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Burnham Holdings (BURCA) AI Stock Analysis

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BURCA

Burnham Holdings

(Other OTC:BURCA)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$23.50â–¼(-9.44% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/23/26

Burnham Holdings scores below average, driven primarily by two consecutive years of large net losses and negative free cash flow, which have pushed return on equity to roughly -23% and forced increased borrowing. Importantly, the operating business is still profitable ($15.9M operating earnings on $288.4M revenue) with improving gross margins and renewed sales growth, suggesting the losses stem from non-operating or one-time charges rather than core deterioration. A conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.23) provides a cushion to work through this period. Technicals are modestly supportive, with the price above its 20-, 50- and 100-day averages but still under the 200-day, while the negative P/E limits valuation appeal despite a 4.07% dividend yield whose sustainability depends on a cash flow recovery. A rebound toward the $20M+ operating cash flow seen in 2024 would be the key catalyst for a higher score.

Positive Factors
Manageable LeverageModerate leverage and a substantial equity base provide Burnham Holdings with a balance-sheet cushion. This supports resilience through operating volatility and preserves some capacity to address business needs, provided profitability does not remain weak for an extended period.
Negative Factors
Sustained Net LossesThe swing from profitability in 2023–2024 to a substantial TTM net loss shows that recent revenue is not translating into acceptable bottom-line returns. Continued losses could erode equity, restrict investment capacity, and make recovery dependent on a meaningful improvement in operating performance.

Burnham Holdings (BURCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%BURCA+6.76%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$87.61M
Dividend Yield
3.55%
Average Volume (3M)
1,227
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.0
Beta (1Y)
0.19
Revenue Growth
6.73%
EPS Growth
-322.75%
Country
US
Employees
700
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Burnham Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Burnham Holdings, Inc. operates both within the U.S. and internationally, specializing in the engineering, production, and sale of boilers, alongside various complementary heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems and components. Thei...

Burnham Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A mixed and currently weak financial profile. Revenue rebounded to $288.4M (+6%) in the TTM period and gross margin expanded to 23.9% from 16.0% in 2021, with operating earnings of $15.9M (5.1% margin). However, the company posted net losses of $23.5M (TTM) and $28.4M (FY2025) after profits in 2023–2024, largely from non-operating or one-time charges. Cash flow is the weakest link: operating cash flow of just $4.9M and negative free cash flow of -$1.1M mean the business is not self-funding its capex. The balance sheet is the offsetting strength — debt-to-equity near 0.23 and equity covering about 60% of the $179.4M asset base — though borrowings rose from $17.6M to $27.2M and equity slipped to $108.3M as losses accumulated.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

33Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue288.43M258.11M270.19M252.98M240.55M218.51M
Gross Profit69.54M59.31M61.03M59.76M45.68M35.02M
EBITDA19.10M15.88M23.21M20.24M14.36M6.41M
Net Income-23.52M-28.39M11.95M9.43M5.07M1.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets179.37M175.32M194.34M184.67M176.26M167.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.12M7.66M6.35M5.88M6.99M5.65M
Total Debt27.24M17.57M28.46M31.54M35.51M24.28M
Total Liabilities71.11M71.73M81.06M83.24M85.17M72.30M
Stockholders Equity108.25M103.59M113.28M101.44M92.56M95.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.15M-7.86M10.96M11.75M-6.08M994.00K
Operating Cash Flow4.88M1.34M22.11M21.12M1.20M10.53M
Investing Cash Flow-5.18M15.34M-12.25M-11.80M-7.90M-10.34M
Financing Cash Flow2.27M-15.35M-9.39M-10.44M7.77M-295.00K

Burnham Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price25.95

Price Trends

50DMA23.49Positive
100DMA23.47Positive
200DMA24.31Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.59Negative
RSI60.45Neutral
STOCH71.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BURCA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.26, above the 50-day MA of 23.49, and above the 200-day MA of 24.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BURCA.

Burnham Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

BURCA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NXNX71Outperform$961.89M19.496.19%1.65%1.26%―
PPIHPPIH69Neutral$237.41M15.0117.21%―24.78%52.53%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
BXCBXC50Neutral$497.98M-122.66-0.68%―4.23%-130.87%
ROCKROCK49Neutral$969.62M10.0110.14%―33.12%-1900.97%
BURCABURCA48Neutral$103.61M-4.98-22.13%3.55%6.73%-322.75%
JELDJELD45Neutral$91.11M-0.52-1580.90%―-4.98%74.67%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%BURCABXCROCKPPIHNXJELDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BURCA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BURCABurnham Holdings Class A25.951.827.53%
BXCBluelinx62.837.3613.27%
ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.30.89-28.25-47.77%
PPIHPerma-Pipe International28.774.5318.69%
NXQuanex Building Products19.346.6252.07%
JELDJELD-WEN0.98-1.06-51.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026