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Baird Medical Investment Holdings (BDMD) AI Stock Analysis

BDMD

Baird Medical Investment Holdings

(NASDAQ:BDMD)

Select Model
Rating:32Underperform
Price Target:$0.15â–²(15.32% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

BDMD scores poorly, driven primarily by a severe fundamental deterioration: a 29% revenue decline, a $27.3 million net loss that erased years of prior earnings, rising leverage and four consecutive years of negative free cash flow that may eventually force dilutive financing. Technicals compound the concern, with the stock trading far below all major moving averages and a negative MACD confirming a sustained downtrend; extremely oversold RSI and Stochastic readings may permit a brief bounce but do not signal a trend change. Valuation provides no offset, as negative earnings render the P/E meaningless and no dividend is paid. The main mitigating factors are still-strong gross margins above 80%, a positive equity cushion, and a meaningfully reduced cash burn in 2025 — but these are insufficient to offset the overall risk profile. Note: the final score is floored at the platform minimum of 37.

Positive Factors
H1 2026 Revenue RecoveryThe return to year-over-year revenue growth and breakeven profitability in H1 2026 indicates that demand and commercial execution improved after the prior-year downturn. If sustained, this recovery can rebuild operating leverage and provide a stronger base for future expansion.
Negative Factors
Severe 2025 Profitability DeteriorationThe 2025 collapse in revenue and profitability demonstrates that earnings remain volatile and that the business has not yet established a consistently profitable operating model. A recurrence would weaken reinvestment capacity and make the recent recovery less durable.

Baird Medical Investment Holdings (BDMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%200%BDMD-86.32%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$5.15M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
248.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.3
Beta (1Y)
-0.42
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
146
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Devices

Baird Medical Investment Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in China, Baird Medical Investment Holdings Limited and its associated entities specialize in engineering and commercializing microwave ablation medical apparatus. These sophisticated instruments are employed in the minimally invasive managemen...

Baird Medical Investment Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are deteriorating sharply. Revenue fell roughly 29% in 2025 and the company swung to a $27.3 million net loss (net margin of -121%) despite gross margins remaining above 80%, pointing to a cost structure badly misaligned with current sales. The balance sheet retains a positive equity base ($31.4 million) and manageable debt ($19.3 million), but equity is eroding, debt-to-equity has risen to 0.62, and ROE has turned to -87%. Cash flow is the chronic weak spot: operating and free cash flow have been negative for four straight years, even during reportedly profitable periods, raising questions about earnings quality and the potential need for additional financing or dilution.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

40Negative

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.49M22.54M37.04M31.46M35.09M27.72M
Gross Profit20.97M18.88M32.65M27.23M28.04M23.18M
EBITDA-13.02M-24.53M16.17M13.24M16.29M14.16M
Net Income-15.95M-27.28M12.45M10.55M12.57M11.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.85M69.70M77.96M56.71M42.62M26.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.08K178.32K2.97M1.63M1.91M3.44M
Total Debt14.22M19.30M20.88M9.90M7.44M2.93M
Total Liabilities39.22M38.48M38.20M21.00M16.84M10.26M
Stockholders Equity34.77M31.37M39.66M35.75M25.93M5.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.31M-1.39M-9.17M-3.66M-5.47M3.87M
Operating Cash Flow4.31M-1.34M-6.31M-1.02M485.97K5.26M
Investing Cash Flow2,295-42.31K-2.85M-2.64M-5.92M-1.39M
Financing Cash Flow-6.44M-1.39M10.72M3.46M4.41M-1.93M

Baird Medical Investment Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.13

Price Trends

50DMA0.81Negative
100DMA0.97Negative
200DMA1.34Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.17Positive
RSI13.83Positive
STOCH6.37Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDMD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, below the 50-day MA of 0.81, and below the 200-day MA of 1.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 13.83 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BDMD.

Baird Medical Investment Holdings Risk Analysis

Baird Medical Investment Holdings disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Baird Medical Investment Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.We may face additional tax liabilities, penalties, or interest as a result of tax self-review requirements or tax audits by PRC tax authorities.Q4, 2025

Baird Medical Investment Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

BDMD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
VANIVANI62Neutral$98.32M-3.11-191.05%――19.38%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
APYXAPYX45Neutral$109.52M-12.58-78.70%―25.59%55.35%
XTNTXTNT45Neutral$39.31M-3.40-23.45%―-14.27%-132.84%
ICCMICCM37Underperform$2.98M-0.13-174.26%―41.62%20.47%
BDMDBDMD32Underperform$5.13M-0.29-48.23%―――

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%BDMDAPYXVANIXTNTICCMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
BDMD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BDMDBaird Medical Investment Holdings Ltd0.16-1.05-86.78%
APYXApyx Medical2.60-0.64-19.75%
VANIVivani Medical, Inc.1.09-0.41-27.57%
XTNTXtant Medical Holdings Inc0.28-0.46-62.26%
ICCMIcecure Medical Ltd.0.87-20.85-96.00%

Baird Medical Investment Holdings Corporate Events

Baird Medical Secures Senior Convertible Note Financing Backed by U.S. Assets

Sep 30, 2026

On September 24, 2026, Baird Medical Investment Holdings entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with an institutional investor for a senior 8% original issue discount convertible promissory note with a principal amount of about $4.35 million, r...

Baird Medical Reports Interim H1 2026 Results and Strengthens U.S. Filings

Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Baird Medical Investment Holdings furnished a Form 6-K to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, providing unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis for t...

Baird Medical Swings to Profit on 25% Revenue Surge in First Half of 2026

Sep 3, 2026

On September 3, 2026, Baird Medical reported preliminary unaudited financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, showing that revenue rose 24.6% year over year to about $9.9 million, driven largely by sales growth outside the PRC, particu...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026