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Avalon Holdings (AWX) AI Stock Analysis

87 Followers
AWX

Avalon Holdings

(NYSE MKT:AWX)

Select Model
Rating:58.6Neutral
Price Target:$3.00â–²(6.57% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score is constrained by a significant conflict between a rapidly improving balance sheet and deteriorating core operations. The primary strength is the company's successful deleveraging and improved liquidity, reinforced by a credit agreement extension. However, the major risk is the severe gross margin compression and stagnant revenue, which questions the long-term earnings power of the business. The low P/E ratio is attractive but is likely a reflection of these operational headwinds rather than a clear buying opportunity. Technical trends are neutral, offering no positive catalyst.

Positive Factors
Return to profitability and positive free cash flowThe return to profitability alongside positive free cash flow indicates meaningful improvement from prior loss-making and cash-consuming periods. If sustained, this recovery can support ongoing operations, reduce reliance on external funding, and provide greater flexibility for reinvestment over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin operating marginsThin gross, EBITDA, and net margins leave relatively little profit cushion if operating costs rise or service economics weaken. This limits the amount of revenue that converts into earnings, keeps returns modest, and makes sustained profitability more dependent on disciplined execution.

Avalon Holdings (AWX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%AWX-0.18%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$10.98M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
9,503
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.5
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
5.79%
EPS Growth
1000.22%
Country
US
Employees
799
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Waste Management

Avalon Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) is an American company specializing in environmental services for a diverse client base spanning industrial, commercial, municipal, and government sectors. The company's operations are divided into two primary divisi...

How the Company Makes Money

Avalon Holdings makes money mainly through (1) fees earned from providing waste management services and (2) revenue generated by its hospitality-related operations. In its waste management business, revenue is generally derived from customer contract...

Avalon Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is a clear strength, with debt dramatically reduced and a very conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15. Cash flow has also improved, with positive free cash flow. However, the income statement is a significant concern, showing declining gross margins (20.6% to 11.4%) and flat revenue, indicating core operational weakness. The overall score reflects a stabilizing financial foundation offset by deteriorating profitability.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.33M83.55M83.80M80.52M81.18M70.38M
Gross Profit16.39M12.53M17.23M13.78M13.96M13.55M
EBITDA7.56M5.83M6.99M3.94M4.06M6.01M
Net Income1.98M321.00K1.32M-1.77M-583.00K1.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.30M87.38M86.19M87.97M89.75M78.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.31M4.11M2.80M1.19M1.62M3.25M
Total Debt30.61M34.86M34.71M35.02M33.69M22.76M
Total Liabilities49.20M50.43M49.13M51.87M51.61M39.06M
Stockholders Equity40.69M38.35M38.03M36.72M38.49M39.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.91M2.06M1.12M-1.54M-4.13M-2.06M
Operating Cash Flow4.44M3.78M3.37M2.35M2.26M2.36M
Investing Cash Flow-2.54M-1.73M-2.25M-3.90M-6.39M-4.42M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05M-973.00K-818.00K944.00K11.23M-1.09M

Avalon Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2.81

Price Trends

50DMA2.59Positive
100DMA2.60Positive
200DMA2.58Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.06Negative
RSI63.20Neutral
STOCH84.17Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AWX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.63, above the 50-day MA of 2.59, and above the 200-day MA of 2.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AWX.

Avalon Holdings Risk Analysis

Avalon Holdings disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avalon Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Avalon Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AWX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CLHCLH79Outperform$15.49B29.4118.27%―10.09%38.12%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CWSTCWST63Neutral$6.38B-566.71-0.72%―13.04%-173.96%
AWXAWX59Neutral$11.04M5.535.13%―5.79%1000.22%
PESIPESI53Neutral$330.68M-12.50-44.15%―-4.92%-80.70%
QRHCQRHC52Neutral$25.51M-1.80-50.35%―-4.90%29.64%
AQMSAQMS37Underperform$4.88M-0.17-145.58%――93.91%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AWXCWSTCLHPESIQRHCAQMSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AWX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AWXAvalon Holdings Corp.2.81-0.00-0.18%
CWSTCasella Waste Systems100.1911.1912.58%
CLHClean Harbors293.8192.0845.65%
PESIPerma-fix Environmental Services14.882.6922.07%
QRHCQuest Resource Holding Corp1.40-0.32-18.60%
AQMSAqua Metals Inc.1.31-5.55-80.90%

Avalon Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Avalon Holdings Extends Wesbanco Credit Agreement Maturity

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

On July 28, 2026 Avalon Holdings Corporation and certain subsidiaries executed a Change in Terms Agreement with Wesbanco Bank, Inc., amending their existing business loan and promissory note facilities originally put in place on September 24, 2025. T...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026