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Nufarm Limited (NUF) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NUF

Nufarm Limited

(ASX:NUF)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:AUD 3.00â–¼(-5.36% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/25/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative margins and ROE, and sharply lower free cash flow). Technicals are only mildly supportive with a mixed trend and subdued momentum, while valuation is penalized by a negative P/E (loss-making) and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Global crop-protection platformNufarm operates across several essential crop-protection categories and geographic markets, giving it broad customer and application exposure. This platform supports recurring agricultural demand and provides multiple avenues for commercialization, registration and distribution over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction and lossesThe sharp revenue decline is occurring alongside negative net and EBIT margins, showing that weaker sales are translating into losses rather than merely slower growth. Persistently lower revenue can reduce operating leverage and make it harder to fund investment or defend market position.

Nufarm Limited (NUF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%AU:NUF+50.24%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 768.57M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.12M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.0
Beta (1Y)
0.63
Revenue Growth
-1.53%
EPS Growth
-281.84%
Country
Australia
Employees
3,046
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

Nufarm Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nufarm Limited, alongside its affiliated entities, specializes in the development, production, and global distribution of agricultural crop protection products and seed technologies. Its operations span key regions including Europe, the Middle East,...

How the Company Makes Money

Nufarm primarily makes money by selling crop protection products into agricultural markets, generating revenue from the commercial sale of branded and off-patent/"post‑patent" active-ingredient-based products that are formulated and distributed for u...

Nufarm Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 17, 2025(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:48.13%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlights a strong performance in Crop Protection and a strategic repositioning in Seed Technologies. However, significant losses from material items and challenges in the omega-3 market offset these positives. The company is focusing on debt reduction and operational improvements for future growth.

Positive Updates

Strong Crop Protection Performance
Crop Protection delivered a strong result with an 18% increase in earnings and profitability growth across all regions. EBITDA margin improved by 140 basis points.

Negative Updates

Statutory Loss Due to Material Items
A statutory loss of $165 million was reported, including $142 million of mainly non-cash material items related to the Seed Technology review and performance improvement program.

Company Guidance

During the Nufarm Limited FY '25 Results Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic directions were highlighted. The company reported a statutory loss of $165 million, influenced by $142 million in non-cash material items and a broader performance improvement program. Despite this, Crop Protection saw an 18% increase in earnings, with an EBITDA margin improvement of 140 basis points and growth across all regions. Net debt was reduced by $538 million, ending with a leverage ratio of 2.7x. The company anticipates strong EBITDA growth in FY '26, targeting a leverage of 2.0x and planning for capital expenditure below $200 million. Seed Technologies underwent a strategic review, resulting in a reprioritized strategy aimed at enhancing shareholder value, focusing on profitable hybrid seeds, a reduction in omega-3 cash requirements, and expansion in bioenergy with BP. The outlook for FY '26 includes continued growth in Crop Protection, a $30 million improvement in emerging platforms' EBITDA, and a commitment to strong cost and capital deployment discipline.

Nufarm Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall: revenue fell 17.87% and profitability is negative (net margin -4.80%, EBIT margin -1.85%). Leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.62) but rising, while returns are negative (ROE -7.83%). Cash generation is also pressured with free cash flow down 47.08% and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio (0.13).

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

50Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.02B3.44B3.35B3.48B3.77B3.22B
Gross Profit1.48B950.13M840.37M1.03B972.59M834.71M
EBITDA369.70M158.37M263.77M427.18M421.60M359.18M
Net Income-137.77M-165.32M-5.60M111.14M107.44M65.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.80B4.58B4.43B4.63B4.66B4.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments358.05M474.72M463.56M410.96M585.70M724.22M
Total Debt1.59B1.30B1.10B1.26B931.87M1.04B
Total Liabilities2.74B2.47B2.22B2.32B2.51B2.25B
Stockholders Equity1.82B1.86B2.21B2.31B2.15B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow284.14M41.17M219.43M-352.36M283.77M281.70M
Operating Cash Flow408.43M162.76M472.39M-125.62M359.57M424.19M
Investing Cash Flow-245.13M-245.61M-207.46M-241.73M-240.41M-146.30M
Financing Cash Flow-62.32M83.87M-200.76M185.98M-264.37M19.18M

Nufarm Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3.17

Price Trends

50DMA3.15Positive
100DMA3.00Positive
200DMA2.65Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI56.39Neutral
STOCH84.65Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NUF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.10, above the 50-day MA of 3.15, and above the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NUF.

Nufarm Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:NUF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:WGNAU:WGN62NeutralAUD 953.71M22.8719.51%1.05%16.85%70.12%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:PLAAU:PLA50NeutralAUD 327.16M-7.77-27.92%――-703.70%
AU:NUFAU:NUF49NeutralAUD 1.22B-6.98-7.49%―-1.53%-281.84%
AU:RLFAU:RLF44NeutralAUD 17.98M-1.94-88.51%―-0.48%-195.74%
AU:CP8AU:CP841NeutralAUD 55.23M-19.18-22.21%―-30.52%-19.67%
AU:TGHAU:TGH37UnderperformAUD 11.52M-2.26-52.55%―-11.34%30.34%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%AU:NUFAU:CP8AU:WGNAU:TGHAU:RLFAU:PLADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:NUF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:NUFNufarm Limited3.171.0650.24%
AU:CP8Canadian Phosphate Limited0.140.09169.23%
AU:WGNWagners Holding Co. Ltd.4.751.9670.43%
AU:TGHTerragen Holdings Ltd0.01-0.01-33.33%
AU:RLFRLF AgTech Ltd0.03-0.05-65.82%
AU:PLAPacific Lime and Cement Limited0.380.1140.74%

Nufarm Limited Corporate Events

Nufarm Flags Strong FY26 Earnings and Lower Leverage as Strategy Refresh Takes Hold

Sep 22, 2026

Nufarm has signalled a strong FY26 performance, forecasting a roughly 25% rise in underlying EBITDA to between $370 million and $380 million and a sharp reduction in leverage to about two times, underpinned by positive free cash flow and tighter work...

Nufarm Reports Lapse of 191,399 Performance Rights

Jul 14, 2026

Nufarm Limited has reported the lapse of 191,399 performance rights, which ceased on 30 June 2026 after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cessation slightly reduces Nufarm’s potenti...

Nufarm Issues Nearly 2 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Plan

Jul 13, 2026

Nufarm Limited has notified the market of the issue of 1,990,618 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of June 30, 2026. The new securities are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, highlighting Nufarm&#8...

Nufarm Seeks ASX Quotation for New Shares Issued Under Employee Incentive Plan

Jul 10, 2026

Nufarm Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 103,643 new ordinary fully paid shares issued on July 6, 2026. These securities arise from an employee incentive scheme and will be quoted despite not being subject to transfer restrictions.The m...

Nufarm Updates Market on Director Rico Christensen’s Equity Interests

Jul 10, 2026

Nufarm Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of director Rico Christensen in the company’s securities, as required under ASX listing rules. The update covers both his direct holdings of ordinary shares and indirect interests held thro...

Nufarm director Alexandra Gartmann lifts stake in on-market share purchase

Jul 3, 2026

Nufarm Limited has reported a change in director shareholdings, confirming that director Alexandra Gartmann increased her direct interest in ordinary shares. The transaction reflects the company’s adherence to ASX listing rules on disclosure an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2026