Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Canadian Phosphate (CP8) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
AU:CP8

Canadian Phosphate

(ASX:CP8)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.11▼(-7.50% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is held down primarily by continued unprofitability and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow, despite improvements in loss severity and cash burn. Technical indicators also suggest weak near-term momentum, with the price below key moving averages and a negative MACD. The balance sheet provides some support via modest leverage and meaningful equity, but valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no provided dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Balance Sheet SupportModest leverage and a substantial equity base provide a financial cushion while the company develops its phosphate projects. This supports greater resilience than a highly debt-funded structure, although continued losses could gradually erode that cushion if profitability does not improve.
Negative Factors
Declining RevenueA declining revenue base signals that the company has not yet established durable commercial growth. Lower sales reduce operating leverage and make it harder to absorb fixed costs, fund phosphate project advancement, or demonstrate a scalable business model over the medium term.

Canadian Phosphate (CP8) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%AU:CP8+172.73%EWA+16.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 47.34M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
69.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
-30.52%
EPS Growth
-19.67%
Country
Australia
Employees
7
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

Canadian Phosphate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Canadian Phosphate Limited provides regenerative phosphate and organic fertilizer solutions to markets across Australia and North America. The company's offerings further extend to fused calcium magnesium silica phosphate products. It maintains key i...

Canadian Phosphate Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show clear improvement but remain weak overall. Revenue is drifting lower (about 2.79M in 2023 to 2.31M in 2025) and the company is still loss-making with a deeply negative net margin in 2025 (~-96%). Cash flow is also still negative (operating cash flow ~-0.5M and free cash flow ~-0.51M in 2025), indicating ongoing cash burn, though the pace has moderated. The balance sheet is a relative positive with modest leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.15) and meaningful equity (~9.0M vs. ~10.6M assets), but persistent losses (ROE ~-24% in 2025) remain the primary risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

24Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77M2.31M2.49M2.79M3.56M2.24M
Gross Profit-373.16K-170.16K1.24M-1.07M-1.44M206.19K
EBITDA-1.39M-1.24M-1.26M-3.83M-4.17M-3.73M
Net Income-2.42M-2.21M-1.66M-4.48M-4.22M-3.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.01M10.62M11.55M12.45M15.27M13.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.57M2.44M780.92K1.70M2.86M5.20M
Total Debt1.01M1.37M895.93K1.18M578.65K116.28K
Total Liabilities1.25M1.59M1.19M1.71M1.70M861.80K
Stockholders Equity12.76M9.03M10.36M10.74M13.57M12.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.04M-506.17K-1.17M-2.87M-7.67M-3.11M
Operating Cash Flow-1.04M-506.17K-1.17M-1.74M-4.84M-1.66M
Investing Cash Flow458.58K453.67K-572.53K-873.60K-2.01M-501.46K
Financing Cash Flow6.66M1.71M799.53K1.88M4.48M6.19M

Canadian Phosphate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.12

Price Trends

50DMA0.14Negative
100DMA0.13Negative
200DMA0.12Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI39.75Neutral
STOCH37.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CP8, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.14, below the 50-day MA of 0.14, and above the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CP8.

Canadian Phosphate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

AU:CP8 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
AU:NUFAU:NUF46NeutralAUD 1.29B-7.45-7.49%―-1.53%-281.84%
AU:CP8AU:CP843NeutralAUD 47.34M-16.44-22.21%―-30.52%-19.67%
AU:AMNAU:AMN40UnderperformAUD 14.43M-8.33-6.36%――96.72%
AU:TGHAU:TGH37UnderperformAUD 11.52M-2.26-52.55%―-11.34%30.34%
AU:RLFAU:RLF32UnderperformAUD 15.32M-1.65-88.51%―-0.48%-195.74%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%AU:CP8AU:NUFAU:AMNAU:TGHAU:RLFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:CP8 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:CP8Canadian Phosphate Limited0.120.08172.73%
AU:NUFNufarm Limited3.371.1551.80%
AU:AMNAgrimin Limited0.04-0.03-45.21%
AU:TGHTerragen Holdings Ltd0.01-0.01-36.36%
AU:RLFRLF AgTech Ltd0.02-0.04-64.62%

Canadian Phosphate Corporate Events

Canadian Phosphate gains spotlight in Canada and Alberta investment pitchbooks

Sep 14, 2026

Canadian Phosphate has been selected for inclusion in both the Canada Investment Summit Pitchbook and a dedicated Invest Alberta Pitchbook, initiatives aimed at showcasing strategic national projects to global institutional investors. The company’s C...

Canadian Phosphate Files Interim Financial Report and Affirms Market Listings

Sep 10, 2026

Canadian Phosphate Limited has released its interim financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2026, outlining its corporate structure and capital markets presence. The company remains listed on both the ASX and OTCQB, supported by established...

Canadian Phosphate extends Wapiti strike and ramps up exploration spend

Sep 9, 2026

Canadian Phosphate has extended the known strike of phosphate mineralisation at its Wapiti Project to about nine kilometres on the eastern limb of the Red Deer Syncline, following a diamond drilling campaign now totaling 18 holes and 2,638 metres. Th...

Canadian Phosphate adds U.S. OTCQB listing to boost North American investor access

Aug 20, 2026

Canadian Phosphate Limited has commenced trading on the OTCQB Venture Market in the United States under the ticker CPHOF, complementing its primary ASX listing of CP8. The move allows eligible North American investors to trade the stock in U.S. dolla...

Canadian Phosphate Extends Wapiti Phosphate Strike by 3km in 2026 Drilling

Aug 19, 2026

Canadian Phosphate Limited has reported that the first eight diamond drillholes of its 2026 program at the Wapiti Phosphate Project have all intersected the targeted Phosphate Main Zone. These holes, totaling 1,051m and drilled along the Red Deer Syn...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026