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Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) AI Stock Analysis

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CBK

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc.

(NASDAQ:CBK)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:$37.00â–²(13.01% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/13/26

CBK scores well on the strength of its financial profile: expanding margins, consistent net income growth, mid-teens ROE, strong capitalization at about 12.7% equity-to-assets, and high-quality earnings backed by free cash flow. A reasonable P/E of 11.1 plus a modest dividend adds to the appeal, and the latest quarterly results showed improved net interest margin, double-digit loan growth and pristine credit quality. Technicals are mildly supportive, with the shares trading above their 50- and 200-day averages and neutral momentum readings. The main drags are a stalled top line since 2024, flat free cash flow despite rising profits, and increasing reliance on borrowings that has pushed leverage higher. No earnings call commentary was available, so that component was excluded and its weight redistributed.

Positive Factors
Strong and improving profitabilityImproving profitability indicates that the bank is converting revenue into earnings more effectively. A 31% TTM net margin and strong operating margins provide internal capital to support growth, absorb credit costs, and maintain shareholder distributions over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising leverageThe steady increase in debt-to-equity shows greater reliance on debt financing, which can reduce financial flexibility even though leverage remains moderate for a regional bank. Higher funding obligations may constrain capital allocation and increase sensitivity to operating or credit stress.

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%CBK+37.90%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$449.83M
Dividend Yield
0.98%
Average Volume (3M)
37.65K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.1
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
292
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. serves as the holding company for Commercial Bank, which offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. These services are provided to both individual clients and corporate entities across Kentucky, North C...

How the Company Makes Money

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by (1) earning net interest income—the spread between interest earned on loans and other interest-earning assets and interest paid on deposits and other funding sources—a...

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid and improving fundamentals. The income statement (76) shows consistent net income growth to roughly $40.5M on a TTM basis with net margin expanding to 31.1% and operating margin to 39.3%, though revenue has been flat-to-slightly-negative since 2024, meaning gains stem from margin and cost efficiency rather than business growth. The balance sheet (74) is well capitalized, with equity rising to $311M, or about 12.7% of assets, and ROE near 13.6%, offset by rising borrowings that lifted debt-to-equity from 0.50 to 0.68. Cash flow (68) is reliable, with free cash flow converting at 92%-95% of net income, but it has been flat for three consecutive years. Overall: a profitable, conservatively run regional bank whose next step depends on reigniting revenue and balance-sheet growth.

Income Statement

76Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.41M131.53M133.33M112.20M
Gross Profit93.67M90.21M85.87M78.39M
EBITDA54.40M51.12M45.17M43.23M
Net Income40.53M37.20M31.41M30.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.44B2.29B2.30B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments308.86M0234.28M197.12M
Total Debt211.32M166.84M109.16M149.26M
Total Liabilities2.13B2.01B2.08B2.00B
Stockholders Equity311.31M285.09M220.26M190.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.76B35.23M35.63M35.72M
Operating Cash Flow33.76B37.09M38.68M38.89M
Investing Cash Flow-107.17B-32.66M-84.93M-127.96M
Financing Cash Flow69.04M-38.31M68.51M183.10M

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price32.74

Price Trends

50DMA32.40Positive
100DMA33.05Negative
200DMA30.27Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.26Negative
RSI52.77Neutral
STOCH31.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.53, above the 50-day MA of 32.40, and above the 200-day MA of 30.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBK.

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Risk Analysis

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

CBK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ACNBACNB81Outperform$678.37M12.3413.13%3.14%14.87%64.71%
ASBASB79Outperform$5.75B10.529.99%3.12%22.89%209.03%
BFHBFH75Outperform$3.71B7.5815.94%0.94%2.42%29.18%
CBKCBK74Outperform$451.61M11.0713.60%0.98%――
BOHBOH71Outperform$2.74B12.1813.31%4.03%0.73%38.51%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
BKUBKU61Neutral$3.04B11.959.21%2.96%-4.90%4.43%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%CBKACNBBFHASBBOHBKUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CBK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CBKCommercial Bancgroup, Inc.32.749.4040.24%
ACNBACNB Corp.67.2023.0852.31%
BFHBread Financial Holdings Inc98.6139.0965.68%
ASBAssociated Banc-corp30.947.6432.77%
BOHBank Of Hawaii69.478.7214.35%
BKUBankunited43.806.5817.69%

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Commercial Bancgroup Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Dividend

Positive
Oct 26, 2026

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. is a Harrogate, Tennessee-based bank holding company that operates Commercial Bank, a Tennessee state-chartered institution serving consumer and commercial clients in select markets in Kentucky, North Carolina, and Tennesse...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026