ago, and adjusted EBITDA increased 17.9% to $140.2 million.

Negative Updates

Lower Operating Cash Flow
Third-quarter operating cash flow was $51.9 million compared with $60.6 million in the third quarter of 2025. Management attributed the year-over-year decrease primarily to working capital timing and higher cash tax payments following the roll-off of certain tax benefits associated with the OBBBA.

Company Guidance

Concentra raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $2.36 billion to $2.38 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $505 million to $510 million; its free cash flow range of $220 million to $240 million and capital expenditure range of $70 million to $80 million remains unchanged. Completed acquisitions and de novo development are expected to add 15 new centers during 2026, and the company is currently anticipating low double digit de novo openings in 2027. Management expects employer services rate growth to remain generally consistent with its long term expectation of approximately 3%, has no reason to expect aggregate workers' compensation rate growth to differ materially from its long term expectations, and expects to provide formal 2027 guidance early next year; its long term growth algorithm remains low single digit visit growth volumes, 3% rate, and low single digits on core, semi organic growth rate.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability and operating trends are solid (revenue up meaningfully in TTM, gross margin expanding, and healthy net margin), and cash conversion is good with strong TTM free cash flow slightly exceeding net income. The key offset is balance-sheet risk: leverage has been high and volatile (improved in TTM but still elevated), reducing financial flexibility if margins or cash flows soften.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

73Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.34B2.16B1.90B1.84B1.72B
Gross Profit698.76M613.09M527.98M512.43M408.19M
EBITDA478.53M408.93M368.26M360.15M330.20M
Net Income216.36M166.41M166.54M179.95M166.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.01B3.04B2.52B2.49B2.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments85.82M79.90M183.25M31.37M37.66M
Total Debt618.78M2.10B1.95B905.00M1.04B
Total Liabilities2.47B2.62B2.22B1.31B1.30B
Stockholders Equity506.98M393.28M275.67M1.16B973.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow339.74M197.06M210.35M164.98M228.35M
Operating Cash Flow326.79M279.40M274.68M234.32M274.34M
Investing Cash Flow-75.06M-414.86M-71.27M-75.31M-57.75M
Financing Cash Flow-215.86M32.10M-51.53M-165.29M-209.86M

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price42.15

Price Trends

50DMA36.85Positive
100DMA34.35Positive
200DMA28.83Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.49Negative
RSI66.07Neutral
STOCH67.06Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.56, above the 50-day MA of 36.85, and above the 200-day MA of 28.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CON.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Risk Analysis

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

CON against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
UHSUHS76Outperform$11.58B8.2419.54%0.40%8.00%13.14%
CONCON75Outperform$5.55B24.8647.30%0.59%14.02%31.92%
USPHUSPH67Neutral$1.33B-72.00-1.27%1.88%11.32%-92.59%
HCAHCA64Neutral$106.68B16.77-100.45%0.60%5.82%16.59%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
STLNSTLN50Neutral$693.88M-23.10209.81%―38.38%54.91%
DCGODCGO39Underperform$25.80M-0.12-115.58%―-32.40%-969.05%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%CONHCAUSPHUHSSTLNDCGODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CON and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.42.1523.00120.15%
HCAHca Healthcare507.4834.117.21%
USPHU.s. Physical Therapy97.2025.1934.98%
UHSUniversal Health Services198.59-29.65-12.99%
STLNStarling Oncology Institute, Inc.6.703.1689.27%
DCGODocGo, Inc.0.24-0.87-78.11%

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Concentra Reports Strong Third-Quarter Results and Growth

Positive
Nov 5, 2026

On November 5, 2026, Concentra reported third-quarter revenue of $622.1 million, up 8.6% year over year, while net income attributable to the Company rose 36.5% to $65.9 million and Adjusted EBITDA increased 17.9% to $140.2 million. Patient visits gr...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Concentra Announces CFO Appointment Amid Leadership Succession

Positive
Sep 8, 2026

Concentra announced on September 8, 2026, that Tanner Newton, currently senior vice president of strategy and finance, will become executive vice president and chief financial officer effective November 1, 2026. He will report to Matt DiCanio, who is...

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Concentra Announces Insider Share Repurchase Agreement Completion

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

On August 21, 2026, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. agreed to repurchase 1,000,000 shares of its common stock from chairman Robert A. Ortenzio and related entities in a privately negotiated transaction at $34.65 per share, a 1% discount to that...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Concentra Raises 2026 Guidance After Strong Q2 Results

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

Concentra reported strong second-quarter 2026 results on August 6, 2026, with revenue up 10.0% to $606.0 million and net income rising 45.7% to $67.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA grew 22.5% to $140.9 million, supported by higher revenue per visit, increa...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026