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Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) AI Stock Analysis

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CBK

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc.

(NASDAQ:CBK)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$36.00▲(10.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

The score of 72 is driven primarily by solid financial performance with strong profitability and improving leverage, plus positive corporate events highlighting earnings growth and dividend declarations. Attractive valuation provides further support, while mixed technical signals limit upside.

Positive Factors
Loan and Deposit GrowthStrong loan and deposit expansion indicates Commercial Bancgroup is gaining business within its regional franchise and deepening customer relationships. Growth in both assets and funding supports future interest income while reducing reliance on a stagnant balance sheet over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Slowing Revenue MomentumThe revenue decline signals that top-line expansion has recently weakened even as margins improved. If slower revenue momentum persists, it could limit operating leverage, constrain the pace of balance-sheet growth, and make future earnings increasingly dependent on efficiency gains rather than broader franchise expansion.

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%CBK+36.24%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$447.50M
Dividend Yield
0.98%
Average Volume (3M)
39.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.0
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
292
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. serves as the holding company for Commercial Bank, which offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. These services are provided to both individual clients and corporate entities across Kentucky, North C...

How the Company Makes Money

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by (1) earning net interest income—the spread between interest earned on loans and other interest-earning assets and interest paid on deposits and other funding sources—a...

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Commercial Bancgroup demonstrates solid profitability with a 28.1% net profit margin and 36.3% operating margin, alongside an improving debt-to-equity ratio and strong free cash flow conversion, despite minor revenue decline.

Income Statement

75Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.41M131.53M133.33M112.20M
Gross Profit93.67M90.21M85.87M78.39M
EBITDA54.40M51.12M45.17M43.23M
Net Income40.53M37.20M31.41M30.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.44B2.29B2.30B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments308.86M0234.28M197.12M
Total Debt211.32M166.84M109.16M149.26M
Total Liabilities2.13B2.01B2.08B2.00B
Stockholders Equity311.31M285.09M220.26M190.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.68M35.23M35.63M35.72M
Operating Cash Flow32.51M37.09M38.68M38.89M
Investing Cash Flow-149.90M-32.66M-84.93M-127.96M
Financing Cash Flow132.72M-38.31M68.51M183.10M

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price32.64

Price Trends

50DMA32.49Positive
100DMA32.96Negative
200DMA30.07Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.28Negative
RSI52.44Neutral
STOCH57.39Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.08, above the 50-day MA of 32.49, and above the 200-day MA of 30.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBK.

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Risk Analysis

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

CBK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ACNBACNB81Outperform$686.57M12.1113.13%3.21%14.85%64.71%
ASBASB79Outperform$5.82B10.429.99%3.14%22.89%209.03%
BFHBFH75Outperform$3.98B7.9615.94%0.90%2.42%29.18%
CBKCBK72Outperform$459.57M11.0313.60%0.98%――
BOHBOH71Outperform$2.79B12.2713.31%4.00%0.73%38.51%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
BKUBKU61Neutral$3.20B12.149.21%2.92%-4.90%4.43%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%CBKACNBBFHASBBOHBKUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CBK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CBKCommercial Bancgroup, Inc.32.648.7036.35%
ACNBACNB Corp.65.4920.3044.92%
BFHBread Financial Holdings Inc102.5739.4862.57%
ASBAssociated Banc-corp30.545.8523.67%
BOHBank Of Hawaii69.946.7010.60%
BKUBankunited44.545.4113.82%

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Commercial Bancgroup Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Dividend

Positive
Oct 26, 2026

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. is a Harrogate, Tennessee-based bank holding company that operates Commercial Bank, a Tennessee state-chartered institution serving consumer and commercial clients in select markets in Kentucky, North Carolina, and Tennesse...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Commercial Bancgroup Declares Dividend Amid Strong Q2 Results

Positive
Jul 27, 2026

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc., the Harrogate, Tennessee-based parent of Commercial Bank, reported solid second-quarter 2026 performance that underscored its positioning as a growing regional bank serving consumers and businesses in Kentucky, North Carol...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026