Want to see CMT full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Core Molding Technologies
(CMT)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▼(-4.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/29/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (contracting revenue/margins) and especially poor free cash flow, with additional pressure from a bearish technical trend. These are partly balanced by clear balance-sheet strength and a more optimistic forward narrative (reiterated guidance and sizable program-award ramp potential), plus supportive corporate actions that improve financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Diversified award pipeline
The sizable award pipeline provides a visible basis for future production growth, while the majority of awards outside traditional truck and powersports markets improves diversification. As programs ramp, the mix could support stronger utilization and reduce reliance on one end market.
Negative Factors
Truck-market concentration and weakness
Truck remains a large portion of product sales, so its 23% decline directly constrains consolidated growth and utilization. Continued weakness in this end market could pressure revenue and margins over the next several quarters, even as newer non-truck programs begin contributing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified award pipeline
The sizable award pipeline provides a visible basis for future production growth, while the majority of awards outside traditional truck and powersports markets improves diversification. As programs ramp, the mix could support stronger utilization and reduce reliance on one end market.
Read all positive factors
Core Molding Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCore Molding Technologies (CMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$203.70M
Dividend Yield1.38%
Average Volume (3M)33.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)26.7
Beta (1Y)0.62
Revenue Growth-7.88%
EPS Growth-20.75%
CountryUS
Employees1,239
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.86
Shares Outstanding8,849,034
10 Day Avg. Volume50,202
30 Day Avg. Volume33,392
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.06
Price to Book (P/B)1.09
Price to Sales (P/S)0.63
P/FCF Ratio89.54
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.07
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.85
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.71
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.58
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.00Price Target Upside20.00% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)$285.30M
Core Molding Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Core Molding Technologies, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in molding structural components from both thermoplastic and thermoset materials. The company employs a diverse range of manufacturing processes, including compression moldi...
How the Company Makes Money
CMT makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling molded composite parts and related assemblies to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other commercial customers. Its core revenue stream is customer purchase orders/contracts for engin...
Core Molding Technologies Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong commercial momentum, diversification success and operational excellence (new business wins, on-time delivery, top-tier quality, improved gross margin and a strengthened credit facility). Key risks remain concentrated in the truck end market (40% of sales down 23% YoY), elevated SG&A for strategic initiatives, lower current return on capital and some one-time margin benefits. Management provided clear ramp plans, reiterated guidance and highlighted large near-term program conversion potential, indicating confidence in recovery and long-term growth.Positive Updates
Strong New Business Momentum
Nearly $26.0M of net new business awards in H1 2026; on track for $50M full-year; ~$112M won over the past 24 months. Company estimates production revenue opportunities could exceed $300M in 2027. 100% of 2026 awards are new opportunities and ~65% originated outside traditional truck and powersports markets.
Negative Updates
Significant Truck Market Weakness
Truck represented 40% of product sales and declined 23% year-over-year in Q2 2026, creating a consolidated production sales decline of 1.2% YoY. Truck softness remains the principal headwind to near-term consolidated growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong New Business Momentum
Nearly $26.0M of net new business awards in H1 2026; on track for $50M full-year; ~$112M won over the past 24 months. Company estimates production revenue opportunities could exceed $300M in 2027. 100% of 2026 awards are new opportunities and ~65% originated outside traditional truck and powersports markets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Core reiterated fiscal 2026 guidance calling for total sales to be flat to up ~5% year‑over‑year with project/tooling revenue weighted toward Q4, and full‑year gross margin of 17%–19% (Q2 was 20.3%, 19.4% excluding a capacity charge). Management expects the majority of the $63 million of new program awards from 2025 to begin contributing meaningfully in 2H26 and to reach full annualized run‑rates in 2027, building on roughly $112 million of awards over the past 24 months that could support production revenue in excess of $300 million in 2027. They reaffirm capex of about $25–30 million for FY26 (YTD $12.1M) with $18–20M focused on Mexico, noted Mexico expansion nonrecurring costs of $3.4M and succession expenses of $1.4M through H1, and said truck volumes should improve through 2H26. Other key metrics cited alongside the guidance include Q2 production sales down 1.2% YoY (truck -23% and 40% of product sales; excluding truck, production sales +20.8%), adjusted EBITDA of $7.6M (12.2% of sales), net income of $1.8M ($0.21/diluted share), ROCE 5.7% (6.2% ex‑cash) with a long‑term target of 14%, ending cash of $12.1M with no debt and an amended $100M credit capacity ($50M revolver / $50M delayed draw term loan maturing 2031), H1 operating cash flow of $7.1M, and operational metrics of 99.2% on‑time delivery and 49 ppm quality.Core Molding Technologies Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 254.42M | 273.80M | 302.38M | 357.74M | 377.38M | 307.48M |
| Gross Profit | 46.10M | 47.58M | 53.26M | 64.52M | 52.40M | 41.34M |
| EBITDA | 18.77M | 27.14M | 30.97M | 39.67M | 28.63M | 22.85M |
| Net Income | 7.35M | 11.20M | 13.30M | 20.32M | 12.20M | 4.67M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 227.42M | 228.13M | 209.55M | 213.38M | 198.62M | 186.69M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 12.13M | 38.06M | 41.80M | 24.10M | 4.18M | 6.15M |
| Total Debt | 13.03M | 32.83M | 23.70M | 22.99M | 26.06M | 29.62M |
| Total Liabilities | 66.34M | 69.96M | 62.19M | 74.42M | 82.49M | 86.60M |
| Stockholders Equity | 161.08M | 158.17M | 147.36M | 138.95M | 116.13M | 100.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -8.30M | 1.92M | 23.63M | 25.74M | 2.39M | 977.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 16.66M | 19.18M | 35.15M | 34.84M | 18.98M | 12.55M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -24.96M | -17.27M | -11.53M | -9.10M | -16.59M | -11.41M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -22.78M | -5.66M | -5.93M | -5.82M | -4.36M | 884.00K |
Core Molding Technologies Technical Analysis
Negative
25.00
Price Trends
24.32
Negative
24.07
Negative
22.76
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.46
Positive
42.19
Neutral
21.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.38, above the 50-day MA of 24.32, and above the 200-day MA of 22.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMT.
Core Molding Technologies Risk Analysis
Core Molding Technologies disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core Molding Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Core Molding Technologies Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $292.43M | 5.52 | 21.15% | ― | 1.09% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
57 Neutral | $203.70M | 26.75 | 4.64% | 1.38% | -7.88% | -20.75% | |
52 Neutral | $77.27M | -24.69 | -8.12% | 2.35% | -4.66% | -201.32% | |
50 Neutral | $73.12M | -59.88 | -1.60% | 0.52% | 7.70% | -139.19% | |
40 Underperform | $21.66M | -1.77 | 142.32% | ― | -96.04% | 9.12% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
CMT
Core Molding Technologies
23.02
3.87
20.21%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
6.05
-3.27
-35.09%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
7.70
-0.43
-5.29%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
3.77
2.63
230.70%
LOOP
Loop Industries
0.45
-1.30
-74.46%
Core Molding Technologies Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Core Molding Unveils 2026 Investor Day Growth Roadmap
Positive
Sep 28, 2026
On September 28, 2026, Core Molding Technologies announced that its CEO Eric Palomaki, CFO Alex Panda and other executives plan to use a new investor presentation in discussions with investors and analysts, with the slides made available via the c...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Core Molding Technologies Expands and Extends Credit Facility
Positive
Jul 7, 2026
On July 2, 2026, Core Molding Technologies, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement with Huntington National Bank and other lenders, expanding the revolving credit commitment from $25 million to $50 million and adding a $50 million delayed draw...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.