CERo Therapeutics Holdings (CERO) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 14, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1The issuance of shares of our Common Stock upon conversion or exercise of our outstanding Series A Preferred Stock, Series B Preferred Stock, Series C Preferred Stock, Series D Preferred Stock, Series E Preferred Stock, Common Warrants and other securities that we may issue in future financing transactions may result in substantial dilution to our stockholders.
As of August 14, 2026, the Company currently has outstanding: (i) 71,630,992 shares of Common Stock, (ii) 1,429 shares of Series A Preferred Stock with a stated value of approximately $1.4 million, convertible into shares of Common Stock at a conversion rate of the stated value thereof divided by a current effective conversion price of $0.01 per share; (iii) no shares of Series B Preferred Stock; (iv) 7 shares of Series C Preferred Stock with a stated value of $7,000, convertible into shares of Common Stock at a conversion rate of the stated value thereof divided by a conversion price of $0.01 per share; (v) Series A Warrants to purchase 306 shares of Common Stock at an exercise price of $2,780.00 per share; (vi) Series C Warrants to purchase 4,088 shares of Common Stock at an exercise price of $0.80 per share; (vii) December 2024 and January 2025 Common Warrants to purchase an aggregate of 12,396 shares of Common Stock at an exercise price ranging from $112.20 to $116.40 per share, (viii) February 2025 Common Warrants to purchase an aggregate of 127,551 shares of Common Stock at an exercise price of $39.20 per share, (ix) February 2025 Pre-Funded Warrants to purchase an aggregate of 10,787 shares of Common Stock at an exercise price of $0.002 per share, (x) Public Warrants and Private Placement Warrants to purchase an aggregate of 4,596 shares of Common Stock at an exercise price of $23,000.00 per share, (xi) 5,192 shares of Series D Preferred Stock with a stated value of approximately $5.2 million, convertible into shares of Common Stock at a conversion rate of the stated value thereof divided by a current effective conversion price of $0.01 per share, (xii) 3,632.46 shares of Series E Preferred Stock with a stated value of approximately $3.6 million, convertible into shares of Common Stock at a conversion rate of the stated value thereof divided by a current effective conversion price of $0.01 per share and (xii) approximately 844,400,000 shares of Common Stock issuable upon the conversion of the Convertible Notes issued to note holders. Although each of the exercise prices of the December 2024 Common Warrants, January 2025 Common Warrants, Series A Warrants, Public and Private Placement Warrants, and February 2025 Common Warrants are at or above the trading price of our Common Stock as of the date of this Quarterly Report, if such trading price increases, such exercise prices will not change as a result thereof and could be below the trading price of our Common Stock as of the date of any future exercise thereof, resulting in dilution to our stockholders. In addition, the terms of the Series A Preferred Stock, the Series C Preferred Stock, the Series D Preferred Stock and the Series E Preferred Stock contain certain penalties and adjustments to the amount included in determination of the conversion rate following certain breaches of the Company's obligations thereunder, including, among other things, as a result of a failure to file or cause the SEC to declare one or more registration statements relating to the resale of the shares of Common Stock issuable upon conversion thereof by specified deadlines, certain defaults under indebtedness of the Company or judgments against the Company and failure to deliver shares of Common Stock upon conversion in a timely manner. For example, the penalties and adjustments include a 25% premium added to the stated value for determining the conversion rate in connection with breaches other than the breach of the requirement to redeem the shares of Series A Preferred Stock by August 31, 2025, which resulted in a 50% premium, and the addition to the stated value of an amount equal to the value of the shares of Common Stock into which the Series A Preferred Stock would have been convertible if the conversion price were equal to 80% of the lowest volume weighted average price during the five trading days immediately prior to conversion. Such penalties and adjustments, which applied during the period when substantially all of the conversions since the Business Combination occurred as a result of a failure to file and cause the SEC to declare a registration statement with respect to the resale of the underlying shares in a timely manner, have resulted and may in the future result in the issuance of shares of Common Stock at an effective conversion price below the trading price of our Common Stock at the time of such conversion. We cannot assure you that we will remain in compliance with all of the terms of the Series A Preferred Stock, Series C Preferred Stock, Series D Preferred Stock or Series E Preferred Stock and that such penalties and adjustments will not apply in the future. In addition, we cannot assure you that we will not issue additional convertible or other derivative securities with highly dilutive penalty or adjustment provisions. As described elsewhere in this Quarterly Report, the Company needs to obtain financing to fund its research and development activities and clinical trials, as well as other operations. Under challenging conditions in the equity capital markets, particularly for pre-commercialization biotech companies, we may have no viable alternatives to agreeing to inclusion of such provisions in the terms of future financings.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 95
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 1We may not be successful in our efforts to identify or discover additional product candidates.
The success of our business depends primarily upon our ability to identify, develop and commercialize products based on our CER-T cell technology. Our research programs may fail to identify other potential product candidates outside of CER-1236 for clinical development for a number of reasons. We may be unsuccessful in identifying potential product candidates or our potential product candidates may be shown to have harmful side effects or may have other characteristics that may make the products unmarketable or unlikely to receive marketing approval. Research programs to identify new product candidates require substantial technical, financial and human resources. We may focus our efforts and resources on potential programs or product candidates that ultimately prove to be unsuccessful. If any of these events occur, we may be forced to abandon our research, development or commercialization efforts for a program or programs, which would have a material adverse effect on our business and could potentially cause us to cease operations.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 2Genetic engineering of T cells to create CER-T cells is a relatively new technology, and if we are unable to use this technology in our intended product candidates, our revenue opportunities will be materially limited.
Our technology involves a relatively new approach to T cell gene therapy. This technology may also not be shown to be effective in clinical studies that we may conduct or may be associated with safety issues that may negatively affect the development of our product candidates. For instance, lentiviral gene transduction may create unintended changes to the DNA such as a non-target site gene insertion, a large deletion, or a DNA translocation, any of which could lead to oncogenesis.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 3Success in preclinical studies or clinical trials may not be indicative of results in future clinical trials.
Results from preclinical studies are not necessarily predictive of future clinical trial results, and interim results of a clinical trial are not necessarily indicative of final results. Our product candidates may ultimately fail to show the desired safety and efficacy in clinical settings despite positive results in preclinical studies or having successfully advanced through initial clinical trials. This failure to establish sufficient efficacy and safety could cause us to abandon clinical development of our product candidates.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 4Our current product candidates are in early clinical or preclinical development and have never been tested in humans. One or all of our current product candidates may fail in clinical development or suffer delays that materially and adversely affect their commercial viability.
Our current product candidates are in early clinical and preclinical development and we are subject to the risks of failure inherent in the development of product candidates based on novel approaches, targets and mechanisms of action. Although we have initiated our clinical trial for CER-1236 in AML, are expanding to MDS and MF patients in the first half of 2026 with later plans to expand into ovarian cancer and NSCLC, there is no guarantee that we will be able to proceed with clinical development of CER-1236 or any of our other product candidates as planned or that any product candidate will demonstrate a clinical benefit once advanced to testing in patients. Accordingly, you should consider our prospects in light of the costs, uncertainties, delays and difficulties frequently encountered by early clinical stage biotechnology companies such as ours.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 5Our engineered CER-T cells represent a novel approach to cancer treatment that creates significant challenges for us.
We are developing autologous T-cell product candidates that are engineered from healthy donor T-cells to express chimeric engulfment receptors ("CERs") and are intended for use in patients with certain cancers. Advancing these novel product candidates creates significant challenges for us, including: - manufacturing our product candidates to our regulatory specifications and in a timely manner to support our clinical trials, and, if approved, commercialization;- sourcing clinical and, if approved, commercial supplies for the raw materials used to manufacture our product candidates;- understanding and addressing variability in the quality of a donor's T cells, which could ultimately affect our ability to produce product in a reliable and consistent manner and treat certain patients;- educating medical personnel regarding the potential side effect profile of our product candidates, if approved, such as the potential adverse side effects related to cytokine release syndrome ("CRS"), neurotoxicity, prolonged cytopenia, coagulation abnormalities, thrombosis, hypotension, aplastic anemia and neutropenic sepsis;- using medicines to preempt or manage adverse side effects of our product candidates and such medicines may be difficult to source or costly or may not adequately control the side effects or may have other safety risks or a detrimental impact on the efficacy of the treatment;- conditioning patients with cyclophosphamide and fludarabine in advance of administering our product candidates, which may be difficult to source, costly or increase the risk of infections and other adverse side effects;- obtaining regulatory approval, as the FDA and other regulatory authorities have limited experience with development of CER T cell therapies for cancer;- establishing sales and marketing capabilities upon obtaining any regulatory approval to gain market acceptance of a novel therapy; and - obtaining acceptance and approval by physicians, patients, hospitals, cancer treatment centers and others in the medical community.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 6Our business is highly dependent on the success of our lead product candidate. If we are unable to advance clinical development, obtain approval of and successfully commercialize our lead product candidate for the treatment of patients in approved indications, our business would be significantly harmed.
Our business and future success depends on our ability to advance clinical development, obtain regulatory approval of, and then successfully commercialize, CER-1236, our lead product candidate. Because our CER-1236 product candidate will be among the first autologous T cell product candidates engineered with cytotoxic and phagocytic potency to be evaluated in clinical trials, the failure of such product candidate, or the failure of other autologous T cell therapies, including for reasons due to safety, efficacy or durability, may impede our ability to develop our product candidates, and significantly influence physicians' and regulators' opinions with regard to the viability of our entire pipeline of autologous T cell therapies. All of our product candidates, including our lead product candidate, will require additional preclinical, clinical and non-clinical development, regulatory review and approval in multiple jurisdictions, substantial investment, access to sufficient commercial manufacturing capacity and significant marketing efforts before we can generate any revenue from product sales. In addition, because our other product candidates are based on similar technology as our lead product candidate, if the lead product candidate encounters additional safety issues, efficacy problems, manufacturing problems, developmental delays, regulatory issues or other problems, our development plans and business would be significantly harmed. We have not generated any revenue and may never be profitable. Our ability to become profitable depends upon our ability to generate revenue. To date, we have not generated any revenue. We do not expect to generate significant revenue unless or until we successfully complete clinical development and obtain regulatory approval of, and then successfully commercialize, our product candidates. We do not know when, or if, we will generate any revenue. We have initiated a clinical trial for our first product candidate, CER-1236, in AML, are expanding to MDS and MF patients in the first half of 2026 with later plans to expand into ovarian cancer and NSCLC, and the rest of our product candidates are in the preclinical stages of development. Our product candidates will require additional preclinical studies, clinical development regulatory review and approval, substantial investment, access to sufficient commercial manufacturing capacity and significant marketing efforts before we can generate any revenue from product sales. Our ability to generate revenue depends on a number of factors, including, but not limited to, our ability to: - successfully complete preclinical studies and clinical trials for our CER-T cell product candidates;- timely file and receive acceptance of INDs, and amendments thereto, as applicable, in order to commence our planned and future clinical trials;- successfully enroll subjects in, and complete, clinical trials for our CER-T cell product candidates;- hire additional staff, including clinical, scientific and management personnel;- timely file BLAs and receive regulatory approvals for our product candidates from the FDA and other regulatory authorities;- initiate and successfully complete clinical trials and safety studies required to obtain U.S. and applicable foreign marketing approval for our product candidates;- establish commercial manufacturing capabilities through third-party manufacturers and CDMOs for clinical supply and commercial manufacturing of our product candidates;- obtain and maintain patent and trade secret protection or regulatory exclusivity for our product candidates;- launch commercial sales of our product candidates, if and when approved, whether alone or in collaboration with others;- maintain a continued acceptable safety profile of the product candidates following approval;- obtain and maintain acceptance of the product candidates, if and when approved, by patients, the medical community and third-party payors;- position our products to effectively compete with other therapies;- obtain and maintain favorable coverage and adequate reimbursement by third-party payors for our product candidates; and - enforce and defend intellectual property rights and claims with respect to our product candidates. Many of the factors listed above are beyond our control and could cause us to experience significant delays or prevent us from obtaining regulatory approvals or commercializing our product candidates. Even if we are able to commercialize our product candidates, we may not achieve profitability soon after generating product sales, if ever. If we are unable to generate sufficient revenue through the sale of our product candidates or any future product candidates, we will be unable to continue operations without continued funding.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 7We will depend on enrollment of patients in our clinical trials for our product candidates. If we encounter difficulties enrolling patients in our clinical trials, our clinical development activities could be delayed or otherwise adversely affected.
Identifying and qualifying patients to participate in clinical trials of our product candidates will be critical to our success. We may experience difficulties in patient enrollment in our clinical trials for a variety of reasons. The timely completion of clinical trials in accordance with their protocols depends, among other things, on our ability to enroll a sufficient number of patients who remain in the study until its conclusion. The enrollment of patients depends on many factors, including: - the patient eligibility criteria defined in the protocol;- the number of patients with the disease or condition being studied;- the perceived risks and benefits of the product candidate in the trial;- clinicians' and patients' perceptions as to the potential advantages of the product candidate being studied in relation to other available therapies, including any new drugs that may be approved for the indications we are investigating or drugs that may be used off-label for these indications;- the size and nature of the patient population required for analysis of the trial's primary and secondary endpoints;- the proximity of patients to study sites;- the design of the clinical trial;- our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators with the appropriate competencies and experience;- competing clinical trials for similar therapies or other new therapeutics not involving T cell-based immunotherapy;- our ability to obtain and maintain patient consents;- the risk that patients enrolled in clinical trials will drop out of the clinical trials before completion of their treatment; and - other public health factors, including the coronavirus pandemic or outbreaks of other infections. In particular, some of our clinical trials will look to enroll patients with characteristics which are found in a very small population. For example, our clinical trial for CER-1236 is enrolling patients with hematologic malignancies and dysplasias, including AML, MDS, and MF. Other companies are conducting clinical trials with their engineered T cell therapies in hematologic malignancies and seek to enroll patients in their studies that may otherwise be eligible for our clinical trials, which could lead to slow recruitment and delays in our clinical trials. In addition, since the number of qualified clinical investigators is limited, we expect to conduct some of our clinical trials at the same clinical trial sites that some of our competitors use, which could further reduce the number of patients who are available for our clinical trials in these clinical trial sites. Moreover, because our product candidates represent a departure from more commonly used methods for cancer treatment, potential study participants and their doctors may be inclined to use conventional therapies, such as chemotherapy and antibody therapy, rather than participate in our clinical trials. Delays in patient enrollment may result in increased costs or may affect the timing or outcome of the planned clinical trials, which could prevent completion of these clinical trials and adversely affect our ability to advance the development of our product candidates. In addition, many of the factors that may lead to a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 8Clinical trials are difficult to design and implement, involve uncertain outcomes and may not be successful.
Human clinical trials are difficult to design and implement, in part because they are subject to rigorous regulatory requirements. The design of a clinical trial can determine whether its results will support approval of a product, and flaws in the design of a clinical trial may not become apparent until the clinical trial is well advanced. We may be unable to design and execute a clinical trial that will be successful to achieve regulatory approval. There is a high failure rate for biological products proceeding through clinical trials, which may be higher for our product candidates because they are based on new technology and engineered on a patient-by-patient basis. Many companies in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries have suffered significant setbacks in late-stage clinical trials even after achieving promising results in preclinical testing and earlier-stage clinical trials. Data obtained from preclinical and clinical activities are subject to varying interpretations, which may delay, limit or prevent regulatory approval. In addition, we may experience regulatory delays or rejections as a result of many factors, including changes in regulatory policy during the period of our product candidate development. Any such delays could negatively impact our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 9We may not be able to file INDs or IND amendments to commence clinical trials on the timelines we expect, and even if we are able to, the FDA may not permit us to proceed.
We have submitted INDs to the FDA, and the FDA has cleared us to begin clinical trials for the treatment of AML, MDS and MF as well as the treatment of advanced solid tumors, specifically NSCLC and ovarian cancer, but there are no assurances regarding the acceptance of any amendments or future INDs, which may impact the timelines we expect. For example, we may experience manufacturing delays or other delays with future IND-enabling studies. Moreover, there can be no assurances that once trials begin, issues will not arise that suspend or terminate such clinical trials. Additionally, even if such regulatory authorities agree with the design and implementation of the clinical trials set forth in an IND, we cannot guarantee that such regulatory authorities will not change their requirements in the future. These considerations also apply to new clinical trials we may submit as amendments to existing INDs.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 10Data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials is limited and may change as additional patient data become available or may not be validated in any future or advanced clinical trial.
Data from preclinical studies and any clinical trials that we may complete is subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data becomes available. For example, preclinical and Phase 1 results are preliminary in nature and should not be viewed as predictive of ultimate success. It is possible that such results will not continue or may not be repeated in any clinical trial of our product candidates. For instance, our preclinical studies provide limited data and any clinical trials may not validate such results. Additionally, manufacturing can impact clinical outcomes. Ultimately, if we cannot manufacture our product candidates with consistent and reproducible product characteristics, our ability to develop and commercialize any product candidate would be significantly impacted. Preliminary data also remains subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, initial, interim and preliminary data should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. Adverse differences between preliminary or interim data and final data could significantly harm our business prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 11Our product candidates may have serious and potentially fatal cross-reactivity to lipids, peptides or protein sequences within the body.
Our product candidates may recognize and bind to a peptide unrelated to the target antigen to which it is designed to bind. If this peptide is expressed within normal tissues, our product candidates may target and kill the normal tissue in a patient, leading to serious and potentially fatal adverse effects. Additionally, our product candidates may bind with non-targeted lipids, leading to off-target reactivity. Detection of any on-target off-tumor or non-specific-reactivity may halt or delay any ongoing clinical trials for any CER-T cell based product candidate and prevent or delay regulatory approval. Unknown binding-reactivity of the CER-T cell binding domain to related proteins could also occur. Any non-specific binding interactions that impacts patient safety could materially impact our ability to advance our product candidates into clinical trials or to proceed to marketing approval and commercialization.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 12Our product candidates may target healthy cells expressing target antigens, leading to potentially fatal adverse effects.
Our product candidates target specific antigens that are also expressed on healthy cells. For example, cell surface phosphatidylserine, the target of CER-1236, has been observed on activated immune cells, including platelets, and in rapidly dividing cells across various organs including the gastrointestinal system, hepatic system, cardiovascular system, renal system, pulmonary system, and the central nervous system and related peripheral nervous system. Our product candidates may target healthy cells, leading to serious and potentially fatal adverse effects. Even though we intend to closely monitor the side effects of our product candidates in both preclinical studies and clinical trials, we cannot guarantee that products will not target and kill healthy cells.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 13Our product candidates may cause undesirable side effects or have other properties that could halt their clinical development, prevent their regulatory approval, limit their commercial potential or result in significant negative consequences.
Future undesirable or unacceptable side effects caused by our product candidates could cause us or regulatory authorities to interrupt, delay or halt clinical trials and could result in a more restrictive label or the delay or denial of regulatory approval by the FDA or other comparable foreign regulatory authorities. Results of our clinical trials could reveal a high and unacceptable severity and prevalence of side effects or unexpected characteristics. Approved autologous T cell therapies and those under development by other companies have shown frequent rates of CRS, neurotoxicity, serious infections, prolonged cytopenia and hypogammaglobulinemia, and adverse events have resulted in the death of patients. Similar adverse events may occur for our T cell product candidates. In addition, we utilize a lymphodepletion regimen, which generally includes fludarabine and cyclophosphamide, that may cause serious adverse events. For instance, because the regimen will cause a transient and sometimes prolonged immune suppression, patients will have an increased risk of infection, such as to COVID-19, that may be unable to be cleared by the patient and ultimately lead to other serious adverse events or death. Our lymphodepletion regimen has caused and may also cause prolonged cytopenia and aplastic anemia. We may also combine the use of our product candidates with other investigational or approved therapies that may cause separate adverse events or events related to the combination or potentiate side effects of approved drugs. If unacceptable toxicities arise in the development of our product candidates, we could suspend or terminate our trials or the FDA, the EMA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities could order us to cease clinical trials or deny approval of our product candidates for any or all targeted indications. Any data safety monitoring board may also suspend or terminate a clinical trial at any time on various grounds, including a finding that the research patients are being exposed to an unacceptable health risk, including risks inferred from other unrelated immunotherapy trials. Treatment-related side effects could also affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled subjects to complete the trial or result in potential product liability claims. In addition, these side effects may not be appropriately recognized or managed by the treating medical staff, as toxicities resulting from T cell therapy are not normally encountered in the general patient population and by medical personnel. Inadequate training in recognizing or managing the potential side effects of our product candidates could result in patient deaths. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 14We have received fast track designation for CER-1236 for AML, and we may seek fast track designation for additional indications, or fast track designation, breakthrough therapy designation, regenerative medicine advanced therapy designation or priority review for one or more of our product candidates, but we might not receive such designation or priority review, and even for those that we do, such designation or priority review may not lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process, and does not assure FDA approval of our product candidates. Even if a product qualifies for such designation or priority review, the FDA may later decide that the product no longer meets the conditions for qualification or decide that the time period for FDA review or approval will not be shortened.
We have received fast track designation for CER-1236 for AML, and we will seek fast track designation for CER-1236 for additional indications. We may further seek fast track, breakthrough therapy, and/or regenerative medicine advanced therapy designations or priority review for one or more of our product candidates. The FDA may issue a fast track designation to a product candidate if it is intended, whether alone or in combination with one or more other products, for the treatment of a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, and it demonstrates the potential to address unmet medical needs for such a disease or condition. Fast track designation applies to the combination of the product and the specific indication for which it is being studied. The sponsor of a new biologic may request that the FDA designate the biologic as a fast track product at any time during the clinical development of the product. For fast track products, sponsors may have greater interactions with the FDA during product development. A fast track product may also be eligible for rolling review, where the FDA may consider for review sections of the BLA on a rolling basis before the complete application is submitted, if the sponsor provides a schedule for the submission of the sections of the BLA, the FDA agrees to accept sections of the BLA and determines that the schedule is acceptable, and the sponsor pays any required user fees upon submission of the first section of the BLA. However, the FDA's goal for reviewing a BLA fast track application under the PDUFA does not begin until the last section of the application is submitted. Fast track designation may be withdrawn by the FDA if the FDA believes that the designation is no longer supported by data emerging in the clinical trial process. A breakthrough therapy is defined as a product candidate that is intended, alone or in combination with one or more other drugs, to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the product candidate may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. For product candidates that have been designated as breakthrough therapies, interaction and communication between the FDA and the sponsor of the trial can help to identify the most efficient path for clinical development while minimizing the number of patients placed in ineffective control regimens. Product candidates designated as breakthrough therapies by the FDA are also eligible for priority review if supported by clinical data at the time of the submission of the BLA. The FDA can accelerate review and approval of products designated as regenerative medicine advanced therapies. A product is eligible for this designation if it is a regenerative medicine therapy that is intended to treat, modify, reverse or cure a serious or life-threatening disease or condition and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the product has the potential to address unmet medical needs for such disease or condition. The benefits of a regenerative medicine advanced therapy designation include early interactions with FDA to expedite development and review, benefits available to breakthrough therapies, potential eligibility for priority review and accelerated approval based on surrogate or intermediate endpoints. If the FDA determines that a product candidate offers a treatment for a serious condition and, if approved, the product would provide a significant improvement in safety or effectiveness, the FDA may designate the product candidate for priority review. A priority review designation means that the goal for the FDA to review an application is six months, rather than the standard review period of ten months. Fast track designation, breakthrough therapy designation, regenerative medicine advanced therapy designation and priority review are within the discretion of the FDA. Accordingly, even if we believe that one of our product candidates meets the criteria for any such designation, the FDA may disagree and instead determine not to make such designation. In any event, the receipt of such designation may expedite the development or approval process, but do not change the standards for approval. Even if a product qualifies for one or more of these programs, the FDA may later decide that the product no longer meets the conditions for qualification or decide that the time period for FDA review or approval will not be shortened.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 15Clinical development and the regulatory approval process involve a lengthy and expensive process with an uncertain outcome and results of earlier studies and preclinical data, and trials may not be predictive of future clinical trial results. If our preclinical studies and clinical trials are not sufficient to support regulatory approval of any of our product candidates, we may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete, the development of such product candidate.
The research, testing, manufacturing, labeling, licensure, sale, marketing and distribution of biological products are subject to extensive regulation by the FDA and other regulatory authorities in the United States and other countries, and such regulations differ from country to country. We are not permitted to market our product candidates in the United States or in any foreign countries until they receive the requisite licensure from the applicable regulatory authorities of such jurisdictions. We have not previously submitted a BLA to the FDA or similar licensure applications to comparable foreign regulatory authorities. A BLA must include extensive preclinical and clinical data and supporting information to establish the product candidate's safety, purity and potency for each desired indication. The BLA must also include significant information regarding the manufacturing controls for the product. We expect the novel nature of our product candidates to create further challenges in obtaining regulatory approval. Accordingly, the regulatory approval pathway for our product candidates may be uncertain, complex, expensive and lengthy, and licensure may not be obtained. We cannot be certain that our preclinical studies and clinical trial results will be sufficient to support regulatory approval of our product candidates. Clinical testing is expensive and can take many years to complete and its outcome is inherently uncertain. Human clinical trials are expensive and difficult to design and implement, in part because they are subject to rigorous regulatory requirements. Failure or delay can occur at any time during the clinical trial process. We may experience delays in obtaining the FDA's authorization to initiate clinical trials under future INDs and completing ongoing clinical studies of our product candidates due to a variety of factors. Additionally, we cannot be certain that preclinical studies or clinical trials for our product candidates will begin on time, not require redesign, enroll an adequate number of subjects on time, or be completed on schedule, if at all. Clinical trials can be delayed or terminated for a variety of reasons, including delays or failures related to: - the availability of financial resources to commence and complete the planned trials;- the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities disagreeing as to the design or implementation of our clinical trials;- delays in obtaining regulatory approval to commence a clinical trial;- our inability to demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA or the applicable foreign regulatory authority that any of our product candidates are safe, potent and pure;- the FDA's or the applicable foreign regulatory agency's disagreement with our trial protocol or the interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials;- our inability to demonstrate that the clinical and other benefits of any of our product candidates outweigh any safety or other perceived risks;- the FDA's or the applicable foreign regulatory agency's requirement for additional preclinical studies or clinical trials;- the results of clinical trials may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities for licensure;- the data collected from clinical trials of our product candidates may not be sufficient to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to support the submission of a BLA or other comparable submission in foreign jurisdictions or to obtain licensure of our product candidates in the United States or elsewhere;- reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective CDMOs and clinical trial sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CDMOs and clinical trial sites;- obtaining IRB or ethics committee approval at each clinical trial site;- recruiting an adequate number of suitable patients to participate in a clinical trial;- having subjects complete a clinical trial or return for post-treatment follow-up;- clinical trial sites deviating from clinical trial protocol or dropping out of a clinical trial;- addressing subject safety concerns that arise during the course of a clinical trial;- adding a sufficient number of clinical trial sites;- obtaining sufficient product supply of product candidate for use in preclinical studies or clinical trials from third-party suppliers;- the FDA's or the applicable foreign regulatory agency's findings of deficiencies or failure to approve the manufacturing processes or facilities of third-party manufacturers upon which we rely; or - the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering our clinical data insufficient for approval. We may experience numerous adverse or unforeseen events during, or as a result of, preclinical studies and clinical trials that could delay or prevent our ability to receive marketing approval or commercialize our product candidates, including: - we may receive feedback from regulatory authorities that requires us to modify the design of our clinical trials;- we may obtain a result from preclinical studies such as a binder specificity study or a safety toxicology study that require us to modify the design of our clinical trials, abandon our research efforts for product candidates, or result in delays;- clinical trials of our product candidates may produce negative or inconclusive results and we may decide, or regulators may require us, to conduct additional clinical trials or abandon our research efforts for our other product candidates;- the number of patients required for clinical trials of our product candidates may be larger than we anticipate, enrollment in these clinical trials may be slower than we anticipate or participants may drop out of our clinical trials at a higher rate than we anticipate;- our third-party contractors may fail to comply with regulatory requirements, fail to maintain adequate quality controls or be unable to provide us with sufficient product supply to conduct and complete preclinical studies or clinical trials of our product candidates in a timely manner, or at all;- we or our investigators might have to suspend or terminate clinical trials of our product candidates for various reasons, including non-compliance with regulatory requirements, a finding that our product candidates have undesirable side effects or other unexpected characteristics or a finding that the participants are being exposed to unacceptable health risks;- the cost of clinical trials of our product candidates may be greater than we anticipate;- the quality of our product candidates or other materials necessary to conduct preclinical studies or clinical trials of our product candidates may be insufficient or inadequate;- regulators may revise the requirements for approving our product candidates, or such requirements may not be as we anticipate; and - future collaborators may conduct clinical trials in ways they view as advantageous to them but that are suboptimal for us. If we are required to conduct additional clinical trials or other testing of our product candidates beyond those that we currently contemplate, if we are unable to successfully complete clinical trials of our product candidates or other testing, if the results of these trials or tests are not positive or are only moderately positive or if there are safety concerns, our business and results of operations may be adversely affected and we may incur significant additional costs. In addition, costs to treat patients with relapsed or refractory cancer and to treat potential side effects that may result from our product candidates can be significant. Accordingly, our clinical trial costs are likely to be significantly higher than those for more conventional therapeutic technologies or drug product candidates. We could also encounter delays if a clinical trial is suspended or terminated by us, by the IRBs of the institutions in which such clinical trials are being conducted, by the Data Safety Monitoring Board for such clinical trial or by the FDA or other regulatory authorities. Such authorities may suspend or terminate a clinical trial due to a number of factors, including failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with regulatory requirements or our clinical trial protocols, inspection of the clinical trial operations or trial site by the FDA or other regulatory authorities resulting in the imposition of a clinical hold, unforeseen safety issues or adverse side effects, failure to demonstrate a benefit from the product candidates, changes in governmental regulations or administrative actions or lack of adequate funding to continue the clinical trial. For example, in July 2024, we announced a clinical hold as a result of insufficient data provided with regard to two issues within pharmacology and toxicology of CER-1236. In November 2024, we announced that the clinical hold was resolved and that the FDA had cleared our IND for Phase 1 clinical trials. Any delay in obtaining, or inability to obtain, applicable regulatory approval would delay or prevent commercialization of our product candidates and would materially adversely impact our business and prospects and our ability to generate revenues from any of these product candidates will be delayed or not realized at all. In addition, many of the factors that cause, or lead to, a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates. If one or more of our product candidates generally prove to be ineffective, unsafe or commercially unviable, our CER-T cell platform would have little, if any, value, which would have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Any of these factors, many of which are beyond our control, may result in our failing to obtain regulatory approval to market any of our product candidates, or a delay in such approval, which would significantly harm our business, results of operations, and prospects. Of the large number of biological products in development, only a small percentage successfully complete the FDA or other regulatory approval processes and are commercialized. Even if we eventually complete clinical testing and receive licensure from the FDA or applicable foreign regulatory authorities for any of our product candidates, the FDA or the applicable foreign regulatory may license our product candidates for a more limited indication or a narrower patient population than we originally requested, and the FDA, or applicable foreign regulatory agency, may not license our product candidates with the labeling that we believe is necessary or desirable for the successful commercialization of such product candidates.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 16We may not be able to obtain orphan drug designation or orphan drug exclusivity for one or more of our product candidates, and even if we do, that exclusivity may not prevent the FDA from approving other competing products.
Regulatory authorities may designate drugs for relatively small patient populations as "orphan" drugs. Generally, if a product with an orphan drug designation subsequently receives the first marketing approval for the indication for which it has such designation, the product is entitled to a period of market exclusivity, which, subject to certain exceptions, precludes the FDA from approving another marketing application for the same drug for the same indication for that time period. The applicable market exclusivity period is seven years in the United States. Obtaining orphan drug designation and orphan drug exclusivity for our product candidates may be important to our commercial strategy. For example, we have received orphan drug designation in the United States from the FDA for CER-1236 for the treatment of AML. We may in the future seek orphan drug designation for CER-1236 for additional indications, and we may in the future seek orphan drug designation for one or more of our other product candidates, but we may be unable to maintain orphan drug designation or obtain any benefits associated with orphan drug designation, including market exclusivity. If a competitor obtains orphan drug exclusivity for and approval of a product with the same indication as our product candidates before we do, and if the competitor's product is the same drug or a similar medicinal product as ours, we could be excluded from the market. Even if we obtain orphan drug exclusivity after FDA approval, we may not be able to maintain it. For example, if a competitive product that is the same drug or a similar medicinal product as our product candidate is shown to be clinically superior to our product candidate, any orphan drug exclusivity we have obtained will not block the approval of such competitive product. In addition, orphan drug exclusivity will not prevent the approval of a product that is the same drug as our product candidates if the FDA finds that we cannot assure the availability of sufficient quantities of the drug to meet the needs of the persons with the disease or condition for which the drug was designated. If one or more of these events occur, it could have a material adverse effect on our company.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 17Prior treatments can alter the cancer or target of CER-T cell therapy and negatively impact chances for achieving clinical activity with our programmed T cells.
Patients with hematological cancers receive highly toxic lympho-depleting chemotherapy as their initial treatment. These therapies can impact the viability of the T cells collected from the patient and can contribute to highly variable responses to programmed T cell therapies. Patients could also have received prior therapies that target the same target antigen on the cancer cells as our intended programmed T cell product candidate and thereby lead to a selection of cancer cells with low or no expression of the target. Cancers also naturally evolve and select clones with low or no expression of the target. As a result, our programmed T cell product candidates may not recognize the cancer cell and may fail to achieve clinical activity. If any of our product candidates do not achieve a sufficient level of clinical activity, we may discontinue the development of that product candidate, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.