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Santana Minerals Ltd. (SMI) AI Stock Analysis

AU:SMI

Santana Minerals Ltd.

(ASX:SMI)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.41â–¼(-1.90% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/11/26

The score is held down primarily by the lack of revenue, persistent losses, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow (despite improved cash burn in 2026). A very low-debt balance sheet provides meaningful financial resilience, but technicals remain bearish with weak momentum and the stock trading below key moving averages, while valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Low leverageExtremely low debt reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility while Santana advances its mineral projects. A lightly leveraged balance sheet can better withstand development delays and gives management more room to fund exploration without a heavy interest burden.
Negative Factors
No commercial revenueThe absence of revenue confirms that Santana has not yet reached a commercial production stage, leaving its financial profile dependent on exploration and development progress. Until projects begin generating sales, the company lacks operating revenue to fund activities internally.

Santana Minerals Ltd. (SMI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%AU:SMI-43.62%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 416.05M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.64M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-221.1
Beta (1Y)
1.56
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
29.63%
Country
Australia
Employees
23
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Other Precious Metals

Santana Minerals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Santana Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of gold properties in New Zealand, Cambodia, and Mexico. The company explores for gold, silver, and diamond properties. It holds a 100% interest in the Bendigo-Ophir gold project cove...

Santana Minerals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial profile is mixed: the balance sheet is strong with extremely low debt and sharply higher equity/assets by 2026, but the company reports no revenue across 2021–2026 with persistent net losses. Cash flow remains negative (operating and free cash flow), though cash burn improved materially in 2026 versus 2024–2025, indicating a better trajectory but still ongoing funding dependence.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit0-21.66K-115.87K-12.66K-406-469
EBITDA-6.56M-6.54M-4.59M-2.54M-6.84M―
Net Income-1.41M-1.41M-1.69M-2.59M-6.87M-1.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets288.79M288.79M106.40M69.78M39.99M19.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments188.33M188.33M50.45M33.07M17.21M2.45M
Total Debt246.55K246.55K199.19K52.85K00
Total Liabilities6.55M6.55M3.80M1.93M987.04K642.62K
Stockholders Equity282.23M282.23M102.60M67.85M39.00M19.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.02M-3.02M-18.99M-15.21M-10.74K-5,188
Operating Cash Flow-2.27M-2.27M-2.73M-1.53M-1,217-1,042
Investing Cash Flow-48.79M-48.79M-16.08M-13.68M-9,523-4.15M
Financing Cash Flow188.98M188.98M36.18M31.07M25.50M3.71M

Santana Minerals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.42

Price Trends

50DMA0.50Negative
100DMA0.50Negative
200DMA0.63Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative
RSI39.31Neutral
STOCH68.93Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.45, below the 50-day MA of 0.50, and below the 200-day MA of 0.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SMI.

Santana Minerals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:SMI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:NMGAU:NMG86OutperformAUD 658.06M5.13105.77%―1594866.18%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:AUCAU:AUC60NeutralAUD 664.97M-56.05-4.83%――30.19%
AU:29MAU:29M57NeutralAUD 445.56M-9.04-9.19%―2.93%50.61%
AU:SMIAU:SMI46NeutralAUD 416.05M-221.05-0.64%――29.63%
AU:AZYAU:AZY42NeutralAUD 314.50M-51.09-4.32%――5.15%
AU:MTMAU:MTM41NeutralAUD 162.39M-3.21-45.72%――10.08%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%AU:SMIAU:NMGAU:AUCAU:MTMAU:29MAU:AZYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:SMI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:SMISantana Minerals Ltd.0.42-0.34-44.74%
AU:NMGOra Gold Ltd.0.060.0376.47%
AU:AUCAusgold Limited1.210.4354.49%
AU:MTMMt Monger Resources Ltd.0.21-0.58-72.96%
AU:29M29metals Ltd.0.26-0.17-39.86%
AU:AZYAntipa Minerals Limited0.47-0.10-17.54%

Santana Minerals Ltd. Corporate Events

Santana Minerals Director Increases Equity Stake Through Option Exercise

Oct 22, 2026

Santana Minerals Ltd. has reported a change in director Peter Cook’s indirect interests, with his holding vehicle Ajava Holdings Pty Ltd increasing its stake through the exercise of unlisted options and vesting of performance rights. Following...

Santana Minerals director boosts shareholding via vested performance rights

Oct 22, 2026

Santana Minerals has disclosed a change in director Damian Spring’s interests following the vesting of performance rights. The update shows an increase in his direct holding of ordinary shares and a corresponding reduction in one tranche of per...

Santana Minerals Director Increases Shareholding After Performance Rights Vesting

Oct 22, 2026

Santana Minerals has reported a change in director Samuel Smith’s interests, following the vesting of performance rights into ordinary shares. The Wanderlei Industries Family Trust acquired 90,000 ordinary shares at nil consideration, correspon...

Santana Minerals Expands Share Capital Through Performance Rights and Option Exercises

Oct 22, 2026

Santana Minerals has issued a total of 4,845,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the vesting of employee performance rights and the exercise of unlisted options. The new shares were issued without a formal disclosure document, relying instead on...

Santana Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for 4.8 Million New Shares

Oct 22, 2026

Santana Minerals Limited has applied for quotation of 4,845,000 new ordinary fully paid shares on the Australian Securities Exchange. The securities, issued on October 22, 2026, will be traded under the company’s existing ASX code SMI.The new s...

Santana Minerals Reaffirms Bendigo–Ophir Gold Study and Flags Funding Risks

Sep 22, 2026

Santana Minerals has reiterated key elements of its pre-feasibility work on the Bendigo–Ophir Gold Project, highlighting that about 93% of the Mineral Resources planned for extraction fall within the Indicated category, with the remainder class...

Santana Minerals Gains Spot in Global Junior Gold Miners ETF

Sep 17, 2026

Santana Minerals has been added to the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF, known as GDXJ, effective at the close of trading on 18 September 2026 as part of the fund’s semi-annual index rebalance. The ETF, which holds about US$8.9 billion in net asse...

Santana Minerals Extends High-Grade Gold Core at RAS with Deeper Stacked Zone

Sep 2, 2026

Santana Minerals has reported further strong infill drilling results from the Rise and Shine (RAS) South deposit, as part of its efforts to tighten drill spacing and upgrade the high-grade HG1 domain that underpins early open pit mining plans. The ca...

Santana Minerals Extends High-Grade Gold Core at Rise and Shine South

Sep 2, 2026

Santana Minerals has reported further high-grade gold intercepts from infill drilling at its Rise and Shine South deposit, with recent holes MDD529 and MDD530 significantly expanding and upgrading the HG1 high-grade core. The tighter drill spacing is...

Santana Minerals Advances Bendigo–Ophir as New Zealand’s Next Major Gold Project

Aug 24, 2026

Santana Minerals is fast-tracking development of its Bendigo–Ophir Gold Project, positioning it as New Zealand’s newest major gold operation. The company is working from a pre-feasibility study released in 2025, which outlines a productio...

Santana Minerals Nears Final Decision on Bendigo–Ophir Fast-Track Approvals

Aug 24, 2026

An expert panel reviewing Santana Minerals’ fast-track approvals application for the Bendigo–Ophir Gold Project has requested a brief delay to allow further comment and response on the company’s latest information, including clarifi...

Santana Minerals Reaffirms Bendigo–Ophir Gold Project PFS and Flags Funding, Strategic Options

Aug 4, 2026

Santana Minerals has reiterated key information from its Bendigo–Ophir Gold Project prefeasibility study, confirming that the production target and associated financial forecasts disclosed in prior ASX announcements remain unchanged. The compan...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2026