GEG Stock Chart & Stats
Currently, no data available
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Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Material Contract Wins / BacklogLarge new multi-year government contract awards (up to ~$520M annual) materially increase visible backlog and strengthen recurring service revenue. Durable contract wins raise medium-term revenue visibility, underpin capacity utilization and support steady cash flows as facilities and programs scale.
Improved Margins And ReturnsSustained margin expansion and higher ROE reflect improved operating efficiency and pricing power. Lower G&A and better operating leverage can persist through contract scale, enhancing earnings resilience and the company's ability to reinvest, de-lever, or fund growth over the medium term.
Higher-value Services Mix (ISAP/GPS)A structural shift toward higher-priced GPS monitoring and more case management increases revenue per participant. Technology-driven mix improvements create recurring, higher-margin service lines that should persist beyond one quarter and support sustainable revenue growth and margin uplift.
Bears Say
Weak Cash Conversion / Negative FCFOperating cash flow covering ~40% of net income and a negative FCF position indicate weak cash conversion. This constrains capital allocation, limits buffer for debt repayment or investment, and creates persistent financing and liquidity risks if cash conversion doesn't normalize.
Elevated Absolute LeverageMeaningful absolute debt (~$1.66B) and debt-to-equity near 1.1x leave the company relatively levered. Elevated leverage increases sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing conditions, limits financial flexibility for acquisitions or buybacks, and raises downside risk from earnings volatility.
Government Concentration & Policy Timing RiskRevenue and utilization depend heavily on federal/state contracts. A drop in ICE census and DHS payment timing delays show structural exposure to policy, administration shifts and cash-timing variability, which can durably depress utilization and create working capital pressure.
Geo Group News
GEG FAQ
What was Geo Group Inc’s price range in the past 12 months?
Currently, no data Available
What is Geo Group Inc’s market cap?
Currently, no data Available
When is Geo Group Inc’s upcoming earnings report date?
Geo Group Inc’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 06, 2026 which is in 13 days.
How were Geo Group Inc’s earnings last quarter?
Geo Group Inc released its earnings results on May 06, 2026. The company reported $0.237 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.167 by $0.069.
Is Geo Group Inc overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Geo Group Inc’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Geo Group Inc pay dividends?
Geo Group Inc does not currently pay dividends.
What is Geo Group Inc’s EPS estimate?
Geo Group Inc’s EPS estimate is 0.24.
How many shares outstanding does Geo Group Inc have?
Currently, no data Available
What happened to Geo Group Inc’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Geo Group Inc reported an EPS of $0.237 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $0.167. Following the earnings report the stock price went same N/A.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Geo Group Inc?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in CH:GEG
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Geo Group Stock Smart Score
Neutral
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10
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
31.26%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
―
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
4.95%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Geo Group Inc
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services. This includes offering counseling, educational programs, and treatment for alcohol and drug dependency within its various locations. It also leverages compliance technologies for monitoring services and implements empirically supported supervision and rehabilitation programs for individuals on parole, probation, or awaiting trial in a community setting. The firm's secure facility management services span security protocols, administrative tasks, rehabilitative initiatives, educational opportunities, and food provision. Its reentry services involve overseeing individuals in community-based programs and specialized centers, furnishing temporary housing, structured programming, employment assistance, and other essential support. Furthermore, GEO Group delivers monitoring and reporting solutions aimed at enhancing the participation of non-detained foreign nationals in the immigration court system. Additional services include secure transportation. Under its "GEO Continuum of Care" platform, the company offers extensive rehabilitation services, encompassing evidence-based cognitive behavioral therapy, post-release support, and academic and vocational training focused on life skills and therapeutic interventions. Beyond its operational roles, GEO Group also develops, designs, constructs, and finances new facilities, often under contract. Established in 1984, The GEO Group, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida.
GEG Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$30.53