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Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)
NYSE:BXC

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Bluelinx Holdings

(NYSE:BXC)

64Neutral
Bluelinx Holdings receives a score of 64.2, indicating a moderate stock performance with some strengths and notable challenges. Strong cash flow and a stable balance sheet are key positives, while technical indicators and market conditions present risks. The valuation is fair, but the earnings call highlights ongoing market uncertainties that could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Business Opportunities
The company has found new opportunities for direct business which have further supported volume and been EBITDA accretive.
Financial Performance
BlueLinx Holdings reported solid 1Q25 results as prudent margin management and internal initiatives delivered in line EBITDA and EPS despite a lighter than anticipated topline.
Market Share
Gaining share in an uncertain market as the company pushed harder to win share with both multi-family and national accounts, which paid off as volumes came in relatively strong.
Negative Factors
Economic Conditions
Macro headwinds are persistent with elevated interest rates and potential tariffs adding to economic uncertainty.
Margins
Margins through the first four weeks of the quarter have lagged sequentially, suggesting the pricing environment remains challenging.
Specialty Products
Specialty products remain under pressure as sales for the segment were down due to continued price deflation and market specific volume pressures.

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Bluelinx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes residential and commercial building products in the United States. The company distributes specialty products comprising engineered wood, industrial products, cedar, moulding, siding, metal, and insulation products; and structural products include lumber, plywood, oriented strand boards, rebars and remesh, spruce, and other wood products primarily that are used for structural support in construction projects. It also provides various value-added services and solutions to customers and suppliers. The company serves dealers, specialty distributors, national home centers, and manufactured housing customers through a network of distribution centers. BlueLinx Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlueLinx Holdings generates revenue primarily through the distribution and sale of building and industrial products. The company sources products from a range of suppliers and manufacturers and sells them to a broad customer base, which includes retailers, wholesalers, and contractors in the construction industry. Key revenue streams include the sale of structural products like lumber and panels, as well as specialty products such as roofing, insulation, and siding. BlueLinx leverages its extensive distribution network, which includes strategically located warehouses and logistics capabilities, to efficiently deliver products to its customers. Additionally, the company benefits from its relationships with key suppliers and manufacturers, which can provide favorable terms and exclusive distribution agreements that enhance its competitive position and profitability.

Bluelinx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bluelinx Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement reflects challenges with declining revenues and profitability margins. However, the balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and a solid equity base. The cash flow is strong, indicating robust cash generation and liquidity, which is a key positive.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement for Bluelinx Holdings shows moderate performance. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at approximately 15.75%, indicating a solid ability to cover cost of goods sold, though there is room for improvement. The net profit margin is 1.31%, suggesting slimmer profitability, which has decreased notably from the previous year. Revenue has declined by about 6.32% from the last annual report, reflecting potential market challenges. The EBIT margin is 2.37%, and the EBITDA margin is 3.95%, both indicating a decline in operational efficiency and profitability compared to prior periods.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Bluelinx Holdings maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04, which represents a balanced leverage profile for the construction industry. The return on equity (ROE) is 6.04%, which is relatively moderate, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 38.94%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets, suggesting financial stability and less reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects robust performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 51.0% year-over-year, signaling improved liquidity and cash generation from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.14, indicating strong cash flow relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. These metrics highlight the company's solid cash management capabilities, supporting future investment and debt servicing needs.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.95B3.14B4.45B4.28B3.10B
Gross Profit
489.14M527.02M832.98M778.43M477.73M
EBIT
87.57M138.45M439.09M438.08M142.24M
EBITDA
128.54M137.68M464.07M453.91M171.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
53.12M48.54M296.18M296.13M80.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
505.62M521.74M298.94M85.20M82.00K
Total Assets
1.58B1.54B1.49B1.32B1.05B
Total Debt
636.20M617.97M612.94M615.66M646.60M
Net Debt
130.57M96.23M314.00M530.46M646.52M
Total Liabilities
931.28M903.32M900.01M954.21M989.04M
Stockholders Equity
646.44M634.29M590.03M363.25M59.09M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
45.07M278.76M364.41M130.61M51.33M
Operating Cash Flow
85.18M306.29M400.30M145.02M55.02M
Investing Cash Flow
-39.21M-26.86M-98.69M-4.09M9.16M
Financing Cash Flow
-62.09M-56.62M-87.87M-55.81M-75.74M

Bluelinx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.75
Price Trends
50DMA
74.85
Negative
100DMA
89.61
Negative
200DMA
99.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.03
Positive
RSI
36.81
Neutral
STOCH
15.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.97, below the 50-day MA of 74.85, and below the 200-day MA of 99.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BXC.

Bluelinx Holdings Risk Analysis

Bluelinx Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bluelinx Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bluelinx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$7.19B49.9710.62%5.93%3.50%
GMGMS
65
Neutral
$2.77B19.9910.37%3.71%-49.38%
BXBXC
64
Neutral
$518.40M14.395.96%-4.22%-16.01%
64
Neutral
$4.24B11.645.23%249.83%4.07%-10.54%
JBJBI
63
Neutral
$1.01B15.0513.56%-13.95%-63.37%
59
Neutral
$691.19M77.89-4.13%-5.58%-465.52%
45
Neutral
$358.54M-53.32%-14.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
67.75
-34.99
-34.06%
GMS
GMS
75.53
-19.15
-20.23%
JELD
JELD-WEN
3.95
-10.07
-71.83%
JBI
Janus International Group
7.88
-6.08
-43.55%
AZEK
AZEK Company
49.88
4.54
10.01%
SWIM
Latham Group
5.80
1.95
50.65%

Bluelinx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong gross margins, successful digital transformation efforts, and strategic volume growth in key product categories. However, these positives were balanced by challenges such as price deflation, macroeconomic pressures, increased SG&A expenses, and concerns over tariffs that could impact future margins. Despite a solid financial position and share repurchase efforts, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing market uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Gross Margins in Specialty and Structural Products
Specialty products achieved gross margins of over 18% and structural products just over 9%, despite continued price deflation and lower volumes due to weather and macroeconomic factors.
Volume Growth in Key Product Categories
The company achieved volume growth in engineered wood products (EWP), lumber, and panels, which partially offset price deflation impacts.
Digital Transformation Progress
Phase 1 of the digital transformation efforts is on track to be completed by Q3 2025.
Greenfield Expansion Success
The Greenfield in Portland, Oregon, is performing better than expected and expanding its product offering monthly.
Strong Financial Position
The company has $449 million cash on hand and a net leverage ratio of negative 0.7 times, positioning it well for market rebounds and strategic initiatives.
Share Repurchase Plan
The company repurchased $15 million in shares during Q1 2025, with $31 million remaining in the current authorization.
Negative Updates
Price Deflation Impact
Specialty product net sales declined nearly 5% year-over-year due to continued price deflation, mainly in engineered wood products and millwork.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Lower housing starts and R&R activity, poor weather, and challenges faced by large track builders in regions like Texas have negatively impacted performance.
Specialty Products Margin Pressure
Gross margin for specialty products decreased from 20.7% in Q1 2024 to 18.7% in Q1 2025 due to price deflation and volume declines.
SG&A Increase
SG&A expenses increased by $2.8 million from the previous year's first quarter, attributed to technology investments and higher logistics costs.
Challenging Housing Market
The housing market is experiencing its lowest existing home sales in 30 years, impacting repair and remodel activities.
Tariff Concerns
Tariffs could pressure gross margins, and the company may face challenges in passing these costs to customers.
Company Guidance
In the BlueLinx Holdings First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported net sales of $709 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $19.6 million, representing a 2.8% adjusted EBITDA margin. Specialty products accounted for about 70% of net sales and 80% of gross profit, although specialty net sales declined nearly 5% year-over-year due to price deflation and volume pressures. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a gross margin of 18.7% in specialty products, with structural products showing a 9.3% gross margin. The company emphasized its strategic initiatives, including digital transformation, expanding through Greenfields and M&A opportunities, and maintaining a strong balance sheet with cash on hand of $449 million. The company also highlighted its focus on gaining market share in engineered wood, siding, and multifamily housing segments, while noting ongoing challenges such as housing market conditions and tariffs potentially affecting margins.

Bluelinx Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bluelinx Holdings Announces CFO Resignation and Interim Appointment
Neutral
Jan 13, 2025

BlueLinx Holdings Inc. announced the resignation of R. Andrew Wamser, Jr., their Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, effective January 24, 2025, as he pursues a new opportunity outside the building products industry. Kimberly A. DeBrock has been appointed as the interim Principal Financial Officer, effective January 25, 2025, while the company searches for a permanent successor. The transition is seen as occurring when the company is in a strong financial position, with a continued focus on technological advancement and growth strategy.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.