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Iron Road Ltd (IRD) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:IRD

Iron Road Ltd

(ASX:IRD)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/11/26

The overall score of 40 reflects a company in severe financial distress. The most significant factor is the catastrophic collapse in financial performance, marked by zero revenue, massive net losses, and negative operating cash flow. This is compounded by a persistently bearish technical trend, with the stock trading at a fraction of its moving averages. The debt-free balance sheet is the only positive attribute, but it is rapidly deteriorating and insufficient to offset the fundamental operational failures.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageA near debt-free balance sheet reduces interest burden and refinancing exposure, preserving flexibility while the project remains in development. Low leverage also gives Iron Road more capacity to pursue funding, partnerships, or infrastructure investment without the constraints of a heavily indebted capital structure.
Negative Factors
Pre-Production Revenue ModelIron Road does not currently have recurring product sales to fund operations, leaving its financial progress dependent on development outcomes and external or project-level funding. Until production begins, the business lacks the recurring revenue base that would normally support reinvestment and reduce financing dependence.

Iron Road Ltd (IRD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%AU:IRD-78.72%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26
Market Cap
AUD 4.60M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
539.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
0.96
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
-2044.26%
Country
Australia
Employees
2
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Iron Road Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Iron Road Limited, an Australian company established in 2007, specializes in the exploration and evaluation of iron ore deposits across Australia. Headquartered in Adelaide, the firm holds complete ownership of the Central Eyre iron project, situated...

How the Company Makes Money

As a pre-production explorer/developer, IRD’s recurring operating revenue from selling products is null. The company’s cash inflows have historically been funded primarily through capital raising (e.g., equity placements/rights issues) and, where app...

Iron Road Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak. The income statement shows a catastrophic net loss of $98.6M on zero revenue, and operating cash flow is deeply negative at -$2.1M. The only mitigating factor is a debt-free balance sheet, which provides a temporary liquidity buffer but is rapidly eroding.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue007.69M817.38K1.00M38
Gross Profit-19.75K-19.75K7.69M817.38K-45.40K-46.79K
EBITDA-2.16M-2.16M5.19M-1.45M-347.00K-3.82M
Net Income-98.61M-98.61M5.05M-1.49M-468.00K-4.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.54M39.54M138.56M134.76M135.79M135.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments857.42K857.42K3.55M234.97K1.78M1.94M
Total Debt000503.22K00
Total Liabilities505.03K505.03K1.11M2.32M3.45M1.85M
Stockholders Equity39.04M39.04M137.45M132.44M132.34M133.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.07M-2.07M4.05M-2.33M-1.23M-4.23M
Operating Cash Flow-2.07M-2.07M4.58M-1.78M-890.37K-2.93M
Investing Cash Flow-107.96K-107.96K-474.12K-555.02K-343.62K-1.30M
Financing Cash Flow-513.05K-513.05K-741.50K785.90K1.08M1.38M

Iron Road Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.01

Price Trends

50DMA0.01Negative
100DMA0.01Negative
200DMA0.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI40.95Neutral
STOCH66.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, below the 50-day MA of 0.01, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:IRD.

Iron Road Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:IRD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:CIAAU:CIA48NeutralAUD 1.07B671.45-0.10%6.81%-7.22%-93.97%
AU:MGXAU:MGX45NeutralAUD 354.13M-11.67-7.06%―-42.65%62.24%
AU:M4MAU:M4M44NeutralAUD 32.51M-20.00-47.84%―12132.73%55.56%
AU:AEUAU:AEU41NeutralAUD 145.57M-0.80-250.52%―-16.03%-1005.11%
AU:EQXAU:EQX41NeutralAUD 13.80M-14.38-10.87%――77.40%
AU:IRDAU:IRD40UnderperformAUD 5.88M-0.06-248.65%――-2044.26%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%AU:IRDAU:CIAAU:MGXAU:M4MAU:AEUAU:EQXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26
AU:IRD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:IRDIron Road Ltd0.01-0.04-78.72%
AU:CIAChampion Iron Ltd.1.92-3.64-65.53%
AU:MGXMount Gibson Iron Limited0.30-0.05-15.49%
AU:M4MKogi Iron Ltd.0.010.000.00%
AU:AEUTombador Iron Ltd.0.370.025.71%
AU:EQXEquatorial Resources Limited0.10-0.12-52.27%

Iron Road Ltd Corporate Events

Iron Road details corporate governance and administrative structure in 2026 annual report

Sep 9, 2026

Iron Road Ltd has released its annual report for the year ended 30 June 2026, outlining its corporate structure and key governance arrangements. The report details the composition of the board and executive management, as well as the company’s...

Iron Road’s Major Shareholder Sentient Fund IV Exits Entire Stake

Sep 3, 2026

Iron Road Ltd has announced that Sentient Executive GP IV, Limited, previously its largest shareholder, has fully exited its position in the company. Sentient’s aggregate holding has fallen from a controlling 57.95% stake to zero, marking a maj...

Major Investor Sentient Exits Substantial Holding in Iron Road

Sep 3, 2026

Iron Road Ltd has disclosed that Sentient Executive GP IV, Limited has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company. The Cayman Islands-based investor sold its remaining stake through on-market transactions over two days in early September 2...

Iron Road Director Increases Shareholding Through Performance Rights Exercise

Jun 17, 2026

Iron Road Ltd has disclosed a change in the holdings of director Glen Anthony Chipman, who exercised 4,000,000 previously vested performance rights into fully paid ordinary shares between 12 June and 15 June 2026. In addition to the conversion, Chipm...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026