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Judo Capital Holdings Limited (AU:JDO)
ASX:JDO
Australian Market
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Judo Capital Holdings Limited (JDO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:JDO

Judo Capital Holdings Limited

(Sydney:JDO)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.00
â–¼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/19/26
The score is primarily supported by improving profitability and strong free cash flow, but is held back by the sharp 2026 revenue decline and elevated leverage. Technicals are mixed (short-term strength vs weak longer-term trend), while valuation is moderately supportive on a ~10.2x P/E.
Positive Factors
Improving Profitability
The move from earlier losses to stronger earnings indicates improving operating economics. Sustained profitability gives Judo more capacity to absorb credit costs, reinvest in SME lending and build capital over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
The sharp revenue contraction and volatile multi-year trend weaken confidence in consistent loan growth and earnings expansion. Continued instability could limit operating leverage and make profitability more dependent on credit and funding conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Profitability
The move from earlier losses to stronger earnings indicates improving operating economics. Sustained profitability gives Judo more capacity to absorb credit costs, reinvest in SME lending and build capital over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Judo Capital Holdings Limited (JDO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Judo Capital Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Judo Capital Holdings Limited offers a diverse suite of banking and financial services tailored for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia. Their product portfolio encompasses term deposits, alongside a comprehensive range of c...
How the Company Makes Money
Judo Capital Holdings Limited primarily makes money through net interest income generated from banking activities. The key revenue stream is interest earned on its SME loan portfolio (including term loans and other business credit products) minus ...

Judo Capital Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation improved materially (net income up to 111.1M in 2026; free cash flow 279.0M, +56.6% YoY, with solid cash-to-earnings alignment). Offsetting this, revenue declined sharply in 2026 (-17.7%) and leverage remains elevated (debt ~1.8x equity), increasing sensitivity if conditions weaken.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.06B326.60M579.60M156.50M
Gross Profit404.70M334.70M384.80M579.60M156.50M
EBITDA172.30M141.10M120.70M116.10M-1.80M
Net Income111.10M86.40M69.90M73.40M-7.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.53B14.98B13.20B12.15B9.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments781.20M2.47B654.60M633.00M3.20B
Total Debt3.24B3.12B3.15B4.52B3.83B
Total Liabilities15.76B13.29B11.63B10.67B3.85B
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.69B1.57B1.48B1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow279.00M125.50M172.40M244.70M71.30M
Operating Cash Flow280.20M136.60M197.80M272.10M84.40M
Investing Cash Flow-2.81B-21.20M-1.03B-2.50B455.10M
Financing Cash Flow2.45B-30.70M897.40M2.54B599.80M

Judo Capital Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.04
Price Trends
50DMA
1.00
Positive
100DMA
1.22
Negative
200DMA
1.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.11
Neutral
STOCH
65.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:JDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.99, above the 50-day MA of 1.00, and below the 200-day MA of 1.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:JDO.

Judo Capital Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
AU$862.57M8.0212.29%15.82%-0.65%8.02%
58
Neutral
AU$1.16B10.256.35%―11.70%28.17%
56
Neutral
AU$1.05B7.4512.13%15.15%-3.49%7.16%
55
Neutral
AU$6.10B15.945.63%5.70%-5.79%―
54
Neutral
AU$259.90B23.8713.94%2.81%0.78%7.41%
45
Neutral
AU$4.21B42.051.66%6.28%-4.72%-67.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:JDO
Judo Capital Holdings Limited
1.02
-0.69
-40.29%
AU:BOQ
Bank of Queensland
6.35
-0.34
-5.14%
AU:BEN
Bendigo & Adelaide Bank
10.46
-2.20
-17.41%
AU:CBA
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
154.96
-10.30
-6.23%
AU:PPM
Pepper Money Ltd
1.92
-0.10
-4.71%
AU:LFG
Liberty Financial Group Ltd
3.57
-0.26
-6.89%

Judo Capital Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Macquarie Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Judo Capital
Aug 19, 2026
Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Judo Capital Holdings Limited, signaling a material reduction in their voting interest in the ASX-listed SME-focused bank....
Judo Capital files ASX corporate governance statement and Appendix 4G
Aug 17, 2026
Judo Capital Holdings Limited has lodged its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 with the ASX and published it on its website in line with listing requirements. The statement, current as of 18 August 2026 and approved by...
Judo Capital Sets Out Strategy and Stakeholder Focus in 2026 Annual Report
Aug 17, 2026
Judo Capital Holdings Limited&#8217;s 2026 Annual Report outlines its purpose and strategy as a specialist business bank serving Australian small and medium-sized enterprises. The report emphasizes relationship-driven lending and differentiated SM...
Judo Bank lifts FY26 profit 34% on SME loan and deposit growth
Aug 17, 2026
Judo Bank reported a strong FY26 performance, with profit before tax rising 34% to $168.1 million, return on equity improving to 6.4% and net interest margin increasing to 3.13%, underpinned by above-system loan growth and significant cost-to-inco...
Judo Bank Lifts Profit and Assets but Holds Back Dividends
Aug 17, 2026
Judo Bank reported strong financial growth for the year ended 30 June 2026, with statutory operating income from ordinary activities rising 24% to $522 million and statutory profit attributable to shareholders increasing 29% to $111 million. Net t...
Judo Capital Sets Conditional Quarterly Distribution on Perpetual Notes
Aug 17, 2026
Judo Capital Holdings Limited has declared a quarterly distribution of AUD 1.92095 per security on its ASX-listed Judo Capital Notes (JDOPA), which are perpetual, non-cumulative capital notes paying a margin of 6.50% over the 3-month bank bill swa...
Judo Capital Seeks ASX Quotation for Over 1 Million New Shares
Aug 14, 2026
Judo Capital Holdings Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 1,069,225 ordinary fully paid shares, to be issued on August 14, 2026. The new securities have been issued under an employee incentive scheme, signalling ongoing use of equity-b...
Judo Capital Updates Market on Lapse of Deferred Rights and Options
Jul 14, 2026
Judo Capital Holdings Limited has notified the ASX of the cessation of 1,968,908 securities comprising deferred share rights and various options. The instruments lapsed on June 30, 2026 after the conditional rights to the securities were not, or c...
Australian Retirement Trust exits substantial holder position in Judo Capital
Jul 2, 2026
Australian Retirement Trust Pty Ltd, acting as trustee for Australian Retirement Trust, has notified Judo Capital Holdings Limited that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder as at 29 June 2026. The change in relevant interest in Judo&#8217...
Judo Bank Lifts Provisions but Reaffirms Strong Profit and Capital Outlook
Jun 24, 2026
Judo Bank, the SME-focused Australian business lender, reported continued growth in gross loans and advances, which are expected to reach between $14.6 billion and $14.7 billion by 30 June 2026. The bank&#8217;s net interest margin for the second ...
Insignia Financial exits substantial holder position in Judo Capital
Jun 3, 2026
Insignia Financial Ltd, a diversified Australian wealth and investment manager, has notified Judo Capital Holdings Limited that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder as of late May 2026. The change reflects a series of on-market transactio...
Judo Bank upsizes $750m SME loan securitisation to boost capital and ROE
May 28, 2026
Judo Capital Holdings Limited has priced a $750 million capital-relief securitisation backed by SME business loans, upsized from an initial $500 million after strong domestic and international investor demand. The notes were issued at a weighted a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026