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Leonteq AG (LEON) AI Stock Analysis

CH:LEON

Leonteq AG

(Six Swiss:LEON)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:CHF 22.00â–²(10.78% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/20/26

The overall score of 61 reflects a pivotal transition for Leonteq AG. The most significant positive driver is the recent earnings call, which highlighted a strong H1 2026 turnaround with a return to profitability, positive guidance, and a planned 2027 share buyback. Technical indicators also display robust bullish momentum across all major moving averages. However, these forward-looking positives are weighed down by trailing financial deterioration, characterized by historical revenue contraction, a negative P/E ratio, and strained equity. The exceptionally high dividend yield provides income appeal but carries inherent risk due to the trailing net losses.

Positive Factors
Fee Income and Platform GrowthGrowth in fee income and platform turnover supports a broader, more recurring revenue base than trading alone. Sustained product usage by distributors can improve earnings visibility and reinforce Leonteq’s role in structured-product infrastructure.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Weak ProfitabilityThe multi-year revenue decline and 2025 loss indicate that the recovery is not yet fully established. Persistent top-line weakness could limit operating leverage, constrain investment capacity and make future earnings more dependent on market conditions.

Leonteq AG (LEON) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%CH:LEON+30.49%EWL+18.85%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CHF 351.50M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
38.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-11.5
Beta (1Y)
0.20
Revenue Growth
-32.12%
EPS Growth
-4018.55%
Country
Switzerland
Employees
531
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Investment - Banking & Investment Services

Leonteq AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Leonteq AG, established in Zurich, Switzerland, in 2007 (and known as EFG Financial Products Holding AG until its name change in June 2013), is a financial services company specializing in sophisticated structured investment products and comprehensiv...

How the Company Makes Money

Leonteq makes money primarily by structuring and issuing structured products and by providing associated services and platform capabilities to distribution partners and other financial counterparties. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Struct...

Leonteq AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:23.97%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call communicated a clear and measurable recovery: return to profitability, double‑digit growth in fee income and turnover, significant cost reductions, strengthened recurring and capital‑efficient businesses (AMCs, QIS, LYNQS), and a solid capital base with a Board‑level intent to return capital to shareholders. Offsetting concerns include a 10% year‑on‑year decline in total operating income (driven by weaker trading), a negative treasury carry component, higher RWAs and slightly lower CET1 ratio, a reduction in Tier 1 partner turnover, and continued pressure in the pension/long‑term savings segment. Overall, the positives — particularly the profitability turnaround, revenue and fee growth, cost discipline, regional momentum (Asia), and strategic progress — materially outweigh the negatives.

Positive Updates

Return to Profitability
Reported profit before taxes of CHF 12.2 million and group net profit of CHF 12.7 million (up 37% year‑on‑year). Earnings per share increased 34% to CHF 0.71 and return on tangible equity improved to 4% (progress towards 2028 10% target).

Negative Updates

Total Operating Income Decline Year‑on‑Year
Total operating income was CHF 111.6 million in H1 2026 versus CHF 124.3 million in the prior year (a 10% year‑on‑year reduction), reflecting lower trading contributions despite higher fee income.

Company Guidance

Leonteq reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance to deliver a positive pretax result and reconfirmed operating expense guidance of approximately CHF 200 million, while signalling a shareholder distribution framework of an unchanged dividend policy (30%) and the Board's intention to launch a share buyback in early 2027 (Hans referenced a potential buyback at ~70% of net profit), conditional on maintaining a CET1 ratio meaningfully and sustainably above 15% (CET1 was 16.5% at end‑June; eligible capital CHF 655m; RWAs CHF 3.97bn). Management said the outlook is supported by H1 performance—pretax profit CHF 12.2m, net profit CHF 12.7m, EPS CHF 0.71, RoTE 4%—and improving underlying metrics including net fee income CHF 96.8m (+10% YoY), total operating income CHF 111.6m, platform turnover CHF 15.9bn (+10% YoY), H1 operating expenses CHF 99.2m, own‑issued products CHF 5.6bn, assets CHF 12.4bn, shareholders’ equity CHF 710m, and growth areas they expect to drive further results (AMC outstanding ~CHF 2.4bn with ~9% annualized net new money, QIS ~700 indices, balance‑sheet‑light turnover CHF 3.6bn, LYNQS product initiations +42% with 36% click‑and‑trade).

Leonteq AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Trailing financials reflect significant deterioration, highlighted by sharp revenue contraction and a shift to net losses. While the balance sheet faces strain from eroding equity and high leverage, a successful turnaround in positive operating and free cash flow provides critical stabilization.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue162.34M181.90M214.47M256.88M466.75M428.74M
Gross Profit94.17M111.60M88.97M256.88M433.25M393.09M
EBITDA6.37M14.36M52.16M64.30M232.02M214.72M
Net Income-30.26M-33.70M5.84M20.60M156.45M155.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.39B11.16B10.67B9.26B12.33B14.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.21B3.07B4.50B4.64B3.81B3.09B
Total Debt6.06B5.53B89.32M4.96B5.23B6.58B
Total Liabilities11.68B10.47B9.86B8.48B11.46B13.64B
Stockholders Equity710.16M692.11M803.83M780.13M870.03M802.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.10B28.56M-43.21M-316.25M-1.85B2.12B
Operating Cash Flow1.11B45.93M-16.77M-313.94M-1.83B2.14B
Investing Cash Flow-874.03M-17.35M-26.41M-29.50M-25.86M-23.07M
Financing Cash Flow-85.37M-63.54M-40.56M-116.56M-93.06M-32.78M

Leonteq AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

CH:LEON against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CH:SQNCH:SQN75OutperformCHF 5.24B14.17―2.16%3.78%17.30%
CH:BAERCH:BAER64NeutralCHF 14.20B12.43―3.77%-0.29%31.63%
CH:LEONCH:LEON61NeutralCHF 358.35M-11.55――-32.12%-4018.55%
CH:TKBPCH:TKBP60NeutralCHF 644.00M3.956.83%2.24%-10.56%3.52%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%CH:LEONCH:BAERCH:TKBPCH:SQNCH:BLKBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CH:LEON and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CH:LEONLeonteq AG19.864.4829.13%
CH:BAERJulius Baer Group69.0017.1433.05%
CH:TKBPThurgauer Kantonalbank161.007.014.55%
CH:SQNSwissquote Group Holding Ltd.34.30-15.67-31.35%
CH:BLKBBasellandschaftliche Kantonalbank1195.00290.8232.16%

Leonteq AG Corporate Events

Leonteq Reshapes Shareholder Base as Raiffeisen Reduces Stake

Aug 17, 2026

Swiss fintech Leonteq AG, a leading provider of structured investment solutions and technology platforms for financial institutions, operates under a regulatory regime similar to FINMA-supervised banks. The Zurich-based group issues its own products...

Leonteq Returns to Profit as Growth Strategy Boosts Global Volumes

Jul 23, 2026

Leonteq AG has returned to profitability in the first half of 2026, posting group net profit of CHF 12.7 million as higher fee and commission income and positive hedging results lifted operating income to CHF 111.6 million. Operating expenses fell 10...

Leonteq closes legacy regulatory cases as FINMA signs off on reforms

Jun 18, 2026

Leonteq has closed all legacy regulatory cases after the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority confirmed that measures ordered following proceedings concluded in 2024 have been fully implemented. The end of all pending proceedings removes a ke...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026