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Newmont Mining (NEM) AI Stock Analysis

CH:NEM

Newmont Mining

(Six Swiss:NEM)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Balance Sheet StrengthNewmont’s net cash position and extremely low leverage provide meaningful financial flexibility through commodity cycles. A de-risked balance sheet can support sustaining investment, fund selected growth projects, and preserve resilience if operating conditions or metal prices become less favorable.
Negative Factors
Commodity-Cycle VolatilityThe sharp historical swing between losses and strong profits shows that Newmont’s earnings and cash generation remain highly sensitive to gold prices, production conditions, and costs. This cyclicality can make current profitability less durable and complicate long-term planning.

Newmont Mining (NEM) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%CH:NEM+121.95%EWL+18.85%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CHF 110.79B
Dividend Yield
0.95%
Average Volume (3M)
249
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.3
Beta (1Y)
0.84
Revenue Growth
15.54%
EPS Growth
25.47%
Country
Switzerland
Employees
17,500
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Newmont Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Newmont Corporation is primarily involved in the mining and exploration of gold resources. Additionally, the company undertakes prospecting for other base and precious metals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Its operations and assets are ge...

Newmont Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-5.54%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record third-quarter adjusted earnings, substantial free cash flow, shareholder returns, improved full-year cost guidance, projects advancing ahead of or on schedule, and production growth expected to begin in 2027. The company also disclosed risks from El Nino-related water availability, higher near-term and 2027 costs, inflation, fuel prices and increased development capital, but management stated that 2026 guidance remains on track and that these challenges are being actively managed.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Production and Financial Results
Newmont safely produced approximately 1.3 million ounces of gold, 23 thousand tons of copper and 11 million ounces of silver. The company generated $1.9 billion of free cash flow and reported adjusted net income of $2.20 per share, described as a third-quarter record.

Negative Updates

2026 Production Trough Before Growth Resumes
Management said Newmont is moving beyond the production trough previously indicated for 2026, with production growth expected to begin in 2027.

Company Guidance

For the remainder of 2026, Newmont remains well on track to achieve its full year production guidance, with fourth-quarter production expected to increase to 1.4 million ounces, while full year gold all-in sustaining costs are now expected to be approximately $1.52 thousand per ounce, representing an improvement of approximately 10% relative to the guidance provided at the beginning of the year, and fourth-quarter all-in sustaining costs are expected to be the highest of the year at $1.9 thousand per ounce; in 2027, total portfolio production is expected to increase by a low to mid single digit percentage compared with 2026, sustaining capital is expected to remain largely in line with 2026 levels, development capital is expected to be approximately $500 million higher than 2026, approximately $200 million of that increase is expected to be offset in 2027 and approximately $400 million annually beginning in 2028, Tanami is expected to reach commercial production by the end of the second quarter of 2027, and Red Chris construction is anticipated to ramp up in 2027 with commercial production targeted for 2033, an initial development expected to support a mine life of approximately 13 years, producing approximately 3 million ounces of gold and 850 thousand tonnes of copper, followed by estimated annual production of 275 to 325 thousand ounces of gold and 65 to 85 thousand tons of copper, with development capital estimated to be between US$4.2 billion and US$4.8 billion, equivalent to US$5.6 billion and C$6.4 billion on a 100% basis.

Newmont Mining Risk Analysis

Newmont Mining disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmont Mining reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Item 3. Defaults upon senior securities.Q2, 2026
2.ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION. Rule 10b5-1 Trading PlansQ2, 2026
3.Item 4. Mine safety disclosures.Q2, 2026

Newmont Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

CH:NEM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HMYHMY84Outperform$9.30B5.2346.23%5.35%49.72%120.32%
RGLDRGLD79Outperform$19.38B24.9511.55%0.83%93.51%34.48%
GFIGFI77Outperform$29.33B6.5551.87%7.16%71.19%133.85%
AUAU74Outperform$40.29B10.6245.77%5.66%――
HLHL73Outperform$9.09B27.0612.98%0.14%51.13%399.24%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%CH:NEMGFIHMYHLRGLDAUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CH:NEM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CH:NEMNewmont Mining87.7648.22121.95%
GFIGold Fields32.92-3.60-9.87%
HMYHarmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd14.45-1.08-6.97%
HLHecla Mining Company13.530.786.13%
RGLDRoyal Gold228.7755.5632.08%
AUAnglogold Ashanti PLC79.7915.7224.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.