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CNFinance Holdings (CNF) AI Stock Analysis

CNF

CNFinance Holdings

(NYSE:CNF)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:$1.50â–¼(-25.74% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/09/26

The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance (2025 loss, weaker revenue visibility, and a sharp cash flow downshift) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is not a strong offset because the negative P/E reflects current losses and the dividend yield is unavailable.

Positive Factors
Portfolio CleanupRecoveries of about RMB600 million at a reported 103% recovery rate show that the company is actively converting overdue assets into cash. This supports the cleanup effort and can improve portfolio quality over time, although the same process is currently costly.
Negative Factors
Income ContractionFirst-half 2026 interest and fee income fell to RMB89.5 million from RMB415.7 million, while net interest and fee income turned negative. This severe contraction reduces revenue visibility and makes it harder for the company to absorb credit costs or rebuild profitability.

CNFinance Holdings (CNF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%CNF-59.44%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.94M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
6,060
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
0.92
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
326
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Mortgages

CNFinance Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CNFinance Holdings Limited is a financial services provider based in the People's Republic of China, specializing in home equity financing. The company also offers microcredit solutions specifically designed for owners of micro and small enterprises,...

How the Company Makes Money

CNFinance Holdings makes money by earning fees and finance-related income tied to consumer lending. Its revenue model typically includes: (1) loan facilitation and related service fees earned for originating or arranging loans for borrowers (for exam...

CNFinance Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025(Q2-2025)|% Change Since:-59.52%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 27, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic focus on cost control, NPL recovery, and expansion into new business areas. However, these positives were countered by significant declines in loan transactions, loan balance, and interest income, alongside a net loss and increased nonperforming loan ratio.

Positive Updates

Increase in Sales Partners
The company has signed a total of 2,184 sales partners, marking a year-on-year increase of 2%. Additionally, 1,485 sales partners introduced borrowers, representing a 3.3% growth.

Negative Updates

Decrease in Loan Transactions
The number of loan transactions decreased by 78.1% year-on-year, and total loan origination dropped by 85.4% due to proactive efforts to control loan issuance and focus on reducing nonperforming loans.

Company Guidance

In the first half of 2025, CNFinance Holdings Limited focused on strategic adjustments and business optimizations amid challenging market conditions, emphasizing a "survival first, victory first" principle. The company signed a total of 2,184 sales partners, a year-on-year increase of 2%, with 1,485 partners introducing borrowers, growing by 3.3%. However, proactive efforts to control loan issuance led to a 78.1% year-on-year decrease in loan transactions and an 85.4% drop in total loan origination. By June 30, 2025, the loan balance was RMB 11.2 billion, down 29.6% from the previous year. Despite a 55% decline in interest income to RMB 416 million, financing costs decreased by 32%, and operating expenses fell by 74%, demonstrating effective cost control. The net loss was RMB 40.4 million, largely due to an RMB 31.3 million impairment loss provision, with a nonperforming loan (NPL) ratio of 16.9%. The company achieved a 103% NPL recovery rate through diversified reduction measures, streamlined its organizational structure, and stabilized funding by engaging new institutional investors. Key priorities included reducing NPLs, ensuring stable funding, and expanding into new business areas by refining existing products and launching new ones.

CNFinance Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals show a clear deterioration: 2025 shifted from prior-year profitability to a large loss with negative operating profit and net income, alongside a substantial revenue decline and weaker earnings visibility. Leverage improved into 2024 but remains elevated, and 2025 saw debt rise and equity fall. Cash flow was strong historically (2021–2024) but dropped materially in 2025, raising sustainability concerns.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-936.66M625.95M1.60B1.84B1.84B1.37B
Gross Profit-936.66M544.27M828.34M995.45M841.97M900.76M
EBITDA0-54.72M59.83M207.39M174.83M97.59M
Net Income-829.50M-457.58M37.78M164.62M135.35M65.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.12B10.26B15.03B16.36B14.48B14.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments336.64M820.25M1.79B2.70B2.41B3.48B
Total Debt3.03B4.22B5.95B8.96B7.87B8.10B
Total Liabilities5.95B6.67B10.97B12.36B10.54B10.57B
Stockholders Equity3.17B3.58B4.06B4.01B3.89B3.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow078.68M749.28M1.59B829.36M685.89M
Operating Cash Flow082.15M757.23M1.71B919.25M689.69M
Investing Cash Flow03.18B-263.67M-2.48B-1.10B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.07B-1.33B1.01B-288.16M1.93B

CNFinance Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2.02

Price Trends

50DMA1.97Positive
100DMA2.27Negative
200DMA3.19Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI54.25Neutral
STOCH82.70Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.91, above the 50-day MA of 1.97, and below the 200-day MA of 3.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNF.

CNFinance Holdings Risk Analysis

CNFinance Holdings disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNFinance Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Our auditor, like other independent registered public accounting firms operating in China, is not permitted to be subject to inspection by Public Company Accounting Oversight Board ("PCAOB"), and consequently, investors may be deprived of the benefits of such inspection. As a result of recent legislation, if such a PCAOB inspection of our auditor cannot be completed within the next three years, we will be required to remove our listing and cease all trading of our securities in the U.S. capital markets. During the intervening period, this and other recent legislative and regulatory developments related to U.S.-listed China-based companies due to lack of PCAOB inspection may have a material adverse impact on our listing and trading in the U.S. and the trading prices of our ADSs and/or ordinary shares.Q4, 2020

CNFinance Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

CNF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SNFCASNFCA78Outperform$249.43M5.919.13%―-1.14%73.36%
VELVEL72Outperform$620.65M5.8015.83%―31.59%17.94%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
IORIOR61Neutral$73.19M20.872.95%――-13.27%
GHIGHI55Neutral$118.19M-25.51-1.08%14.14%-23.84%-348.41%
CNFCNF42Neutral$32.87M-0.01-24.56%―――

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%CNFGHISNFCAIORVELDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CNF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CNFCnfinance Holdings2.02-2.92-59.11%
GHIGreystone Housing Impact Investors Lp4.72-2.63-35.79%
SNFCASecurity National Financial9.221.5019.38%
IORIncome Opportunity Realty Investors18.25-0.03-0.16%
VELVelocity Financial, Inc.15.76-3.05-16.21%

CNFinance Holdings Corporate Events

CNFinance Swings to Deep First-Half 2026 Loss as Credit Provisions Surge Amid Portfolio Cleanup

Aug 28, 2026

CNFinance reported unaudited financial results for the first half of 2026 on August 28, 2026, showing sharp pressure on its legacy loan book as total interest and fee income plunged to RMB89.5 million from RMB415.7 million a year earlier and net inte...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2026