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Canadian Phosphate (AU:CP8)
ASX:CP8
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Canadian Phosphate (CP8) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CP8

Canadian Phosphate

(Sydney:CP8)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.16
â–²(10.71% Upside)
Action:N/A
Date:09/23/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (continued losses and negative operating/free cash flow) and limited valuation support given the negative P/E and no dividend. These are partly offset by favorable technical momentum, with the stock trading above key moving averages and a positive MACD, though near-term overbought signals add risk.
Positive Factors
Modest leverage and equity cushion
Modest leverage and a substantial equity base provide financial resilience while the company remains loss-making. This cushion can help absorb operating volatility and preserve funding flexibility over the next several quarters, although continued losses could gradually erode it.
Negative Factors
Revenue is declining
A multi-year decline in revenue indicates weakening top-line momentum and limits the scale available to absorb fixed operating costs. Without renewed growth, the company has less opportunity to convert its improved gross-margin performance into sustainable operating profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Modest leverage and equity cushion
Modest leverage and a substantial equity base provide financial resilience while the company remains loss-making. This cushion can help absorb operating volatility and preserve funding flexibility over the next several quarters, although continued losses could gradually erode it.
Read all positive factors

Canadian Phosphate (CP8) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Canadian Phosphate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Canadian Phosphate Limited provides regenerative phosphate and organic fertilizer solutions to markets across Australia and North America. The company's offerings further extend to fused calcium magnesium silica phosphate products. It maintains ke...

Canadian Phosphate Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profile remains weak: revenue is slightly declining and the company is still loss-making with deeply negative net margins, alongside ongoing negative operating and free cash flow (continued cash burn). The balance sheet is a relative positive with modest leverage and meaningful equity, and recent trends show improvement (less severe losses and reduced cash outflow), but profitability and cash generation are not yet established.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77M2.31M2.49M2.79M3.56M2.24M
Gross Profit-373.16K-170.16K1.24M-1.07M-1.44M206.19K
EBITDA-1.39M-1.24M-1.26M-3.83M-4.17M-3.73M
Net Income-2.42M-2.21M-1.66M-4.48M-4.22M-3.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.01M10.62M11.55M12.45M15.27M13.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.57M2.44M780.92K1.70M2.86M5.20M
Total Debt1.01M1.37M895.93K1.18M578.65K116.28K
Total Liabilities1.25M1.59M1.19M1.71M1.70M861.80K
Stockholders Equity12.76M9.03M10.36M10.74M13.57M12.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.04M-506.17K-1.17M-2.87M-7.67M-3.11M
Operating Cash Flow-1.04M-506.17K-1.17M-1.74M-4.84M-1.66M
Investing Cash Flow458.58K453.67K-572.53K-873.60K-2.01M-501.46K
Financing Cash Flow6.66M1.71M799.53K1.88M4.48M6.19M

Canadian Phosphate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.14
Positive
200DMA
0.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.42
Neutral
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CP8, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CP8.

Canadian Phosphate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$61.15M-21.23-22.21%―-30.52%-19.67%
49
Neutral
AU$1.18B-6.69-7.49%2.02%-1.53%-281.84%
49
Neutral
AU$18.11M-3.55-52.55%―-11.34%30.34%
45
Neutral
AU$19.11M-10.21-6.36%――96.72%
43
Neutral
AU$17.98M-1.94-88.51%―-0.48%-195.74%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CP8
Canadian Phosphate
0.16
0.11
222.92%
AU:NUF
Nufarm Limited
3.04
0.78
34.51%
AU:AMN
Agrimin Limited
0.05
-0.04
-42.35%
AU:TGH
Terragen Holdings Ltd
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:RLF
RLF AgTech Ltd
0.03
-0.04
-59.70%

Canadian Phosphate Corporate Events

Canadian Phosphate gains spotlight in Canada and Alberta investment pitchbooks
Sep 14, 2026
Canadian Phosphate has been selected for inclusion in both the Canada Investment Summit Pitchbook and a dedicated Invest Alberta Pitchbook, initiatives aimed at showcasing strategic national projects to global institutional investors. The company&...
Canadian Phosphate Files Interim Financial Report and Affirms Market Listings
Sep 10, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has released its interim financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2026, outlining its corporate structure and capital markets presence. The company remains listed on both the ASX and OTCQB, supported by establis...
Canadian Phosphate extends Wapiti strike and ramps up exploration spend
Sep 9, 2026
Canadian Phosphate has extended the known strike of phosphate mineralisation at its Wapiti Project to about nine kilometres on the eastern limb of the Red Deer Syncline, following a diamond drilling campaign now totaling 18 holes and 2,638 metres....
Canadian Phosphate adds U.S. OTCQB listing to boost North American investor access
Aug 20, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has commenced trading on the OTCQB Venture Market in the United States under the ticker CPHOF, complementing its primary ASX listing of CP8. The move allows eligible North American investors to trade the stock in U.S. do...
Canadian Phosphate Extends Wapiti Phosphate Strike by 3km in 2026 Drilling
Aug 19, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has reported that the first eight diamond drillholes of its 2026 program at the Wapiti Phosphate Project have all intersected the targeted Phosphate Main Zone. These holes, totaling 1,051m and drilled along the Red Deer ...
Canadian Phosphate issues new shares and confirms compliance with disclosure rules
Jul 30, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has issued fully paid ordinary shares, as detailed in a filing to the ASX, and has provided a statutory cleansing notice confirming the issuance occurred without a prospectus under the relevant provisions of the Corporat...
Canadian Phosphate Secures Utah Asset to Bolster North American Phosphate Strategy
Jul 30, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has completed the acquisition of a 100% interest in the Diamond Mountain Phosphate Project in Uintah County, Utah, from Revival Gold Inc. and Utah Mineral Resources LLC. The advanced sedimentary project, adjacent to Simp...
Canadian Phosphate boosts cash through equity as it funds North American phosphate preparations
Jul 28, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited reported quarterly cash flows showing modest customer receipts and significant operating outflows tied to raw material input costs, staff, and administrative expenses, resulting in a net operating cash outflow. The compa...
Canadian Phosphate advances Wapiti drilling and U.S. acquisition after $5.2m raising
Jul 28, 2026
Canadian Phosphate reported a pivotal June quarter marked by regulatory, operational and corporate advances across its North American portfolio. The company secured a five-year exploration permit for its 100%-owned Wapiti project in British Columb...
Canadian Phosphate Starts Key Resource Drilling at Wapiti Project in Canada
Jul 27, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited, traded on the ASX as CP8, is developing the Wapiti Phosphate Project in northeastern British Columbia to serve fertilizer, organic agriculture and battery-related phosphoric acid markets. The company aims to supply Sing...
Canadian Phosphate Limited Shares Reinstated to ASX Quotation
Jul 6, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited will have its securities, trading under the code CP8O, reinstated to quotation on the Australian Securities Exchange from the start of trading today. The reinstatement follows the company&#8217;s compliance with ASX List...
Fertoz Director Increases Indirect Stake via Entitlement Issue
Jul 2, 2026
Fertoz, operating through Canadian Phosphate Limited, is a phosphate-focused agribusiness supplying nutrient products to agricultural markets and engaging with investors via ASX-listed securities. The company uses shares, performance rights and op...
Canadian Phosphate Director Boosts Indirect Equity Holdings
Jul 2, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has reported a change in the indirect interests of director Malcolm Weber, detailing adjustments to holdings across several trustee and superannuation entities associated with him. The notice outlines additional fully pa...
Canadian Phosphate Director Increases Stake via Entitlement Issue
Jul 2, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of director Peter Doyle, reflecting his indirect participation in a recent capital raising. Doyle, through Armarna Too Pty Ltd where he is a director and shareholder, acquired 142,...
Fertoz Director Stuart Richardson Increases Stake via Entitlement Offer
Jul 2, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has reported a change in the indirect holdings of director Stuart Richardson following his participation in a renounceable entitlement offer. Through entities he controls, Boston First Capital Pty Ltd and JSR Nominees Pt...
Canadian Phosphate Seeks ASX Quotation for New Deferred Securities
Jun 26, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of new deferred ordinary shares and options under its issuer code CP8. The application covers 2,499,995 ordinary fully paid deferred securities and 1,366,688 deferred options expiring...
Canadian Phosphate Confirms Compliance on New Share Issue
Jun 26, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Ltd has issued fully paid ordinary shares as detailed in its latest filing, notifying the market that these shares were issued without a prospectus under the relevant disclosure exemptions. The company confirmed it is compliant ...
Canadian Phosphate Lists New Deferred Options on ASX
Jun 25, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has applied to list 1,618,216 new options on the ASX under the code CP8O, with these options expiring on June 26, 2028. The quotation of these deferred options, issued in connection with previously announced transactions...
Canadian Phosphate Seeks ASX Quotation for New Shares and Options
Jun 25, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 34,676,053 fully paid ordinary shares and 17,338,027 options expiring in June 2028, all issued on June 26, 2026. The new listings expand the company&#8217;s tradable securities bas...
Canadian Phosphate Plans Share and Option Issue to Raise Capital
Jun 25, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited, an ASX-listed resources company focused on phosphate assets, is positioning itself within the agricultural inputs value chain. Its operations are centred on developing and financing phosphate-related activities that can...
Canadian Phosphate Secures $5.2m to Accelerate North American Phosphate Projects
Jun 23, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has secured approximately $5.2 million through a fully subscribed renounceable rights issue and a follow-on placement, reflecting strong demand from existing and new investors. The capital raise will see the issue of ove...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026