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iCetana Ltd. (ICE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ICE

iCetana Ltd.

(ASX:ICE)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.04â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/26/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance: persistent losses, inconsistent/negative gross margins, and ongoing cash burn outweigh the benefit of re-accelerating revenue growth and low leverage. Technicals are a relative bright spot with the price above key moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum, but valuation remains difficult to support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Revenue Re-accelerationThe return to strong revenue growth indicates improving demand and renewed commercial traction after a flat prior year. If sustained, expanding sales can increase operating leverage, support investment in the platform, and improve the company’s ability to build a more durable earnings base.
Negative Factors
Persistent UnprofitabilityPersistent operating and net losses show that revenue growth has not yet translated into a viable profit model. Continued deficits constrain internal funding capacity, weaken returns for shareholders, and make future financial performance dependent on achieving substantial improvement in operating economics.

iCetana Ltd. (ICE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%AU:ICE-6.52%EWA+16.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 28.57M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
598.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.64
Revenue Growth
31.02%
EPS Growth
25.00%
Country
Australia
Employees
17
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

iCetana Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

iCetana Limited operates as a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) firm, offering advanced video analytics solutions across diverse global regions including the Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's core activity inv...

iCetana Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite a strong re-acceleration in revenue growth (2026: +29.975%), the company remains deeply loss-making with negative net margins and inconsistent/negative gross margins. Cash flow is a key weakness, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in every year shown and a larger cash outflow in 2026 vs. 2025. The balance sheet is a relative positive due to very low leverage, but profitability and cash sustainability remain the main constraints.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.47M2.47M1.89M3.70M1.74M1.71M
Gross Profit-2.45M-2.45M-1.95M2.13M-1.91M-2.47M
EBITDA-4.00M-4.00M-3.35M-2.38M-2.68M-3.54M
Net Income-3.66M-3.66M-2.91M-1.95M-2.06M-3.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.64M6.64M5.37M2.68M2.39M3.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.79M4.79M3.90M1.48M994.15K2.02M
Total Debt79.05K79.05K75.67K83.55K83.07K76.34K
Total Liabilities2.86M2.86M2.21M1.82M1.98M1.70M
Stockholders Equity3.79M3.79M3.16M1.14M729.45K1.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.01M-3.01M-2.47M-1.58M-1.56M-1.93M
Operating Cash Flow-2.96M-2.96M-2.42M-1.54M-1.39M-1.91M
Investing Cash Flow-53.15K-53.15K-50.43K-40.39K-164.13K-20.06K
Financing Cash Flow3.75M3.75M4.92M2.07M629.76K2.44M

iCetana Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.04

Price Trends

50DMA0.04Negative
100DMA0.04Positive
200DMA0.04Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI38.87Neutral
STOCH-25.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ICE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -25.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:ICE.

iCetana Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:ICE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:CXZAU:CXZ76OutperformAUD 17.67M5.3528.96%―4.70%6.82%
AU:NXLAU:NXL75OutperformAUD 584.02M34.625.34%―18.83%―
AU:SPZAU:SPZ63NeutralAUD 336.03M46.117.33%―63.33%12.84%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
AU:1CGAU:1CG57NeutralAUD 9.15M-11.67-22.87%―22.37%73.68%
AU:AMXAU:AMX52NeutralAUD 34.67M-12.09-18.57%―12.29%55.78%
AU:ICEAU:ICE50NeutralAUD 28.57M-6.51-140.01%―31.02%25.00%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%AU:ICEAU:SPZAU:CXZAU:AMXAU:1CGAU:NXLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:ICE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:ICEiCetana Ltd.0.04-0.01-15.69%
AU:SPZSmart Parking Limited0.79-0.55-41.26%
AU:CXZConnexion Telematics Limited0.02-0.00-7.69%
AU:AMXAerometrex Ltd.0.370.0721.31%
AU:1CGUUV Aquabotix Ltd.0.010.000.00%
AU:NXLNuix Ltd.1.68-0.30-14.94%

iCetana Ltd. Corporate Events

iCetana Highlights High-Margin AI Smart-Building Platform and Strategic Shareholder Base

Oct 27, 2026

iCetana’s AI platform serves as an intelligence layer for smart buildings, monitoring every connected camera across large security networks in more than 15 countries. With deployments on over 20,000 cameras at 80-plus sites and a partner-powered go-t...

Icetana AI lifts recurring revenue and expands global reach with new AI platform

Oct 26, 2026

Icetana AI reported a return to revenue growth in FY26, with revenue up 31% to $2.5 million and annual recurring revenue rising 33% to $2.6 million, supported by a high‑quality revenue mix dominated by SaaS subscriptions and maintenance fees. Net ARR...

icetana Reaffirms ASX-Aligned Governance Framework

Oct 26, 2026

icetana Ltd.’s board has reaffirmed its commitment to high standards of performance and corporate governance, aligning its policies largely with the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s fourth edition principles and recommendations. The company acknowl...

iCetana lodges ASX governance statement and confirms adherence to core board practices

Oct 26, 2026

iCetana Ltd. has lodged its corporate governance statement and completed Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 30 June 2026, with the statement hosted on the company’s website. The filing confirms board approval and provides a central...

iCetana sets AGM proxies for key board and capital decisions

Oct 26, 2026

iCetana Ltd. has circulated a proxy voting form ahead of its Annual General Meeting scheduled for 26 November 2026 in Perth, outlining how shareholders can appoint proxies and lodge voting instructions. The document details procedures for directing v...

icetana moves to digital delivery for November shareholder meeting materials

Oct 25, 2026

icetana Ltd has called a General Meeting of shareholders to be held in Perth on 26 November 2026, with materials for the meeting made available electronically in line with provisions of the Corporations Act. The company is shifting away from dispatch...

icetana AI lifts recurring revenue 19% as Antara Core gains momentum

Oct 19, 2026

icetana AI reported a strong start to FY27, with annual recurring revenue rising 19 percent quarter-on-quarter to $3.1 million and 35 percent year-on-year, while quarterly revenue climbed 29 percent to $838,000 and 40 percent on an annual comparison....

iCetana Cash Burn Widens as Quarterly Outflows Cut Reserves to A$3.9m

Oct 19, 2026

iCetana Ltd. reported net operating cash outflows of A$712,000 for the quarter ended 30 September 2026, driven primarily by staff, product, and marketing costs exceeding customer receipts of A$910,000. Investing cash outflows of A$95,000 and financin...

icetana AI to brief investors on global growth in security surveillance software

Oct 11, 2026

icetana Limited, trading as icetana AI, develops self-learning security artificial intelligence software for large-scale surveillance networks and Security Operations Centers. Its scalable platform autonomously learns the normal behavior of each came...

Icetana AI Wins $675,000 Antara Core Deal With Major Australian Retail Property Group

Sep 18, 2026

Icetana AI has secured a $675,000, five-year software-as-a-service contract for its Antara Core platform via strategic partner Millennium Services Group, marking the third commercial sale of the product in three months. The deployment, for one of Aus...

iCetana Streamlines Capital Structure as Lapsed Options Are Removed

Sep 15, 2026

iCetana Ltd. has notified the market of the cessation of several series of options on its ordinary shares, following the lapse of conditional rights that could no longer be satisfied. The expired options, totaling 1,000,000 securities across multiple...

Icetana Grows Revenue but Widens Full-Year Loss, Holds Back Dividend

Aug 31, 2026

Icetana Limited reported a 31% increase in revenues from ordinary activities to $2.47 million for the year ended 30 June 2026, reflecting continued growth in uptake of its video analytics solutions. Despite the top-line improvement, the company’s los...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026